2904 Patton St · Gadsden, AL 35904

$46,900

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,416 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market

Built 1925 6,534 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.2/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Perfect fit for the right investor! Establish or expand your fix-and flip business!

Key facts

• 6,534 sq ft lot
• Built 1925
• Listed 50 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($750 rent vs $47k).
• Recommended offer: $45k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 5.1% in Gadsden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#335 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Gadsden City (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #87 of 129 in AL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Gadsden City High School (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #159 of 305 statewide, top 53%, 1,318 students, 76% FRL).
• Market conditions: 84 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 119 units permitted in Etowah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $324 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Etowah County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($45k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $45,493 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.60% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.07%
• Cash-on-cash: 27.79%
• DSCR: 2.24
• GRM: 5.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $117,528
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1109 Central Ave	0.04mi	3/1.0	1,432 (+1%)	22mo	$140,000	$98	78
2918 Hickory St	0.24mi	3/1.0	1,410 (-0%)	13mo	$96,000	$68	78
1315 Colbert Ave	0.16mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,385 (-2%)	12mo	$115,000	$83	70
2900 Patton St	0.02mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,283 (-9%)	22mo	$44,000	$34	60
1613 Mount Zion Ave	0.47mi	3/2.0	1,351 (-5%)	13mo	$134,900	$100	56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 21.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.90×
• Total profit: $11,757
• Equity at exit: $6,993

10-year hold

• IRR: 29.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.68×
• Total profit: $35,134
• Equity at exit: $4,055

Cash invested: $13,132 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 35904

• Home prices YoY: -17.1%
• Active inventory: 84
• Price-to-rent: 5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $750 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$246
• Tax from tax record: −$23 /mo · $275/yr
• Insurance: −$20
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$158
• Net cashflow: $304

Break-even live

Break-even rent $365

Max offer price $46,900

Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,725
• Closing costs: $1,407
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
504 Pearl St Gadsden, AL	2.0	1.0	903	$750	$0.83	44d	1	0.69mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2025-07-30
   status Pending
2. 2025-07-11
   status Active
3. 2025-07-07
   historical Contingent
4. 2025-06-10
   listed $46,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $275 · $23/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $275 · $23/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $9,000
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,627
• − Property taxes: −$275
• − Insurance: −$234
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$720
• − Management: −$720
• − Depreciation: −$1,364
• Taxable income: $3,059
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$734
• After-tax cash flow: $2,915/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Gadsden City
• NCES district ID: 0101620
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -27.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $29,099
• Composite: 21.62/100
• National rank: #8292
• State rank: #87 of 129 in AL

Livability — Gadsden

• Score: 59/100
• State rank: #335
• US rank: #20131

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Gadsden, AL
• Population (ZIP): 13,571

Population outlook (Etowah County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 100,500 people
• By 2030: 98,488 · -2.0%
• By 2040: 93,731 · -6.7%
• By 2050: 88,681 · -11.8%
• By 2075: 76,746 · -23.6%
• By 2100: 65,373 · -35.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 3% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Etowah

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.8% · R 77.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -55.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+38.4 2008: R+38.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -44.06%
• Current HPI: 213.3981
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

4 events — show timeline

• 2025-07-30 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
• 2025-07-11 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
• 2025-07-07 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
• 2025-06-10 Listed $46,900 Greater Alabama MLS