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1234 13th Ave S
C Composite 56.28
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

1234 13th Ave S · St. Petersburg, FL 33705
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,240 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1988 Est $298k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Our 3 bedroom 1 bathroom home has been home to 3 generations. Big kitchen, dinning room, & amp; den. Closed in front and back porch & amp; laundry room. Fenced in yard with palm trees! We & acirc; & euro; & trade; ve kept this house in great condition over the years. Will make the perfect starter home or investment property

Key facts

  • Laundry room
  • Big kitchen
  • Dining room

Tags

BIG KITCHENDINING ROOMDENCLOSED IN FRONT AND BACK PORCHLAUNDRY ROOMFENCED IN YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1988
  • Construction: 1988 construction
  • Exterior features: Located in the Thirteenth St Heights subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $250 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $228k (5.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $228k (5.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,807 (5.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
7.54%
Cash-on-cash
4.47%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$297,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1126 Melrose Ave S 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,293 (+4%) 0mo $375,000 $290 84
1000 13th Ave S 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-3%) 2mo $215,000 $179 81
1333 Melrose Ave S 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,320 (+6%) 5mo $300,000 $227 76
1962 15th Ave S 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,245 (+0%) 3mo $122,000 $98 73
1005 15th Ave S 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,160 (-6%) 4mo $345,300 $298 69
1307 12th Ave S 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,349 (+9%) 4mo $240,000 $178 69
834 18th Ave S 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,294 (+4%) 3mo $330,000 $255 64
1425 11th Ave S 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,137 (-8%) 6mo $182,500 $161 64
1675 13th Ave S 0.30mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,154 (-7%) 8mo $303,000 $263 59
1618 20th Ave S 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,378 (+11%) 3mo $120,000 $87 52
809 17th Ave S 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,104 (-11%) 6mo $265,000 $240 49
2324 13th St S 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,415 (+14%) 8mo $429,000 $303 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-29,651
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-31,217
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33705

Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,278 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$191 /mo · $2,288/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$478
Net cashflow
$250

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,961
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $386 -5% $318 +0% $250 +5% $182 +10% $115
Rent -10% $70 -5% $160 +0% $250 +5% $340 +10% $430
Rate -1.0pp $371 -0.5pp $311 base $250 +0.5pp $188 +1.0pp $125

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1218 13th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1356 $2,594 $1.91 5d 1 0.02mi
1317 14th St S St Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1236 $2,150 $1.74 25d 1 0.15mi
979 11th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 721 $2,350 $3.26 13d 1 0.18mi
1529 12th St S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.5 700 $1,550 $2.21 25d 1 0.22mi
1035 15th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1412 $1,900 $1.35 5d 1 0.23mi
1427 15th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1030 $2,095 $2.03 5d 1 0.24mi
1121 Dr Martin Luther King Jr St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,275 $1.90 5d 1 0.26mi
1465 15th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.5 1405 $2,400 $1.71 5d 1 0.26mi
1311 Prescott St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1048 $2,300 $2.19 5d 1 0.30mi
888 14th Ave S St Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1084 $1,825 $1.68 5d 1 0.31mi
1137 Highland St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,600 $1.86 3d 1 0.33mi
985 8th Ave S Unit S St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1061 $2,700 $2.54 4d 1 0.35mi
1650 Prescott St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 960 $2,100 $2.19 5d 1 0.38mi
1701 14th St S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,950 $1.77 25d 1 0.39mi
1715 14th St S St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,850 $1.85 25d 1 0.41mi
771 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1184 $2,850 $2.41 5d 1 0.42mi
1771 15th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,195 $1.49 5d 1 0.43mi
1320 18th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,550 $2.07 19d 1 0.44mi
944 18th Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1013 $2,100 $2.07 19d 1 0.47mi
1763 Preston St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1158 $2,350 $2.03 25d 1 0.49mi
725 14th Ave S Apt D St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 818 $1,395 $1.71 4d 1 0.49mi
720 Newton Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1320 $2,500 $1.89 8d 1 0.51mi
1760 Queen St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1004 $2,000 $1.99 5d 1 0.52mi
1920 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,865 $1.74 25d 1 0.53mi
151 7th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 904 $4,595 $5.08 3d 19 0.54mi
1919 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior St S Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 892 $2,200 $2.47 3d 1 0.57mi
1919 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior St S Unit 1/2 St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 892 $2,580 $2.89 21d 1 0.57mi
2028 14th Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,920 $1.92 25d 1 0.58mi
2020 14th Ave S Unit A St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,920 $1.92 8d 1 0.59mi
930 20th Ave S St. Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,995 $1.68 13d 1 0.59mi
1400 21st St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1487 $2,970 $2.00 8d 1 0.61mi
767 19th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,875 $2.34 5d 1 0.63mi
675 17th Ave S Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,950 $1.95 25d 1 0.63mi
711 18th Ave S Unit 2 St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 896 $1,295 $1.45 4d 1 0.64mi
535 14th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0 750 $1,850 $2.47 19d 1 0.67mi
986 22nd Ave S #3 St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 850 $1,350 $1.59 15d 1 0.69mi
1847 19th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1203 $2,295 $1.91 5d 1 0.69mi
966 22nd Ave S Unit 109 St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,795 $1.99 8d 1 0.71mi
1828 20th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1015 $1,650 $1.63 25d 1 0.72mi
305 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior St S #843 St. Petersburg, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 620 $3,200 $5.16 21d 46 0.73mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 20 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $240,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-05-21
    listed $240,000 Active
  14. 2004-09-15
    historical
  15. 2004-01-05
    listed $89,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,288 · $191/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,288 · $191/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,337
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$2,288
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,187
− Management
−$2,187
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$951
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$228
After-tax cash flow
$3,233/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Petersburg

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Petersburg, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
249,151
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,939
Household income
$73,027
Rent vs Own
41.5% rent · 58.5% own
Severe rent burden
1386.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 41% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -540.28%
Current HPI
388.3086
Rent YoY
▼ -0.13%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+167.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $240,000 FSBO.com
  • 2004-09-15 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-01-05 Listed $89,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,288 · +13.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…