130 Albertson Rd · Thomasville, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 16.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$106,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special or perfect fixer-upper! 3 bedroom, 1 bath in Thomasville (Ledford School District) Two-car carport and a back deck Sold as-is—bring your vision and make it a gem!
Key facts
- Two-car carport
- Back deck
- 0.91 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association (listed association: High Point)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (2 parking spaces); Carport
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story house; Residential, stick/site built construction; Built in 1877; Existing structure
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Public water source; Public maintained road
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Cooling: Other; Heating: See remarks; Water heater: Unknown
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $106k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $237 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $106k).
- Recommended offer: $104k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.1% in Thomasville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#16 in NC, #1,454 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, employment F.
- Davidson County Schools (rural): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #62 of 178 in NC (top 35%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 307 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 990 units permitted in Davidson County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $733 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Davidson County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.3% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($104k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $106k implies a 279% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1877 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1877 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.57%
- DSCR
- 1.43
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $189,255
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 130 Albertson Rd | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,087 (+6%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $69 | 84 |
| 103 Albertson Rd | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 1,064 (+4%) | 12mo | $100,000 | $94 | 74 |
| 1338 Unity St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,038 (+2%) | 4mo | $178,000 | $171 | 68 |
| 212 Bell Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,128 (+10%) | 8mo | $230,000 | $204 | 57 |
| 615 Midland Ave | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,050 (+3%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $157 | 56 |
| 307 Turner St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,097 (+7%) | 11mo | $218,000 | $199 | 53 |
| 78 Lowery Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,142 (+12%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $149 | 49 |
| 5 Oak Ridge Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,091 (+7%) | 12mo | $215,000 | $197 | 40 |
| 9 Terry Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,170 (+14%) | 13mo | $230,000 | $197 | 39 |
| 4 Oak Ridge Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,132 (+11%) | 8mo | $247,500 | $219 | 37 |
| 4 Oak Meadow Ln | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+12%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $170 | 34 |
| 8 Savannah Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,166 (+14%) | 9mo | $216,200 | $185 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.34% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.98×
- Total profit
- $-534
- Equity at exit
- $15,805
- IRR
- 10.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $25,541
- Equity at exit
- $9,165
Cash invested: $29,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27360
- Rents YoY
- 4.3%
- Active inventory
- 307
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,156 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$556
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $913/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $237
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,500
- Closing costs
- $3,180
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1311 Blair St Apt 2A Thomasville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,249 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1311 Blair St Thomasville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 950 | $1,162 | $1.22 | 14d | 7 | 0.25mi |
| 1311 Blair St Apt 2B Thomasville, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,075 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1311 Blair St Unit 1305-D Thomasville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,075 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 5024 Ball Park Rd Thomasville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1269 | $1,100 | $0.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 301 Culbreth Ave Thomasville, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2020 Ball Park Rd Thomasville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1266 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 199 Sheppard St Unit N Thomasville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $995 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 309 Woodlawn St Thomasville, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1340 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-12status Pending
-
2026-05-11historical Due Diligence Period
-
2026-04-22$106,000 Active
-
1987-09-01soldstatus $28,000
-
1987-09-01soldstatus $29,500
-
1987-09-01soldstatus $29,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $913 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $913 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 16% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,867
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,938
- − Property taxes
- −$913
- − Insurance
- −$530
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,109
- − Management
- −$1,109
- − Depreciation
- −$3,084
- Taxable income
- $1,184
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$284
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,557/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Davidson County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701140
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▲ 2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,696
- Composite
- 42.76/100
- National rank
- #3157
- State rank
- #62 of 178 in NC
Livability — Thomasville
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #1454
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thomasville, NC
- County
- Davidson County · 129,088 people
- City population
- 49,510
- Metro
- Winston-Salem, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,510
- Household income
- $61,983
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1052.0
Population outlook (Davidson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 167,156 people
- By 2030
- 167,216 · +0.0%
- By 2040
- 164,524 · -1.6%
- By 2050
- 157,229 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 138,084 · -17.4%
- By 2100
- 112,729 · -32.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 11% Two or more races 11%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Davidson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.5pp toward R · 2008: -33.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.1 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+33.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.33%
- Current HPI
- 243.0953
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.34%
- Metro
- Winston-Salem, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+278.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2026-05-11 Contingent — Triad MLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $106,000 Triad MLS
- 1987-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
- 1987-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $29,500 Public Records
- 1987-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $913 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…