2324 Oak Cliff Dr · Waco, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 57.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Behold the ultimate fixer upper right at 1,345 sft on . 42 in the Mountainview area! This is the perfect home for a complete renovation in a timeless area. See an extra large lot with mature trees in front and backyard. Close to grocery stores, restaurants, shopping, parks, lake waco and schools.
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to restaurants
- Extra large lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot less than 0.5 acre (approximately 0.422 acres); Subdivision: Lake Shore Hills; Directions: Get on Valley Mills, take a right on Bishop; County: McLennan, Country: United States
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1-car); Covered parking (1 space); Concrete parking
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; Individual gas meter; No municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; No accessibility features indicated
- Construction: Built in 1958 (preowned); Brick, frame, and vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Rear porch
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed; Kitchen laundry area
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Built-in features; One level
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; In-kitchen laundry hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.9% in Waco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#166 in TX, #4,378 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D, commute F, employment D-.
- Waco ISD (urban): math 20% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #773 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mountainview El (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 402 students, 78% FRL) — zoned schools at 78% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.57%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $239,410
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2232 Hermanson | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+5%) | 1mo | $285,000 | $201 | 84 |
| 2141 Hermanson Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,438 (+7%) | 0mo | $236,000 | $164 | 78 |
| 2131 Mountainview Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,442 (+7%) | 1mo | $239,000 | $166 | 73 |
| 2633 Skyline Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+8%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $216 | 69 |
| 1831 Mountainview Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (+4%) | 4mo | $254,000 | $181 | 67 |
| 5601 Bishop Dr | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,412 (+5%) | 2mo | $189,900 | $134 | 64 |
| 5612 Fairview Dr | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 | 1,264 (-6%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $178 | 62 |
| 2125 Hermanson Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+14%) | 3mo | $242,000 | $157 | 61 |
| 5517 Fairview Dr | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $170 | 56 |
| 2024 Meadow Rd | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 | 1,189 (-12%) | 14mo | $199,900 | $168 | 50 |
| 301 Village Cir | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,528 (+14%) | 1mo | $279,000 | $183 | 41 |
| 100 Village Cir | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,528 (+14%) | 7mo | $295,000 | $193 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-6,186
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $15,215
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76710
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,847 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$310 /mo · $3,722/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$388
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $385 | -5% $342 | +0% $300 | +5% $258 | +10% $215 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $154 | -5% $227 | +0% $300 | +5% $373 | +10% $446 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $376 | -0.5pp $338 | base $300 | +0.5pp $261 | +1.0pp $222 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2137 Lenamon St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1835 | $2,350 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5813 Fairview Dr Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,400 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2324 N 50th St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1875 | $3,300 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5025 Loch Lomond Dr Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1611 | $1,850 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6700 Old Briarstown Dr Waco, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,295 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 901 Wooded Acres Dr Waco, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 834 | $1,340 | $1.61 | 14d | 9 | 1.39mi |
| 6807 Alford Dr Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $1,495 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 901 Rambler Dr Waco, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1629 | $1,795 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2213 N 41st St Waco, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1299 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $150,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 297-char remark
-
2026-06-07$150,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,722 · $310/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,722 · $310/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,167
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$3,722
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,773
- − Management
- −$1,773
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $1,382
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$332
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,268/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waco ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4844280
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,208
- Composite
- 17.57/100
- National rank
- #9043
- State rank
- #773 of 826 in TX
Livability — Waco
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #4378
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waco, TX
- County
- McLennan County · 213,088 people
- City population
- 125,319
- Metro
- Waco, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,329
- Household income
- $58,186
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1202.0
Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 264,191 people
- By 2030
- 273,578 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 291,506 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 308,044 · +16.6%
- By 2075
- 349,648 · +32.3%
- By 2100
- 364,779 · +38.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 19% Black 15%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · McLennan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.65%
- Current HPI
- 227.2988
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- Metro
- Waco, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $150,000 NTREIS
- 2009-08-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,722 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…