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6703 E Javalina Way
D- Composite 39.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$260,000

6703 E Javalina Way · Florence, AZ 85132
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,510 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 87 Days on market
Built 2005 4,186 sqft lot $172/sqft · 13% below area Est $297k · 13% under $50/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into 6703 E Javalina Way to discover a residence featuring all stainless steel appliances and a walk in closet in primary bedroom. The property includes a separate tub and shower in primary bathroom, a covered patio, and a fenced in backyard. Interior details consist of fresh interior paint and new flooring throughout home. Updates include new appliances and fresh exterior paint. come visit now! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

Key facts

  • Fenced in backyard
  • Covered patio
  • Walk in closet

Tags

STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESWALK IN CLOSETSEPARATE TUB AND SHOWERCOVERED PATIOFENCED IN BACKYARDFRESH INTERIOR PAINT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $260k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-124 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (8.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (27.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (27.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 4.1% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#187 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Florence Unified School District (4437) (rural): math 16% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #178 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Florence High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #343 of 381 statewide, top 93%, 796 students, 44% FRL) — zoned schools at 44% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 737 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 87 days — a 6% lower offer ($244k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,765 (27.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 87 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.05%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$297,409
List price
$260,000
Delta
-12.58%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6774 E Superstition Way 0.07mi 3/2.0 1,505 (-0%) 8mo $270,000 $179 90
6679 E Stacy St 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,521 (+1%) 1mo $284,800 $187 67
24174 N Nectar Ave 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,687 (+12%) 8mo $288,000 $171 63
23941 N High Dunes Dr 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,688 (+12%) 3mo $220,000 $130 59
23983 N High Dunes Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,688 (+12%) 4mo $263,000 $156 59
23777 N Mirage Ave 0.56mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,576 (+4%) 2mo $275,000 $174 58
23767 N High Dunes Dr 0.50mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,576 (+4%) 7mo $280,000 $178 56
23580 N High Dunes Dr 0.60mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,576 (+4%) 2mo $275,500 $175 56
5946 E Baja Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,576 (+4%) 8mo $257,000 $163 54
5908 E Athena Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,664 (+10%) 1mo $312,000 $188 50
5971 E Artemis Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,662 (+10%) 6mo $339,990 $205 44
6001 E Artemis Dr 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,662 (+10%) 8mo $338,990 $204 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.5%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-53,358
Equity at exit
$38,767
10-year hold
IRR
-19.3%
Equity multiple
0.04×
Total profit
$-69,760
Equity at exit
$22,480

Cash invested: $72,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85132

Home prices YoY
-5.2%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
737
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,878 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,363
Tax from tax record
$86 /mo · $1,032/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$50
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$-124

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,035
Max offer price $238,017
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $23 -5% $-51 +0% $-124 +5% $-198 +10% $-272
Rent -10% $-273 -5% $-199 +0% $-124 +5% $-50 +10% $24
Rate -1.0pp $6 -0.5pp $-58 base $-124 +0.5pp $-192 +1.0pp $-260

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,000
Closing costs
$7,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6774 E Four Peaks Way Florence, AZ 4.0 3.0 2192 $2,550 $1.16 26d 1 0.05mi
24638 N Shelton Way Florence, AZ 3.0 2.0 1511 $1,550 $1.03 14d 1 0.07mi
24201 N Cargo Ave Florence, AZ 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,600 $1.25 45d 1 0.23mi
24115 N Desert Dr Florence, AZ 3.0 2.0 1281 $1,500 $1.17 19d 1 0.28mi
24039 N Mojave Ln Florence, AZ 3.0 2.0 1281 $1,700 $1.33 18d 1 0.33mi
24035 N Desert Dr Florence, AZ 4.0 2.0 1520 $1,600 $1.05 26d 1 0.33mi
23816 N Wilderness Way Florence, AZ 3.0 2.0 1281 $1,595 $1.25 26d 1 0.44mi
6656 E Flynn Ave Florence, AZ 4.0 2.0 1521 $1,595 $1.05 18d 1 0.51mi
6063 E Sotol Dr Florence, AZ 4.0 2.5 1576 $1,700 $1.08 5d 1 0.53mi
5926 E Oasis Blvd Florence, AZ 4.0 2.5 1872 $1,600 $0.85 45d 1 0.57mi
6790 E Refuge Rd Florence, AZ 4.0 3.0 2221 $2,350 $1.06 11d 1 0.61mi
23777 N Desert Agave St Florence, AZ 4.0 2.5 2010 $1,681 $0.84 26d 1 0.67mi
23893 N Desert Agave St Florence, AZ 4.0 3.0 2221 $1,795 $0.81 20d 1 0.69mi
6817 E Quiet Retreat Florence, AZ 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,625 $1.27 26d 1 0.69mi
23634 N Desert Agave St Florence, AZ 4.0 2.5 1576 $1,595 $1.01 7d 1 0.72mi
6614 E Lush Vista Vw Florence, AZ 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,595 $1.25 45d 1 0.83mi
5771 E Thetis Dr Florence, AZ 4.0 3.0 1909 $2,195 $1.15 26d 1 0.90mi
5569 E Lush Vista Vw Florence, AZ 4.0 2.0 1790 $1,648 $0.92 26d 1 1.12mi
5569 E Lush Vista Vw Florence, AZ 4.0 2.0 1765 $1,648 $0.93 5d 1 1.12mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$50 · $600/yr

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $260,000 Active 87 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $260,000 Active 84 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $260,000 Active 83 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $260,000 Active 82 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $260,000 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $260,000 Active 79 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $260,000 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $260,000 Active 75 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $260,000 Active 74 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $260,000 Active 73 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $260,000 Active 70 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $265,000 Active 69 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $265,000 Active 68 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $265,000 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $265,000 Active 66 DOM
  16. 2026-05-14
    price $265,000 456-char remark
    Show marketing remark (456 chars)

    Step into 6703 E Javalina Way to discover a residence featuring all stainless steel appliances and a walk in closet in primary bedroom. The property includes a separate tub and shower in primary bathroom, a covered patio, and a fenced in backyard. Interior details consist of fresh interior paint and new flooring throughout home. Updates include new appliances and fresh exterior paint. come visit now! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  17. 2026-03-26
    listed $270,000 Active 456-char remark
    Show marketing remark (456 chars)

    Step into 6703 E Javalina Way to discover a residence featuring all stainless steel appliances and a walk in closet in primary bedroom. The property includes a separate tub and shower in primary bathroom, a covered patio, and a fenced in backyard. Interior details consist of fresh interior paint and new flooring throughout home. Updates include new appliances and fresh exterior paint. come visit now! Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  18. 2026-03-12
    soldstatus $231,900
  19. 2015-09-24
    soldstatus $95,000 Closed 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Open floor plan with split bedrooms for privacy. Features include vaulted ceiling, media niche with surround sound, and soft water loop. This home has hardly been lived in as it is a winter vacation home and only occasionally occupied.

  20. 2015-09-23
    soldstatus $95,000
  21. 2015-08-31
    status Pending 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Open floor plan with split bedrooms for privacy. Features include vaulted ceiling, media niche with surround sound, and soft water loop. This home has hardly been lived in as it is a winter vacation home and only occasionally occupied.

  22. 2015-08-27
    listed $99,000 Active 237-char remark
    Show marketing remark (237 chars)

    Open floor plan with split bedrooms for privacy. Features include vaulted ceiling, media niche with surround sound, and soft water loop. This home has hardly been lived in as it is a winter vacation home and only occasionally occupied.

  23. 2009-04-17
    soldstatus $58,000
  24. 2009-01-27
    historical
  25. 2008-07-12
    listed $54,900
  26. 2004-05-21
    soldstatus $1,665,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,032 · $86/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,716 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$684/yr (+$57/mo · 66.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,532
− Mortgage interest
−$14,564
− Property taxes
−$1,032
− Insurance
−$1,300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,803
− Management
−$1,803
− HOA
−$600
− Depreciation
−$7,564
Taxable loss
−$6,133
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,472
After-tax cash flow
$-21/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Florence Unified School District (4437)
NCES district ID
0402920
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$54,426
Composite
18.31/100
National rank
#8950
State rank
#178 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Florence

Score
60/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#19483

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
38,671
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
38,671
Household income
$79,000
Rent vs Own
13.6% rent · 86.4% own
Severe rent burden
102.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 9% Black 7% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Portuguese 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 17% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.75%
Current HPI
233.6644
Rent YoY
▲ 1.27%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-84.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $265,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $270,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $231,900 Public Records
  • 2015-09-24 Sold (MLS) $95,000 ARMLS
  • 2015-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2015-08-31 Pending ARMLS
  • 2015-08-27 Listed $99,000 ARMLS
  • 2009-04-17 Sold (MLS) $58,000 ARMLS
  • 2009-01-27 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2008-07-12 Listed $54,900 ARMLS
  • 2004-05-21 Sold (Public Records) $1,665,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,032 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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