1102 Harding Dr · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$74,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering plenty of value and peace of mind. Recent improvements include a new sump pump in the basement, new tile flooring in the kitchen, new tile in the bathroom, and fresh interior paint. Additional updates include a new roof, new windows, new siding throughout, and a detached garage featuring new siding, a new garage door, and garage door opener. Great opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor. Currently rented for $1,000.
Key facts
- New tile flooring
- New siding
- New sump pump
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($993 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($518 loan paydown + $561 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $75k implies a 354% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.74%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $39,540
- List price
- $74,900
- Delta
- 89.43%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1127 Harding Dr | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,104 (+6%) | 4mo | $22,000 | $20 | 85 |
| 1152 Colton St | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 1,046 (0%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $62 | 83 |
| 1402 Prouty Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 1,030 (-2%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $49 | 78 |
| 1057 Harding Dr | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,184 (+13%) | 4mo | $98,500 | $83 | 69 |
| 445 Hiett Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+9%) | 3mo | $33,000 | $29 | 65 |
| 624 Carlton St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,013 (-3%) | 2mo | $134,888 | $133 | 63 |
| 855 Brighton Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,070 (+2%) | 2mo | $97,500 | $91 | 61 |
| 1321 Gordon St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,131 (+8%) | 5mo | $70,600 | $62 | 57 |
| 511 Congress St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,109 (+6%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $50 | 54 |
| 1007 Shadowlawn Dr | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,116 (+7%) | 4mo | $72,500 | $65 | 52 |
| 819 Lodge Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,190 (+14%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $55 | 42 |
| 1023 Shadowlawn Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,193 (+14%) | 2mo | $72,000 | $60 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $23,041
- Equity at exit
- $24,598
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.74×
- Total profit
- $78,400
- Equity at exit
- $31,949
Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43609
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $993 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,026/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $275
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,725
- Closing costs
- $2,247
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2424 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,049 | $0.74 | 14d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 837 Colburn St Unit 2 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $695 | $0.60 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 837 Colburn St Unit 1 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $700 | $0.59 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 771 Orchard St Unit 7715 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $645 | $0.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 827 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $750 | $0.69 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 724 Spencer St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1127 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 532 Carlton St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $900 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 523 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,350 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2594 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1734 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 244 Knower St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $995 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2044 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 319 N Detroit Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1341 | $845 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $74,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $74,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $74,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $74,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14statusdays on market $74,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Pending 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
Updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering plenty of value and peace of mind. Recent improvements include a new sump pump in the basement, new tile flooring in the kitchen, new tile in the bathroom, and fresh interior paint. Additional updates include a new roof, new windows, new siding throughout, and a detached garage featuring new siding, a new garage door, and garage door opener. Great opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor. Currently rented for $1,000.
-
2026-04-22$74,900 Active 465-char remark
Show marketing remark (465 chars)
Updated 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offering plenty of value and peace of mind. Recent improvements include a new sump pump in the basement, new tile flooring in the kitchen, new tile in the bathroom, and fresh interior paint. Additional updates include a new roof, new windows, new siding throughout, and a detached garage featuring new siding, a new garage door, and garage door opener. Great opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor. Currently rented for $1,000.
-
2025-10-14price $16,500 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom with fenced in yard. Spacious living areas, has attached back porch. 2 car garage detached. Home all on 1 floor . Home has been reset, paint, clean carpet, ready to go except unknown furnace issue
-
2025-10-14price $8,700
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom with fenced in yard. Spacious living areas, has attached back porch. 2 car garage detached. Home all on 1 floor . Home has been reset, paint, clean carpet, ready to go except unknown furnace issue
-
2025-10-13price $3,600
-
2025-10-13price $4,900
-
2024-02-15soldstatus $16,500 Closed 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom with fenced in yard. Spacious living areas, has attached back porch. 2 car garage detached. Home all on 1 floor . Home has been reset, paint, clean carpet, ready to go except unknown furnace issue
-
2024-02-02status Pending 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom with fenced in yard. Spacious living areas, has attached back porch. 2 car garage detached. Home all on 1 floor . Home has been reset, paint, clean carpet, ready to go except unknown furnace issue
-
2024-01-24price $26,000 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom with fenced in yard. Spacious living areas, has attached back porch. 2 car garage detached. Home all on 1 floor . Home has been reset, paint, clean carpet, ready to go except unknown furnace issue
-
2024-01-12price $29,999 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom with fenced in yard. Spacious living areas, has attached back porch. 2 car garage detached. Home all on 1 floor . Home has been reset, paint, clean carpet, ready to go except unknown furnace issue
-
2024-01-04price $32,000 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom with fenced in yard. Spacious living areas, has attached back porch. 2 car garage detached. Home all on 1 floor . Home has been reset, paint, clean carpet, ready to go except unknown furnace issue
-
2023-11-07price $37,000 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom with fenced in yard. Spacious living areas, has attached back porch. 2 car garage detached. Home all on 1 floor . Home has been reset, paint, clean carpet, ready to go except unknown furnace issue
-
2023-10-19status Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom with fenced in yard. Spacious living areas, has attached back porch. 2 car garage detached. Home all on 1 floor . Home has been reset, paint, clean carpet, ready to go except unknown furnace issue
-
2023-10-02historical Contingent 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom with fenced in yard. Spacious living areas, has attached back porch. 2 car garage detached. Home all on 1 floor . Home has been reset, paint, clean carpet, ready to go except unknown furnace issue
-
2023-09-25$42,000 Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
Cute 3 bedroom with fenced in yard. Spacious living areas, has attached back porch. 2 car garage detached. Home all on 1 floor . Home has been reset, paint, clean carpet, ready to go except unknown furnace issue
-
2022-06-09price $775
-
2014-08-05soldstatus $87,000
-
2014-08-01soldstatus $8,700
-
2014-07-29price $9,400
-
2014-07-07$9,400
-
2012-01-03soldstatus $3,600
-
2011-11-11$4,995
-
2011-07-29historical
-
2011-05-25$10,500
-
2010-06-11soldstatus $4,900
-
2010-03-26$5,900
-
1994-10-26soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,026 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,097 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$71/yr (+$6/mo · 6.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,917
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,196
- − Property taxes
- −$1,026
- − Insurance
- −$374
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$953
- − Management
- −$953
- − Depreciation
- −$2,179
- Taxable income
- $2,235
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$536
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,764/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,404
- Household income
- $42,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Current HPI
- 235.2515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.80%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+274.5% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $74,900 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $16,500 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $8,700 NORIS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $3,600 NORIS
- 2025-10-13 Price Changed $4,900 NORIS
- 2024-02-15 Sold (MLS) $16,500 NORIS
- 2024-02-02 Pending — NORIS
- 2024-01-24 Price Changed $26,000 NORIS
- 2024-01-12 Price Changed $29,999 NORIS
- 2024-01-04 Price Changed $32,000 NORIS
- 2023-11-07 Price Changed $37,000 NORIS
- 2023-10-19 Relisted — NORIS
- 2023-10-02 Contingent — NORIS
- 2023-09-25 Listed $42,000 NORIS
- 2022-06-09 Price Changed $775 RENT.
- 2014-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $87,000 Public Records
- 2014-08-01 Sold (MLS) $8,700 NORIS
- 2014-07-29 Price Changed $9,400 NORIS
- 2014-07-07 Listed $9,400 NORIS
- 2012-01-03 Sold (MLS) $3,600 NORIS
- 2011-11-11 Listed $4,995 NORIS
- 2011-07-29 Listing Removed — NORIS
- 2011-05-25 Listed $10,500 NORIS
- 2010-06-11 Sold (MLS) $4,900 NORIS
- 2010-03-26 Listed $5,900 NORIS
- 1994-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,026 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…