201 178th Dr #423 · Sunny Isles Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$415,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Short Sale Approved. Back in the market this unique unit renovated from A to Z, in the desirable Sunny Isles Beach. walk to the beach . No rental restrictions.
Key facts
- Private balcony
- Near the beach
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association pool available
- Financial info: Pets not allowed
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $570; Association amenities include a pool; Association fee covers amenities
Exterior
- Parking: 1 covered parking space; Garage with 1 space
- Security: Key card entry; Secured lobby
- Utilities: Public water and sewer (standard association coverage implied)
- Home design: Condominium in a 5-story building; Entry located on level 4; Resale unit
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Balcony; Fence; Fruit trees; Open balcony/porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living/dining room; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $415k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-434 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $338k (18.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $415k).
- Recommended offer: $338k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 0.8% in Sunny Isles Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#20 in FL, #434 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: housing C-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Norman S. Edelcup/Sunny Isles Beach K-8 (math 68% / reading 69%, grade B+, #409 of 2,144 statewide, top 20%, 2,231 students, 30% FRL); Highland Oaks Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 774 students, 50% FRL); Alonzo & Tracy Mourning Senior High School (math 38% / reading 50%, grade F, #244 of 667 statewide, top 37%, 1,597 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools average 43% FRL vs 64% district-wide (21 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 1879 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $2k appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($390k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $215k; list at $415k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.08%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.53% appreciation · 0.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-37,305
- Equity at exit
- $131,552
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-32,659
- Equity at exit
- $167,243
Cash invested: $116,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33160
- Home prices YoY
- 0.2%
- Rents YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 1879
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,182 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,176
- Tax from tax record
- −$392 /mo · $4,704/yr
- Insurance
- −$173
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$570
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$878
- Net cashflow
- $-434
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-199 | -5% $-317 | +0% $-434 | +5% $-552 | +10% $-669 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-765 | -5% $-599 | +0% $-434 | +5% $-269 | +10% $-104 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-225 | -0.5pp $-329 | base $-434 | +0.5pp $-542 | +1.0pp $-651 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $103,750
- Closing costs
- $12,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $570 · $6,840/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $415,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $415,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $415,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $415,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $415,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $415,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $415,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $415,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $415,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $415,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $415,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $415,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $415,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $415,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-03-27$415,000 Active
-
2025-04-20historical $2,600
-
2025-03-24$2,600
-
2025-03-23historical $2,600
-
2025-03-21$2,600
-
2025-03-21historical $2,600
-
2025-03-06$2,600
-
2025-02-06historical $2,600
-
2025-02-05$2,600
-
2013-09-17soldstatus $215,000 Sold 159-char remark
Show marketing remark (159 chars)
Short Sale Approved. Back in the market this unique unit renovated from A to Z, in the desirable Sunny Isles Beach. walk to the beach . No rental restrictions.
-
2013-09-11soldstatus $205,000
-
2004-08-10soldstatus $175,000
-
1996-12-12soldstatus $62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,704 · $392/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,704 · $392/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $50,181
- − Mortgage interest
- −$23,246
- − Property taxes
- −$4,704
- − Insurance
- −$7,194
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,014
- − Management
- −$4,014
- − HOA
- −$6,840
- − Depreciation
- −$12,073
- Taxable loss
- −$11,905
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,857
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,353/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Sunny Isles Beach
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #434
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunny Isles Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 34,147
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,718
- Household income
- $67,040
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3106.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 46% White 44% Two or more races 27% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 8% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 8% Hispanic 3% Subsaharan African 3%
- Foreign-born
- 61% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 29% English-only · Spanish 45% Russian/Polish/Slavic 12% Other Indo-European 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.53%
- Current HPI
- 284.9293
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.94%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+569.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-27 Listed $415,000 MARMLS
- 2025-04-20 Rental Removed $2,600 RENTSPREE
- 2025-03-24 Listed for Rent $2,600 RENTSPREE
- 2025-03-23 Rental Removed $2,600 REALLYO
- 2025-03-21 Listed for Rent $2,600 REALLYO
- 2025-03-21 Rental Removed $2,600 MARMLS
- 2025-03-06 Listed for Rent $2,600 MARMLS
- 2025-02-06 Rental Removed $2,600 MARMLS
- 2025-02-05 Listed for Rent $2,600 MARMLS
- 2013-09-17 Sold (MLS) $215,000 MARMLS
- 2013-09-11 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
- 2004-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 1996-12-12 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $4,704 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…