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713 Washington Ave
B Composite 74.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$81,600

713 Washington Ave · Grants, NM 87020
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,371 sqft · Other · 51 Days on market
Built 1959 7,841 sqft lot $60/sqft · 35% below area Est $125k · 35% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 4 bed, 2 full bath home has had lots of updates, including kitchen, garage door, driveway, and evaporative cooler. Very well maintained with covered porches front and back as well as fenced in backyard. There is a small workshop with electricity, a play house, fully landscaped front and mostly landscaped backyard. Not much to do but move in! Call your Realtor today for a showing!

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1959

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Resale property; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Stucco construction; Pitched shingle roof; Built according to public records
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Covered patio; Outbuilding, storage and workshop; Wall fencing; City street frontage; Paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (10' x 8')
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 on main level (10' x 10'); Bedroom 3 on main level (10' x 10'); Bedroom 4 on main level (10' x 10')
  • Flooring: Concrete
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Evaporative cooling
  • Interior features: Entrance foyer; Main level primary; Tub with shower; Metal windows; Concrete flooring; Kiva fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $82k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $463 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#115 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, employment D.
  • Grants-Cibola County Schools (town): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #74 of 95 in NM (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $564 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cibola County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $79,152 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
13.10%
Cash-on-cash
24.29%
DSCR
2.08
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$124,675
List price
$81,600
Delta
-34.55%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$16,272
Equity at exit
$12,167
10-year hold
IRR
26.1%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$52,242
Equity at exit
$7,055

Cash invested: $22,848 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State New Mexico
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

ZIP-level market 87020

Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,327 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$428
Tax from tax record
$124 /mo · $1,488/yr
Insurance
$34
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$463

Break-even live

Break-even rent $742
Max offer price $81,600
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,400
Closing costs
$2,448
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $81,600 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $81,600 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $81,600 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $81,600 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $81,600 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $102,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $102,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $102,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $102,000 Active 40 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $102,000 Active 36 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $102,000 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $102,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $102,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-04-24
    listed $102,000 Active 803-char remark
  15. 2026-04-06
    soldstatus
  16. 2017-08-17
    soldstatus 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    This 4 bed, 2 full bath home has had lots of updates, including kitchen, garage door, driveway, and evaporative cooler. Very well maintained with covered porches front and back as well as fenced in backyard. There is a small workshop with electricity, a play house, fully landscaped front and mostly landscaped backyard. Not much to do but move in! Call your Realtor today for a showing!

  17. 2017-08-17
    soldstatus
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    This 4 bed, 2 full bath home has had lots of updates, including kitchen, garage door, driveway, and evaporative cooler. Very well maintained with covered porches front and back as well as fenced in backyard. There is a small workshop with electricity, a play house, fully landscaped front and mostly landscaped backyard. Not much to do but move in! Call your Realtor today for a showing!

  18. 2015-09-08
    listed $92,000 387-char remark
    Show marketing remark (387 chars)

    This 4 bed, 2 full bath home has had lots of updates, including kitchen, garage door, driveway, and evaporative cooler. Very well maintained with covered porches front and back as well as fenced in backyard. There is a small workshop with electricity, a play house, fully landscaped front and mostly landscaped backyard. Not much to do but move in! Call your Realtor today for a showing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NM · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,488 · $124/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,488 · $124/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,926
− Mortgage interest
−$4,571
− Property taxes
−$1,488
− Insurance
−$408
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,274
− Management
−$1,274
− Depreciation
−$2,374
Taxable income
$4,537
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,089
After-tax cash flow
$4,462/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grants-Cibola County Schools
NCES district ID
3501170
Math proficiency
14%
Reading proficiency
22%
Median HH income
$35,996
Composite
18.23/100
National rank
#14064
State rank
#74 of 95 in NM

Livability — Grants

Score
60/100
State rank
#115
US rank
#19558

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grants, NM
Population (ZIP)
11,874

Population outlook (Cibola County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,324 people
By 2030
25,594 · -2.8%
By 2040
24,117 · -8.4%
By 2050
22,568 · -14.3%
By 2075
18,653 · -29.1%
By 2100
12,719 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% White 27% Two or more races 19% Native American 13% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 24% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cibola

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.6% · R 48.0% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.1pp toward R · 2008: 29.6pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+23.8 2008: D+29.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.40%
Current HPI
167.6417
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-11.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Price Changed $81,600 Southwest MLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $102,000 Southwest MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-08-17 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-08-17 Sold (MLS) NMMLS
  • 2015-09-08 Listed $92,000 NMMLS

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,488 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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