5600 Mt. Solo Rd #136 · Longview, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 89°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Bed , 2 bath well kept manufacture home in a nice quiet park in West Longview. Possible 3rd Bedroom. There is 1152 SF of very nice kept up living space. This MH has a detached garage with lots of storage spaces for the lawn mower and garden supplies . Nice Size Side yard for gardening and dogs.. Covered patio and concrete driveway. Very close to schools, shopping and restaurants.Don't miss it.
Key facts
- Work room
- Covered parking
- Deck with ramp
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $988 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $25k).
- Recommended offer: $22k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 53.7% vs local median 3.0% in Longview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#228 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, commute F.
- Longview School District (urban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #185 of 291 in WA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 348 units permitted in Cowlitz County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $173 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $750 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cowlitz County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.6% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($22k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (58%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 53.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 169.31%
- DSCR
- 8.53
- GRM
- 1.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,000
- List price
- $25,000
- Delta
- -82.14%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5600 MT Solo Rd #77 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,008 (-12%) | 6mo | $15,000 | $15 | 74 |
| 336 Franklin Pl | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,176 (+2%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $119 | 68 |
| 77 Blue Heron Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+3%) | 4mo | $158,800 | $134 | 59 |
| 129 Arlington Pl | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,080 (-6%) | 3mo | $106,900 | $99 | 59 |
| 128 Arlington Pl #128 | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,120 (-3%) | 12mo | $110,000 | $98 | 57 |
| 608 Egret Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $116 | 43 |
| 78 Blue Heron Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 9mo | $162,000 | $125 | 40 |
| 83 Blue Heron Dr | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 16mo | $165,000 | $127 | 34 |
| 47 Heritage Blvd | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 19mo | $169,900 | $131 | 32 |
| 38 Heritage Blvd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 21mo | $125,000 | $96 | 32 |
| 704 Pintail Ln | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 22mo | $145,000 | $112 | 27 |
| 130 Blue Heron Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+12%) | 22mo | $165,000 | $127 | 23 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.32×
- Total profit
- $58,269
- Equity at exit
- $3,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.48×
- Total profit
- $129,366
- Equity at exit
- $2,162
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98632
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 356
- Price-to-rent
- 1.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,458 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$23 /mo · $272/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $988
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,002 | -5% $995 | +0% $988 | +5% $981 | +10% $973 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $872 | -5% $930 | +0% $988 | +5% $1,045 | +10% $1,103 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,000 | -0.5pp $994 | base $988 | +0.5pp $981 | +1.0pp $975 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4714 Ocean Beach Hwy Longview, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,450 | $1.65 | 4d | 2 | 0.69mi |
| 5607 Finch Dr Longview, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,550 | $1.68 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
Listing history 35 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $25,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $25,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $25,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $25,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-15price $25,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $28,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $28,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-13remarks 631-char remark
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $28,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $30,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-09pricedays on market $30,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $32,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $32,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $32,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $32,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $32,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $32,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 609-char remark
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2026-05-30pricedays on market $32,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-05-19price $36,000
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2026-05-13price $38,000
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2026-04-30price $40,000
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2026-04-17price $42,000
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2026-04-14price $48,000
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2026-02-28price $52,000
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2026-02-11$59,000 Active
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2023-02-03soldstatus $45,500 Closed 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
2 Bed , 2 bath well kept manufacture home in a nice quiet park in West Longview. Possible 3rd Bedroom. There is 1152 SF of very nice kept up living space. This MH has a detached garage with lots of storage spaces for the lawn mower and garden supplies . Nice Size Side yard for gardening and dogs.. Covered patio and concrete driveway. Very close to schools, shopping and restaurants.Don't miss it.
-
2023-02-03soldstatus $45,500 Closed
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
2 Bed , 2 bath well kept manufacture home in a nice quiet park in West Longview. Possible 3rd Bedroom. There is 1152 SF of very nice kept up living space. This MH has a detached garage with lots of storage spaces for the lawn mower and garden supplies . Nice Size Side yard for gardening and dogs.. Covered patio and concrete driveway. Very close to schools, shopping and restaurants.Don't miss it.
-
2023-01-14status Pending 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
2 Bed , 2 bath well kept manufacture home in a nice quiet park in West Longview. Possible 3rd Bedroom. There is 1152 SF of very nice kept up living space. This MH has a detached garage with lots of storage spaces for the lawn mower and garden supplies . Nice Size Side yard for gardening and dogs.. Covered patio and concrete driveway. Very close to schools, shopping and restaurants.Don't miss it.
-
2023-01-14status Pending
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
2 Bed , 2 bath well kept manufacture home in a nice quiet park in West Longview. Possible 3rd Bedroom. There is 1152 SF of very nice kept up living space. This MH has a detached garage with lots of storage spaces for the lawn mower and garden supplies . Nice Size Side yard for gardening and dogs.. Covered patio and concrete driveway. Very close to schools, shopping and restaurants.Don't miss it.
-
2023-01-11price $57,400 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
2 Bed , 2 bath well kept manufacture home in a nice quiet park in West Longview. Possible 3rd Bedroom. There is 1152 SF of very nice kept up living space. This MH has a detached garage with lots of storage spaces for the lawn mower and garden supplies . Nice Size Side yard for gardening and dogs.. Covered patio and concrete driveway. Very close to schools, shopping and restaurants.Don't miss it.
-
2023-01-11price $57,400
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
2 Bed , 2 bath well kept manufacture home in a nice quiet park in West Longview. Possible 3rd Bedroom. There is 1152 SF of very nice kept up living space. This MH has a detached garage with lots of storage spaces for the lawn mower and garden supplies . Nice Size Side yard for gardening and dogs.. Covered patio and concrete driveway. Very close to schools, shopping and restaurants.Don't miss it.
-
2023-01-10$53,074 Active 399-char remark
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
2 Bed , 2 bath well kept manufacture home in a nice quiet park in West Longview. Possible 3rd Bedroom. There is 1152 SF of very nice kept up living space. This MH has a detached garage with lots of storage spaces for the lawn mower and garden supplies . Nice Size Side yard for gardening and dogs.. Covered patio and concrete driveway. Very close to schools, shopping and restaurants.Don't miss it.
-
2023-01-10$53,074 Active
Show marketing remark (399 chars)
2 Bed , 2 bath well kept manufacture home in a nice quiet park in West Longview. Possible 3rd Bedroom. There is 1152 SF of very nice kept up living space. This MH has a detached garage with lots of storage spaces for the lawn mower and garden supplies . Nice Size Side yard for gardening and dogs.. Covered patio and concrete driveway. Very close to schools, shopping and restaurants.Don't miss it.
-
1998-11-01soldstatus $30,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $272 · $23/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $272 · $23/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,496
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$272
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,400
- − Management
- −$1,400
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $12,172
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,921
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,930/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Longview School District
- NCES district ID
- 5304470
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,324
- Composite
- 40.41/100
- National rank
- #7732
- State rank
- #185 of 291 in WA
Livability — Longview
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #228
- US rank
- #6972
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Longview, WA
- County
- Cowlitz County · 77,527 people
- City population
- 50,635
- Metro
- Longview, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,635
- Household income
- $66,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2224.0
Population outlook (Cowlitz County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 104,780 people
- By 2030
- 103,980 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 100,769 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 96,685 · -7.7%
- By 2075
- 86,454 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 74,052 · -29.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cowlitz
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.6% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -31.1pp toward R · 2008: 11.2pp · 2024: -19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+17.4 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+11.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -479.09%
- Current HPI
- 230.8501
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.59%
- Metro
- Longview, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+20.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $36,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $38,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $40,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $42,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $48,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-28 Price Changed $52,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Listed $59,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-03 Sold (MLS) $45,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-02-03 Sold (MLS) $45,500 RMLS
- 2023-01-14 Pending — RMLS
- 2023-01-14 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-11 Price Changed $57,400 RMLS
- 2023-01-11 Price Changed $57,400 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-10 Listed $53,074 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-01-10 Listed $53,074 RMLS
- 1998-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+24.6%/yrLatest (2026): $272 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…