132 Hackberry Cove Ln · Onalaska, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautiful home has been FULLY remodeled and thoughtfully updated throughout. Major upgrades include new siding, three layers of roof protection, a tankless hot water heater, new electrical panel and wiring, new ductwork, PEX plumbing, and all new windows and doors. Inside, you’ll find brand-new flooring, cabinetry, and a charming kitchen with an island that opens to the living area, creating a bright and welcoming space perfect for gathering. Step outside to enjoy the fantastic outdoor grilling and entertaining area, ideal for relaxing with family and friends. The home sits on two high-elevation lots, offering plenty of room for additional storage, outdoor activities, or even a future swimming pool. Located in a desirable lake-access community, homeowners enjoy exclusive access to the neighborhood boat ramp and lake privileges. This inviting home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, making it the perfect lake-area retreat or full-time residence.
Key facts
- Fully remodeled
- New siding
- Pex plumbing
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $539 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $150k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 2.8% in Onalaska — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,055 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, schools D.
- Onalaska ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #213 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 352 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 769 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $137 of equity ($1k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.01%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $113,065
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- 45.93%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 229 E Yaupon Oak | 0.16mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,216 (+13%) | 4mo | $119,500 | $98 | 63 |
| 227 Cottonwood | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+13%) | 7mo | $98,500 | $81 | 60 |
| 122 Read Oak | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+7%) | 8mo | $339,900 | $295 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.54×
- Total profit
- $24,824
- Equity at exit
- $42,951
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $82,236
- Equity at exit
- $47,820
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77360
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 352
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,077/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$17
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$420
- Net cashflow
- $539
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $633 | -5% $586 | +0% $539 | +5% $493 | +10% $446 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $381 | -5% $460 | +0% $539 | +5% $618 | +10% $697 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $622 | -0.5pp $581 | base $539 | +0.5pp $496 | +1.0pp $453 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 947 Yaupon Cove Dr Onalaska, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,000 | $1.71 | 13d | 1 | 0.16mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $17 · $204/yr
- Likely covers
- waterelectricpool
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $165,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $165,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-03-09$165,000 Active 978-char remark
Show marketing remark (978 chars)
This beautiful home has been FULLY remodeled and thoughtfully updated throughout. Major upgrades include new siding, three layers of roof protection, a tankless hot water heater, new electrical panel and wiring, new ductwork, PEX plumbing, and all new windows and doors. Inside, you’ll find brand-new flooring, cabinetry, and a charming kitchen with an island that opens to the living area, creating a bright and welcoming space perfect for gathering. Step outside to enjoy the fantastic outdoor grilling and entertaining area, ideal for relaxing with family and friends. The home sits on two high-elevation lots, offering plenty of room for additional storage, outdoor activities, or even a future swimming pool. Located in a desirable lake-access community, homeowners enjoy exclusive access to the neighborhood boat ramp and lake privileges. This inviting home features 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, making it the perfect lake-area retreat or full-time residence.
-
2025-06-18price $149,900
-
2024-12-22$159,900 Active
-
2024-11-27historical
-
2024-11-07price $159,000
-
2024-08-01price $175,000
-
2024-07-03price $189,000
-
2024-05-27$200,000 Active
-
2023-01-30soldstatus Sold
-
2023-01-30soldstatus
-
2023-01-10status Pending
-
2022-11-03price $38,650
-
2022-09-13$52,000 Active
-
2008-09-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,077 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,020 · $252/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,943/yr (+$162/mo · 180.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,077
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,920
- − Management
- −$1,920
- − HOA
- −$204
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $4,012
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$963
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,508/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Onalaska ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4833690
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,882
- Composite
- 40.91/100
- National rank
- #3616
- State rank
- #213 of 826 in TX
Livability — Onalaska
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1055
- US rank
- #18716
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,130
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,049 people
- By 2030
- 53,243 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 56,528 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 59,243 · +16.1%
- By 2075
- 63,528 · +24.4%
- By 2100
- 60,376 · +18.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.2% · R 79.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.7pp toward R · 2008: -37.2pp · 2024: -58.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+54.5 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.2 2008: R+37.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.61%
- Current HPI
- 150.9486
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+217.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Listed $165,000 HARMLS
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $149,900 Deep East Texas MLS
- 2024-12-22 Listed $159,900 Deep East Texas MLS
- 2024-11-27 Listing Removed — HARMLS
- 2024-11-07 Price Changed $159,000 HARMLS
- 2024-08-01 Price Changed $175,000 HARMLS
- 2024-07-03 Price Changed $189,000 HARMLS
- 2024-05-27 Listed $200,000 HARMLS
- 2023-01-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-01-30 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
- 2023-01-10 Pending — HARMLS
- 2022-11-03 Price Changed $38,650 HARMLS
- 2022-09-13 Listed $52,000 HARMLS
- 2008-09-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,077 · +19.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…