CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
103 Delmar Mitchell Dr
B Composite 71.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$195,000

103 Delmar Mitchell Dr · Buffalo, NY 14204
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,140 sqft · Townhouse public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1998 2,178 sqft lot Est $296k · 34% under $150/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 103 Delmar Mitchell Drive, a 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhouse located right in the heart of downtown Buffalo. If you are looking for convenience, this location is tough to beat. You are just minutes from the Medical Corridor, Canalside, the waterfront, and some of the best restaurants and entertainment the city has to offer. You also have quick access to I-190 and Route 33, making it easy to get anywhere in Buffalo or the surrounding suburbs. Inside, the home offers a great layout with over 1,100 square feet of living space. The main level features a bright living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a half bath for guests. Upstairs, you will find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bathroom. The home also includes central air, forced air heat, an attached garage, and a full basement with plenty of storage. If you want low-maintenance living in a location that keeps you close to everything happening in downtown Buffalo, this is a great opportunity. Whether you are a first-time buyer, downsizing, or adding to your portfolio, this property makes a lot of sense. Sellers may need additional time to find suitable housing. Offers to be submitted by Tuesday, 3/24 at 5 pm.

Key facts

  • Downtown buffalo
  • Medical corridor
  • Canalside

Tags

DOWNTOWN BUFFALOMEDICAL CORRIDORCANALSIDEWATERFRONTATTACHED GARAGEFULL BASEMENT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: International School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,048 of 2,108 statewide, top 97%, 981 students, 92% FRL); Hutchinson Central Technical High School (math 96% / reading 32%, grade B-, #807 of 1,100 statewide, top 73%, 1,175 students, 78% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 33 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,199/mo this rent would consume 94% of the median local household income ($28k/yr) (locally 945% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $130k; list at $195k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $195,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.91%
Cash-on-cash
9.35%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$296,400
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
307 King Peterson Rd 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,140 (0%) 1mo $200,000 $175 95
217 Ora Wrighter Dr 0.10mi 3/1.5 1,140 (0%) 20mo $180,000 $158 79
149 Swan #404 0.12mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,237 (+8%) 6mo $320,000 $259 68
149 Swan St #504 0.12mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,237 (+8%) 12mo $325,000 $263 63
149 Swan #401 0.12mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,268 (+11%) 7mo $330,000 $260 62
149 Swan St #301 0.12mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,268 (+11%) 13mo $325,000 $256 58
610 Main St #504 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,109 (-3%) 7mo $325,000 $293 51
210 Ellicott St #204 0.30mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,225 (+8%) 18mo $335,000 $273 51
610 Main St #904 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,089 (-4%) 7mo $448,000 $411 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.48% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,133
Equity at exit
$29,075
10-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$60,201
Equity at exit
$16,860

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14204

Home prices YoY
-1.1%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,199 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $695/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$150
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$462
Net cashflow
$425

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,660
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $536 -5% $481 +0% $425 +5% $370 +10% $315
Rent -10% $252 -5% $339 +0% $425 +5% $512 +10% $599
Rate -1.0pp $524 -0.5pp $475 base $425 +0.5pp $375 +1.0pp $324

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
149 Swan St #404 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1237 $2,050 $1.66 13d 1 0.14mi
149 Swan St #404 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1237 $2,100 $1.70 25d 1 0.14mi
465 Washington St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1388 $2,285 $1.65 3d 5 0.39mi
237 Main St Buffalo, NY 1.0–3.0 1.5–2.5 1608 $4,035 $2.51 3d 9 0.40mi
130 Pearl St #304 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1010 $2,475 $2.45 25d 1 0.45mi
230 Scott St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1285 $2,325 $1.81 3d 4 0.48mi
489 Ellicott St Unit 36 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 4d 1 0.67mi
100 S Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1254 $2,232 $1.78 25d 1 0.73mi
100 S Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1213 $2,260 $1.86 4d 2 0.73mi
628 Ellicott St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1059 $2,812 $2.65 4d 5 0.94mi
225 Louisiana St Buffalo, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1164 $2,653 $2.28 3d 7 0.97mi
141 Vandalia St Unit Lower back Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $1,075 $1.26 45d 1 1.03mi
519 Virginia St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 700 $1,700 $2.43 5d 3 1.03mi
17 N Pearl St Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1077 $2,700 $2.51 25d 1 1.07mi
17 N Pearl St Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 2.0 1197 $3,100 $2.59 25d 1 1.07mi
217 W Tupper St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,350 $1.17 45d 1 1.09mi
44 N Pearl St #5 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,400 $2.00 45d 1 1.12mi
140 Seymour St Unit First Floor Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 5d 1 1.13mi
140 Seymour St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,800 $1.38 25d 1 1.13mi
370 Virginia St Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,300 $1.24 45d 1 1.15mi
506 Delaware Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1190 $2,995 $2.52 12d 6 1.15mi
80 10th St Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $1,150 $1.44 5d 1 1.16mi
21 College St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1104 $1,850 $1.68 25d 1 1.21mi
190 Whitney Pl Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1180 $1,550 $1.31 45d 1 1.23mi
983 Michigan Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 804 $3,202 $3.98 3d 58 1.23mi
126 Cottage St Unit 4 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.5 1500 $2,000 $1.33 16d 1 1.34mi
74 Days Park Unit 8 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1350 $1,695 $1.26 45d 1 1.36mi
40 North St Unit 306 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.5 1125 $1,950 $1.73 45d 1 1.38mi
344 Hudson St Unit UPPER Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1065 $1,100 $1.03 45d 1 1.41mi
19 North St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0–2.0 1306 $2,910 $2.23 12d 7 1.42mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$150 · $1,800/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-03-25
    status Pending 1185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1185 chars)

    Welcome to 103 Delmar Mitchell Drive, a 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhouse located right in the heart of downtown Buffalo. If you are looking for convenience, this location is tough to beat. You are just minutes from the Medical Corridor, Canalside, the waterfront, and some of the best restaurants and entertainment the city has to offer. You also have quick access to I-190 and Route 33, making it easy to get anywhere in Buffalo or the surrounding suburbs. Inside, the home offers a great layout with over 1,100 square feet of living space. The main level features a bright living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a half bath for guests. Upstairs, you will find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bathroom. The home also includes central air, forced air heat, an attached garage, and a full basement with plenty of storage. If you want low-maintenance living in a location that keeps you close to everything happening in downtown Buffalo, this is a great opportunity. Whether you are a first-time buyer, downsizing, or adding to your portfolio, this property makes a lot of sense. Sellers may need additional time to find suitable housing. Offers to be submitted by Tuesday, 3/24 at 5 pm.

  2. 2026-03-25
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (1185 chars)

    Welcome to 103 Delmar Mitchell Drive, a 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhouse located right in the heart of downtown Buffalo. If you are looking for convenience, this location is tough to beat. You are just minutes from the Medical Corridor, Canalside, the waterfront, and some of the best restaurants and entertainment the city has to offer. You also have quick access to I-190 and Route 33, making it easy to get anywhere in Buffalo or the surrounding suburbs. Inside, the home offers a great layout with over 1,100 square feet of living space. The main level features a bright living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a half bath for guests. Upstairs, you will find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bathroom. The home also includes central air, forced air heat, an attached garage, and a full basement with plenty of storage. If you want low-maintenance living in a location that keeps you close to everything happening in downtown Buffalo, this is a great opportunity. Whether you are a first-time buyer, downsizing, or adding to your portfolio, this property makes a lot of sense. Sellers may need additional time to find suitable housing. Offers to be submitted by Tuesday, 3/24 at 5 pm.

  3. 2026-03-18
    listed $195,000 Active
  4. 2026-03-16
    listed $195,000 Active 1185-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1185 chars)

    Welcome to 103 Delmar Mitchell Drive, a 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath townhouse located right in the heart of downtown Buffalo. If you are looking for convenience, this location is tough to beat. You are just minutes from the Medical Corridor, Canalside, the waterfront, and some of the best restaurants and entertainment the city has to offer. You also have quick access to I-190 and Route 33, making it easy to get anywhere in Buffalo or the surrounding suburbs. Inside, the home offers a great layout with over 1,100 square feet of living space. The main level features a bright living room, an eat-in kitchen, and a half bath for guests. Upstairs, you will find three comfortable bedrooms and a full bathroom. The home also includes central air, forced air heat, an attached garage, and a full basement with plenty of storage. If you want low-maintenance living in a location that keeps you close to everything happening in downtown Buffalo, this is a great opportunity. Whether you are a first-time buyer, downsizing, or adding to your portfolio, this property makes a lot of sense. Sellers may need additional time to find suitable housing. Offers to be submitted by Tuesday, 3/24 at 5 pm.

  5. 2018-04-16
    soldstatus $130,000 Closed Sale or Rented 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    WOW!!! NOTHING COMPARES TO THIS TASTEFULLY DECORATED 3 BR, 1.5 BATH LUXURY TOWNHOUSE WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWN BUFFALO'S ENTERTAINMENT DISTRICT: CANAL SIDE , COCA COLA FIELD, MEDICAL CORRIDOR AND MORE * ENJOY SUNSETS AND FIREWORKS FROM YOUR PRIVATE DECK AND YARD * COMPLETELY RENOVATED IN 2015 * CHERRY CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, OAK FLOORS, WINDOWS, DOORS, A/C & HWT & 2ND FLR CARPETING * THIS UPSCALE TOWNHOUSE IS CURRENTLY USED AS AN AIRBNB WITH REVENUES IN EXCESS OF $18,000 IN 2016 * GREAT INVESTMENT POTENTIAL * * *

  6. 2018-04-16
    soldstatus $130,000
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    WOW!!! NOTHING COMPARES TO THIS TASTEFULLY DECORATED 3 BR, 1.5 BATH LUXURY TOWNHOUSE WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWN BUFFALO'S ENTERTAINMENT DISTRICT: CANAL SIDE , COCA COLA FIELD, MEDICAL CORRIDOR AND MORE * ENJOY SUNSETS AND FIREWORKS FROM YOUR PRIVATE DECK AND YARD * COMPLETELY RENOVATED IN 2015 * CHERRY CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, OAK FLOORS, WINDOWS, DOORS, A/C & HWT & 2ND FLR CARPETING * THIS UPSCALE TOWNHOUSE IS CURRENTLY USED AS AN AIRBNB WITH REVENUES IN EXCESS OF $18,000 IN 2016 * GREAT INVESTMENT POTENTIAL * * *

  7. 2018-03-07
    status Pending Sale 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    WOW!!! NOTHING COMPARES TO THIS TASTEFULLY DECORATED 3 BR, 1.5 BATH LUXURY TOWNHOUSE WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWN BUFFALO'S ENTERTAINMENT DISTRICT: CANAL SIDE , COCA COLA FIELD, MEDICAL CORRIDOR AND MORE * ENJOY SUNSETS AND FIREWORKS FROM YOUR PRIVATE DECK AND YARD * COMPLETELY RENOVATED IN 2015 * CHERRY CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, OAK FLOORS, WINDOWS, DOORS, A/C & HWT & 2ND FLR CARPETING * THIS UPSCALE TOWNHOUSE IS CURRENTLY USED AS AN AIRBNB WITH REVENUES IN EXCESS OF $18,000 IN 2016 * GREAT INVESTMENT POTENTIAL * * *

  8. 2018-02-22
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    WOW!!! NOTHING COMPARES TO THIS TASTEFULLY DECORATED 3 BR, 1.5 BATH LUXURY TOWNHOUSE WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWN BUFFALO'S ENTERTAINMENT DISTRICT: CANAL SIDE , COCA COLA FIELD, MEDICAL CORRIDOR AND MORE * ENJOY SUNSETS AND FIREWORKS FROM YOUR PRIVATE DECK AND YARD * COMPLETELY RENOVATED IN 2015 * CHERRY CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, OAK FLOORS, WINDOWS, DOORS, A/C & HWT & 2ND FLR CARPETING * THIS UPSCALE TOWNHOUSE IS CURRENTLY USED AS AN AIRBNB WITH REVENUES IN EXCESS OF $18,000 IN 2016 * GREAT INVESTMENT POTENTIAL * * *

  9. 2018-02-12
    listed $129,900 Active 560-char remark
    Show marketing remark (560 chars)

    WOW!!! NOTHING COMPARES TO THIS TASTEFULLY DECORATED 3 BR, 1.5 BATH LUXURY TOWNHOUSE WITHIN WALKING DISTANCE TO DOWNTOWN BUFFALO'S ENTERTAINMENT DISTRICT: CANAL SIDE , COCA COLA FIELD, MEDICAL CORRIDOR AND MORE * ENJOY SUNSETS AND FIREWORKS FROM YOUR PRIVATE DECK AND YARD * COMPLETELY RENOVATED IN 2015 * CHERRY CABINETS, GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, OAK FLOORS, WINDOWS, DOORS, A/C & HWT & 2ND FLR CARPETING * THIS UPSCALE TOWNHOUSE IS CURRENTLY USED AS AN AIRBNB WITH REVENUES IN EXCESS OF $18,000 IN 2016 * GREAT INVESTMENT POTENTIAL * * *

  10. 2017-10-12
    status Pending Sale
  11. 2017-09-26
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  12. 2017-09-23
    historical
  13. 2017-09-08
    listed $135,000 Active
  14. 2017-09-08
    historical
  15. 2017-06-09
    listed $149,900 Active
  16. 2013-12-24
    soldstatus $54,750
  17. 2013-10-28
    historical
  18. 2013-10-28
    listed $56,900
  19. 2013-10-04
    listed $68,900
  20. 1996-03-12
    soldstatus $77,800

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$695 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,995 · $166/mo
Expected delta
+$1,300/yr (+$108/mo · 187.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,388
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$695
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,111
− Management
−$2,111
− HOA
−$1,800
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable income
$2,100
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$504
After-tax cash flow
$4,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
7,932
Household income
$28,182
Rent vs Own
73.5% rent · 26.5% own
Severe rent burden
945.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 58% White 19% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -3.36%
Current HPI
312.6232
Rent YoY
▲ 5.48%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.6% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-25 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-25 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $195,000 WNYREIS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $195,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2018-04-16 Sold (MLS) $130,000 WNYREIS
  • 2018-03-07 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2018-02-22 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2018-02-12 Listed $129,900 WNYREIS
  • 2017-10-12 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2017-09-26 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2017-09-23 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2017-09-08 Listed $135,000 WNYREIS
  • 2017-09-08 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2017-06-09 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
  • 2013-12-24 Sold (MLS) $54,750 WNYREIS
  • 2013-10-28 Listed $56,900 WNYREIS
  • 2013-10-28 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2013-10-04 Listed $68,900 WNYREIS
  • 1996-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $77,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $695 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…