2731 VT Rte 232 · Marshfield, VT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $480 – $892
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunities like this are becoming harder to find. This approximately 1-acre parcel in Marshfield offers many of the costly improvements already completed, including an existing septic system, water source, power, and driveway. The property features a beautiful mix of open lawn, mature trees, established landscaping, and a peaceful country setting. An existing manufactured home currently occupies the site and may be renovated, removed, or replaced depending on a buyer's plans and any necessary approvals. Whether you're looking to build, place a newer manufactured home, create a seasonal getaway, establish a recreational basecamp, or invest in improved land, this property offers a valuable head start compared to purchasing raw land. Property being sold AS IS with all personal property inside and out. Located close to C & C Campground, Groton State Forest, campground, and beach. Bring your vision and take advantage of the infrastructure already in place while enjoying the charm and natural beauty of Central Vermont.
Key facts
- Existing utilities
- Septic
- Spacious lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Spring water source; Septic system; 100 Amp electric; No internet service indicated
- Home design: Single wide manufactured/mobile home; Existing construction
- Construction: Built in 1989; Vinyl siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Country setting; Sloping lot; Gravel driveway; White exterior
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot air heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $275 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#81 in VT) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 185 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $99k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.91%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.06×
- Total profit
- $29,442
- Equity at exit
- $44,515
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.90×
- Total profit
- $80,256
- Equity at exit
- $68,602
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Vermont
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 05658-8050
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $980/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $275
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $331 | -5% $303 | +0% $275 | +5% $247 | +10% $219 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $183 | -5% $229 | +0% $275 | +5% $321 | +10% $367 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $325 | -0.5pp $300 | base $275 | +0.5pp $250 | +1.0pp $223 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $99,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$99,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $980 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,430 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$451/yr (+$38/mo · 46.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,933
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$980
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,115
- − Management
- −$1,115
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,803
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$433
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,869/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Marshfield
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #81
- US rank
- #17930
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+182.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $99,000 PrimeMLS
- 2026-06-05 Listed $99,000 PrimeMLS
- 2005-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+20.2%/yrLatest (2024): $980 · +15.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…