120 4th St · Farmington, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.4/30.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$274,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming home boasts many recent updates on the inside including newer counters, cabinets, appliances. Outside you will enjoy freshly painted siding and a new roof within the last couple of years. Close-in to downtown Farmington for easy access to shops and restaurants.
Key facts
- Quartz counters
- Ss appliances
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Above grade finished area provided; Below grade finished area provided
- Financial info: Mortgage type: Other
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1-car garage (22x11, 7' door height)
- Utilities: City water (in street); City sewer (in street); Natural gas; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half levels; Main floor primary bedroom; Kitchen on main level
- Construction: Constructed of block and stone; Stone foundation; Roof replaced/installed within the past 8 years
- Exterior features: Front porch; Storage shed; Light tree coverage; Road frontage on a city street (publicly maintained)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Kitchen window
- Bedrooms: Main level bedroom (13x12); Upper level bedroom (15x12); Upper level bedroom (12x12); Upper level bedroom (8x10)
- Bathrooms: Main floor 3/4 bath; Upper level full bath
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Ductless mini-split cooling
- Interior features: Informal dining area; Den; Full, partially finished basement; 3 bedrooms located with 3 on one level (per special search note); Rehabbed / renovated
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $54 ($649/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (12.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $239k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.7% in Farmington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#203 in MN, #4,269 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Farmington Public School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #104 of 301 in MN (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Riverview Elementary (math 42% / reading 45%, grade F, #569 of 857 statewide, top 67%, 645 students, 18% FRL); Levi P. Dodge Middle School (math 37% / reading 54%, grade D+, #106 of 258 statewide, top 43%, 721 students, 27% FRL); Farmington High School (math 32% / reading 56%, grade F, #210 of 471 statewide, top 44%, 2,201 students, 22% FRL).
- Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 2,134 units permitted in Dakota County in 2024 (898 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Dakota County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 12 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $185k; 49% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.84%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $332,349
- List price
- $274,900
- Delta
- -17.29%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-41,101
- Equity at exit
- $40,988
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-31,361
- Equity at exit
- $23,768
Cash invested: $76,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55024
- Home prices YoY
- -31.2%
- Active inventory
- 325
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,394 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$281 /mo · $3,376/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$503
- Net cashflow
- $54
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $210 | -5% $132 | +0% $54 | +5% $-24 | +10% $-102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-135 | -5% $-40 | +0% $54 | +5% $149 | +10% $243 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $193 | -0.5pp $124 | base $54 | +0.5pp $-17 | +1.0pp $-90 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,725
- Closing costs
- $8,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20620 Brennan Path Farmington, MN | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1346 | $1,895 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 629-char remark
-
2026-04-30$274,900 Active 629-char remark
-
2026-03-25historical Contingent - Inspection
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2026-03-20$274,900 Active
-
2026-03-18historical
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2026-01-20soldstatus $184,848
-
2023-04-04soldstatus $243,500 Sold
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
This charming home boasts many recent updates on the inside including newer counters, cabinets, appliances. Outside you will enjoy freshly painted siding and a new roof within the last couple of years. Close-in to downtown Farmington for easy access to shops and restaurants.
-
2023-02-28status Pending
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
This charming home boasts many recent updates on the inside including newer counters, cabinets, appliances. Outside you will enjoy freshly painted siding and a new roof within the last couple of years. Close-in to downtown Farmington for easy access to shops and restaurants.
-
2023-02-20historical Contingent - Inspection
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
This charming home boasts many recent updates on the inside including newer counters, cabinets, appliances. Outside you will enjoy freshly painted siding and a new roof within the last couple of years. Close-in to downtown Farmington for easy access to shops and restaurants.
-
2022-11-08status Active
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
This charming home boasts many recent updates on the inside including newer counters, cabinets, appliances. Outside you will enjoy freshly painted siding and a new roof within the last couple of years. Close-in to downtown Farmington for easy access to shops and restaurants.
-
2022-10-11status Active
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
This charming home boasts many recent updates on the inside including newer counters, cabinets, appliances. Outside you will enjoy freshly painted siding and a new roof within the last couple of years. Close-in to downtown Farmington for easy access to shops and restaurants.
-
2022-10-04historical Contingent - Inspection
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
This charming home boasts many recent updates on the inside including newer counters, cabinets, appliances. Outside you will enjoy freshly painted siding and a new roof within the last couple of years. Close-in to downtown Farmington for easy access to shops and restaurants.
-
2022-09-15price $244,900
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
This charming home boasts many recent updates on the inside including newer counters, cabinets, appliances. Outside you will enjoy freshly painted siding and a new roof within the last couple of years. Close-in to downtown Farmington for easy access to shops and restaurants.
-
2022-08-29status Active
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
This charming home boasts many recent updates on the inside including newer counters, cabinets, appliances. Outside you will enjoy freshly painted siding and a new roof within the last couple of years. Close-in to downtown Farmington for easy access to shops and restaurants.
-
2022-08-24historical Contingent - Inspection
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
This charming home boasts many recent updates on the inside including newer counters, cabinets, appliances. Outside you will enjoy freshly painted siding and a new roof within the last couple of years. Close-in to downtown Farmington for easy access to shops and restaurants.
-
2022-08-12$249,900 Active
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
This charming home boasts many recent updates on the inside including newer counters, cabinets, appliances. Outside you will enjoy freshly painted siding and a new roof within the last couple of years. Close-in to downtown Farmington for easy access to shops and restaurants.
-
2020-01-17soldstatus $198,000
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2019-11-26soldstatus $198,000 Sold
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2019-10-21status Pending
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2019-10-14historical Contingent - Inspection
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2019-10-11$198,500 Active
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2019-10-10historical
-
2019-10-03status Active
-
2019-09-22historical Contingent - Inspection
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2019-09-16$199,900 Active
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2019-08-12soldstatus $135,000
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2008-06-01historical
-
2008-04-01$179,000
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2001-10-15soldstatus $125,000
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2001-10-15soldstatus $125,000
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2001-09-20historical
-
2001-08-30$129,900
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2001-08-29historical
-
2001-07-25$144,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,376 · $281/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,376 · $281/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,733
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,399
- − Property taxes
- −$3,376
- − Insurance
- −$1,374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,299
- − Management
- −$2,299
- − Depreciation
- −$7,997
- Taxable loss
- −$4,011
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$963
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,612/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Farmington Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2711820
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,959
- Composite
- 43.93/100
- National rank
- #2905
- State rank
- #104 of 301 in MN
Livability — Farmington
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #203
- US rank
- #4269
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Farmington, MN
- County
- Dakota County · 417,704 people
- City population
- 37,287
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,287
- Household income
- $127,280
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 288.0
Population outlook (Dakota County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 450,671 people
- By 2030
- 465,068 · +3.2%
- By 2040
- 486,770 · +8.0%
- By 2050
- 498,743 · +10.7%
- By 2075
- 533,865 · +18.5%
- By 2100
- 550,133 · +22.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 14% Scottish 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dakota
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.9) · D 55.4% · R 42.5% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: 12.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+4.7 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+5.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.47%
- Current HPI
- 225.6882
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+89.7% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Listed $274,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Listed $274,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-18 Coming Soon — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $184,848 Public Records
- 2023-04-04 Sold (MLS) $243,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-28 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-20 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-11-08 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-11 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-04 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-15 Price Changed $244,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-29 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-24 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-12 Listed $249,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $198,000 Public Records
- 2019-11-26 Sold (MLS) $198,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-21 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-14 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-11 Listed $198,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-10-03 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-22 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-09-16 Listed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2008-06-01 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-04-01 Listed $179,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2001-10-15 Sold (MLS) $125,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-09-20 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-08-30 Listed $129,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-08-29 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2001-07-25 Listed $144,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,376 · +27.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…