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2126 7th St
B- Composite 67.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

2126 7th St · Port Neches, TX 77651
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,884 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 164 Days on market
Built 1962 7,841 sqft lot $80/sqft · 25% below area Est $201k · 25% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,882 square feet of rustic wood charm and untapped potential. Enjoy ample closet space, a large utility room, and a functional layout ready for your vision. Exterior has two sheds/workshops, large carport, and ramp for easy accessibility. Come take a look for yourself!

Key facts

  • Ample closet space
  • Large carport
  • Functional layout

Tags

AMPLE CLOSET SPACELARGE UTILITY ROOMFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTTWO SHEDSLARGE CARPORTRAMP FOR EASY ACCESSIBILITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.7% in Port Neches — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#139 in TX, #3,996 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Port Neches-Groves ISD (suburban): math 42% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #260 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 343 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.65%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$200,978
List price
$150,000
Delta
-25.36%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2113 2nd St 0.29mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,660 (-12%) 6mo $135,000 $81 56
1022 Mcarthur Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,780 (-6%) 1mo $316,990 $178 56
2234 6th St 0.15mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,607 (-15%) 13mo $179,900 $112 53
603 S 2nd St 0.46mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,752 (-7%) 15mo $190,000 $108 47
608 S 5th St 0.74mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,899 (+1%) 13mo $283,000 $149 46
136 Atlanta Ave 0.64mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,142 (+14%) 3mo $374,900 $175 38
307 N 2nd St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (+1) 2,128 (+13%) 12mo $289,000 $136 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-4,908
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
6.7%
Equity multiple
1.50×
Total profit
$21,054
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77651

Active inventory
96
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,896 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$346 /mo · $4,151/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$398
Net cashflow
$303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,513
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $388 -5% $345 +0% $303 +5% $260 +10% $218
Rent -10% $153 -5% $228 +0% $303 +5% $377 +10% $452
Rate -1.0pp $378 -0.5pp $341 base $303 +0.5pp $264 +1.0pp $224

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
304 Avenue E Nederland, TX 3.0 2.0 1511 $1,900 $1.26 16d 1 0.58mi
311 Nederland Ave Nederland, TX 3.0 2.0 1360 $1,890 $1.39 16d 1 0.71mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-23
    days on market $150,000 Active 164 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 163 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    price $150,000 Active 160 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 160 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 159 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 158 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 157 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 155 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 152 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 151 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 150 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 149 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 145 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 144 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 143 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 142 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 141 DOM
  18. 2026-04-06
    price $159,900 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,882 square feet of rustic wood charm and untapped potential. Enjoy ample closet space, a large utility room, and a functional layout ready for your vision. Exterior has two sheds/workshops, large carport, and ramp for easy accessibility. Come take a look for yourself!

  19. 2026-03-06
    price $164,900 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,882 square feet of rustic wood charm and untapped potential. Enjoy ample closet space, a large utility room, and a functional layout ready for your vision. Exterior has two sheds/workshops, large carport, and ramp for easy accessibility. Come take a look for yourself!

  20. 2026-02-05
    price $174,900 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,882 square feet of rustic wood charm and untapped potential. Enjoy ample closet space, a large utility room, and a functional layout ready for your vision. Exterior has two sheds/workshops, large carport, and ramp for easy accessibility. Come take a look for yourself!

  21. 2026-01-09
    listed $179,900 Active 305-char remark
    Show marketing remark (305 chars)

    This 2-bedroom, 2-bath home offers 1,882 square feet of rustic wood charm and untapped potential. Enjoy ample closet space, a large utility room, and a functional layout ready for your vision. Exterior has two sheds/workshops, large carport, and ramp for easy accessibility. Come take a look for yourself!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,151 · $346/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,151 · $346/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,749
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$4,151
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,820
− Management
−$1,820
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$1,442
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$346
After-tax cash flow
$3,285/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Port Neches-Groves ISD
NCES district ID
4835430
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$54,661
Composite
38.65/100
National rank
#4152
State rank
#260 of 826 in TX

Livability — Port Neches

Score
75/100
State rank
#139
US rank
#3996

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Port Neches, TX
Population (ZIP)
13,627

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
259,015 people
By 2030
260,685 · +0.6%
By 2040
263,309 · +1.7%
By 2050
265,237 · +2.4%
By 2075
270,193 · +4.3%
By 2100
255,628 · -1.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Romanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Vietnamese 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.9) · D 45.1% · R 54.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: -8.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.9 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+2.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -187.68%
Current HPI
186.228
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $159,900 BBOR
  • 2026-03-06 Price Changed $164,900 BBOR
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $174,900 BBOR
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $179,900 BBOR

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,151 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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