1234 13th Ave S · St. Petersburg, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 26 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Our 3 bedroom 1 bathroom home has been home to 3 generations. Big kitchen, dinning room, & amp; den. Closed in front and back porch & amp; laundry room. Fenced in yard with palm trees! We & acirc; & euro; & trade; ve kept this house in great condition over the years. Will make the perfect starter home or investment property
Key facts
- Laundry room
- Big kitchen
- Dining room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1988
- Construction: 1988 construction
- Exterior features: Located in the Thirteenth St Heights subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (5.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $228k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.47%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $297,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1126 Melrose Ave S | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,293 (+4%) | 0mo | $375,000 | $290 | 84 |
| 1000 13th Ave S | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-3%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $179 | 81 |
| 1333 Melrose Ave S | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+6%) | 5mo | $300,000 | $227 | 76 |
| 1962 15th Ave S | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,245 (+0%) | 3mo | $122,000 | $98 | 73 |
| 1005 15th Ave S | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,160 (-6%) | 4mo | $345,300 | $298 | 69 |
| 1307 12th Ave S | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,349 (+9%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $178 | 69 |
| 834 18th Ave S | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,294 (+4%) | 3mo | $330,000 | $255 | 64 |
| 1425 11th Ave S | 0.17mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,137 (-8%) | 6mo | $182,500 | $161 | 64 |
| 1675 13th Ave S | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,154 (-7%) | 8mo | $303,000 | $263 | 59 |
| 1618 20th Ave S | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,378 (+11%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $87 | 52 |
| 809 17th Ave S | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,104 (-11%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $240 | 49 |
| 2324 13th St S | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+14%) | 8mo | $429,000 | $303 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-29,651
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.54×
- Total profit
- $-31,217
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33705
- Rents YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 308
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,278 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$191 /mo · $2,288/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$478
- Net cashflow
- $250
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $386 | -5% $318 | +0% $250 | +5% $182 | +10% $115 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $70 | -5% $160 | +0% $250 | +5% $340 | +10% $430 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $371 | -0.5pp $311 | base $250 | +0.5pp $188 | +1.0pp $125 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1218 13th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $2,594 | $1.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1317 14th St S St Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1236 | $2,150 | $1.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 979 11th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 721 | $2,350 | $3.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1529 12th St S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 700 | $1,550 | $2.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1035 15th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1412 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 5d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1427 15th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1030 | $2,095 | $2.03 | 5d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1121 Dr Martin Luther King Jr St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,275 | $1.90 | 5d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1465 15th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $2,400 | $1.71 | 5d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1311 Prescott St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1048 | $2,300 | $2.19 | 5d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 888 14th Ave S St Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,825 | $1.68 | 5d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1137 Highland St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,600 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 985 8th Ave S Unit S St. Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $2,700 | $2.54 | 4d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1650 Prescott St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,100 | $2.19 | 5d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1701 14th St S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1715 14th St S St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,850 | $1.85 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 771 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $2,850 | $2.41 | 5d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1771 15th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,195 | $1.49 | 5d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 1320 18th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,550 | $2.07 | 19d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 944 18th Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1013 | $2,100 | $2.07 | 19d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1763 Preston St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1158 | $2,350 | $2.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 725 14th Ave S Apt D St. Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $1,395 | $1.71 | 4d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 720 Newton Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $2,500 | $1.89 | 8d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1760 Queen St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1004 | $2,000 | $1.99 | 5d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1920 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,865 | $1.74 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 151 7th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 904 | $4,595 | $5.08 | 3d | 19 | 0.54mi |
| 1919 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior St S Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $2,200 | $2.47 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1919 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior St S Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 892 | $2,580 | $2.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2028 14th Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,920 | $1.92 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2020 14th Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,920 | $1.92 | 8d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 930 20th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,995 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1400 21st St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1487 | $2,970 | $2.00 | 8d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 767 19th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,875 | $2.34 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 675 17th Ave S Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 711 18th Ave S Unit 2 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,295 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 535 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,850 | $2.47 | 19d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 986 22nd Ave S #3 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1847 19th St S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1203 | $2,295 | $1.91 | 5d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 966 22nd Ave S Unit 109 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,795 | $1.99 | 8d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1828 20th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $1,650 | $1.63 | 25d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 305 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior St S #843 St. Petersburg, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 620 | $3,200 | $5.16 | 21d | 46 | 0.73mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $240,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-21$240,000 Active
-
2004-09-15historical
-
2004-01-05$89,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,288 · $191/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,288 · $191/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,337
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$2,288
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,187
- − Management
- −$2,187
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$951
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$228
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,233/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pinellas
- NCES district ID
- 1201560
- Math proficiency
- 51% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,270
- Composite
- 43.27/100
- National rank
- #3046
- State rank
- #31 of 73 in FL
Livability — St. Petersburg
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Petersburg, FL
- County
- Pinellas County · 939,478 people
- City population
- 249,151
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,939
- Household income
- $73,027
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1386.0
Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,027,532 people
- By 2030
- 1,063,586 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 1,125,020 · +9.5%
- By 2050
- 1,168,637 · +13.7%
- By 2075
- 1,265,188 · +23.1%
- By 2100
- 1,260,357 · +22.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 41% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -540.28%
- Current HPI
- 388.3086
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.13%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+167.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $240,000 FSBO.com
- 2004-09-15 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-05 Listed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,288 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…