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776 Wheeler St N
B- Composite 65.54
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$325,000

776 Wheeler St N · St. Paul, MN 55104
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 768 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1918 5,401 sqft lot $423/sqft · 55% above area Est $506k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity to live close to Newell Park! This century old home features hardwood floors, a built in buffet, claw foot tub, 2 nice sized bedrooms on the first floor and a large 3rd bedroom upstairs.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Built-in buffet
  • Stainless appliances

Tags

ORIGINAL WOODWORKBUILT-IN BUFFETREFINISHED HARDWOOD FLOORSBRAND-NEW KITCHENQUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener; 1-car garage (approx. 14x24, 319 sq ft)
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas fuel
  • Home design: Residential property; One and one-half stories; All living facilities on one level
  • Construction: Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Built with block foundation details
  • Exterior features: Porch; Light tree coverage; Public transit within six blocks; City street frontage with curbs, paved streets and sidewalks; No fencing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with window; Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms total (two on main level, one on upper level)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (includes a main floor full bath)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Natural woodwork; Kitchen window; Porch; Separate/formal dining room; All living facilities on one level
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in basement; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $325k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $733 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $325k).
  • Recommended offer: $320k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Hamline Elementary School (math 15% / reading 24%, grade F, #755 of 857 statewide, top 88%, 303 students, 84% FRL); Murray Middle School (math 19% / reading 40%, grade F, #204 of 258 statewide, top 80%, 538 students, 64% FRL); Como Park Senior High (math 8% / reading 42%, grade F, #375 of 471 statewide, top 81%, 1,078 students, 75% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,742/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 2116% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1918 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $320,125 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1918 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.00%
Cash-on-cash
9.67%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$506,118
List price
$325,000
Delta
-35.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.3%
Equity multiple
0.91×
Total profit
$-7,792
Equity at exit
$48,459
10-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$45,915
Equity at exit
$28,100

Cash invested: $91,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55104

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,742 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,704
Tax from tax record
$383 /mo · $4,598/yr
Insurance
$135
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$786
Net cashflow
$733

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,814
Max offer price $325,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $917 -5% $825 +0% $733 +5% $641 +10% $549
Rent -10% $438 -5% $585 +0% $733 +5% $881 +10% $1,029
Rate -1.0pp $897 -0.5pp $816 base $733 +0.5pp $649 +1.0pp $563

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$81,250
Closing costs
$9,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2410 University Ave W Saint Paul, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 793 $6,008 $7.58 12d 13 1.19mi
2424 Territorial Rd Saint Paul, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 955 $3,660 $3.83 14d 23 1.24mi
1555 Selby Ave Saint Paul, MN 3.0 1.0–2.5 1506 $6,444 $4.28 0d 8 1.30mi
150 Snelling Ave N St Paul, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 741 $2,598 $3.51 3d 8 1.36mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    historical Contingent - Inspection 1003-char remark
  2. 2026-04-29
    listed $325,000 Active 1003-char remark
  3. 2026-01-21
    soldstatus $215,000
  4. 2026-01-16
    soldstatus $215,000 Sold 204-char remark
    Show marketing remark (204 chars)

    Great opportunity to live close to Newell Park! This century old home features hardwood floors, a built in buffet, claw foot tub, 2 nice sized bedrooms on the first floor and a large 3rd bedroom upstairs.

  5. 2026-01-03
    status Pending 204-char remark
    Show marketing remark (204 chars)

    Great opportunity to live close to Newell Park! This century old home features hardwood floors, a built in buffet, claw foot tub, 2 nice sized bedrooms on the first floor and a large 3rd bedroom upstairs.

  6. 2025-12-04
    listed $249,900 Active 204-char remark
    Show marketing remark (204 chars)

    Great opportunity to live close to Newell Park! This century old home features hardwood floors, a built in buffet, claw foot tub, 2 nice sized bedrooms on the first floor and a large 3rd bedroom upstairs.

  7. 2005-10-14
    soldstatus $179,900
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Many Updates including new flooring/paint throughout; new furnace, newer roof; nicely landscaped yard with deck over garage; Immediate possesion; Close to Newell Park and Hamlline University; Room for expansion above and in basement.

  8. 2005-09-27
    historical
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Many Updates including new flooring/paint throughout; new furnace, newer roof; nicely landscaped yard with deck over garage; Immediate possesion; Close to Newell Park and Hamlline University; Room for expansion above and in basement.

  9. 2005-08-06
    listed $179,900
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Many Updates including new flooring/paint throughout; new furnace, newer roof; nicely landscaped yard with deck over garage; Immediate possesion; Close to Newell Park and Hamlline University; Room for expansion above and in basement.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,598 · $383/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,598 · $383/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,904
− Mortgage interest
−$18,205
− Property taxes
−$4,598
− Insurance
−$1,625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,592
− Management
−$3,592
− Depreciation
−$9,455
Taxable income
$3,837
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$921
After-tax cash flow
$7,879/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Paul Public School District
NCES district ID
2733840
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,316
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7868
State rank
#270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Paul, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
280,599
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
45,762
Household income
$75,712
Rent vs Own
46.9% rent · 53.1% own
Severe rent burden
2116.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -532.26%
Current HPI
245.6146
Rent YoY
▲ 2.50%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Sold (MLS) $325,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-20 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $325,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-21 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
  • 2026-01-16 Sold (MLS) $215,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-03 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-04 Listed $249,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-10-14 Sold (MLS) $179,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-09-27 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-08-06 Listed $179,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,598 · +40.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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