3032 Snell St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$168,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Price dropped for immediate sale. Seller will only grant 3 day inspection period and requires $5000 deposit. Doubkewide mobile home with newer roof and septic tank. Deck and interior of mobile home require work. Cash offers only. Located close to 295 and i 95, Walmart, River city mall and restaurants
Key facts
- Hot water heater
- Soft close cabinets
- Updated bathrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $169k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (1.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $149k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 728 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $59k; list at $169k implies a 186% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.50%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $61,440
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3032 Snell St | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 960 (0%) | 0mo | $172,900 | $180 | 100 |
| 2971 Duane Ave | 0.24mi | 2/— (-1) | 945 (-2%) | 21mo | $37,200 | $39 | 64 |
| 3224 Duane Ave | 0.30mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 858 (-11%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $64 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.66×
- Total profit
- $-15,985
- Equity at exit
- $25,184
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-11,964
- Equity at exit
- $14,603
Cash invested: $47,292 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32218
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 728
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,667 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$886
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,260/yr
- Insurance
- −$70
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $256
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,225
- Closing costs
- $5,067
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3025 Armstrong St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,461 | $1.30 | 20d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 3216 Duane Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,098 | $1.47 | 7d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 2445 Dunn Ave Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,815 | $2.14 | 2d | 11 | 0.78mi |
| 4212 Pointe Haven Dr N Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1054 | $1,800 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 10535 Lem Turner Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $1,562 | $1.54 | 3d | 40 | 1.31mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-04-21status Pending
-
2026-04-11price $168,900
-
2026-02-24price $169,900
-
2026-02-05price $176,900
-
2026-01-31price $177,500
-
2026-01-25price $177,900
-
2026-01-15price $178,900
-
2025-12-20$179,900 Active
-
2025-10-29soldstatus $59,000 Closed 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Price dropped for immediate sale. Seller will only grant 3 day inspection period and requires $5000 deposit. Doubkewide mobile home with newer roof and septic tank. Deck and interior of mobile home require work. Cash offers only. Located close to 295 and i 95, Walmart, River city mall and restaurants
-
2025-10-20status Pending 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Price dropped for immediate sale. Seller will only grant 3 day inspection period and requires $5000 deposit. Doubkewide mobile home with newer roof and septic tank. Deck and interior of mobile home require work. Cash offers only. Located close to 295 and i 95, Walmart, River city mall and restaurants
-
2025-10-16price $75,000 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Price dropped for immediate sale. Seller will only grant 3 day inspection period and requires $5000 deposit. Doubkewide mobile home with newer roof and septic tank. Deck and interior of mobile home require work. Cash offers only. Located close to 295 and i 95, Walmart, River city mall and restaurants
-
2025-10-16status Active 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Price dropped for immediate sale. Seller will only grant 3 day inspection period and requires $5000 deposit. Doubkewide mobile home with newer roof and septic tank. Deck and interior of mobile home require work. Cash offers only. Located close to 295 and i 95, Walmart, River city mall and restaurants
-
2025-09-29status Pending 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Price dropped for immediate sale. Seller will only grant 3 day inspection period and requires $5000 deposit. Doubkewide mobile home with newer roof and septic tank. Deck and interior of mobile home require work. Cash offers only. Located close to 295 and i 95, Walmart, River city mall and restaurants
-
2025-09-25price $99,000 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Price dropped for immediate sale. Seller will only grant 3 day inspection period and requires $5000 deposit. Doubkewide mobile home with newer roof and septic tank. Deck and interior of mobile home require work. Cash offers only. Located close to 295 and i 95, Walmart, River city mall and restaurants
-
2025-09-16price $105,000 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Price dropped for immediate sale. Seller will only grant 3 day inspection period and requires $5000 deposit. Doubkewide mobile home with newer roof and septic tank. Deck and interior of mobile home require work. Cash offers only. Located close to 295 and i 95, Walmart, River city mall and restaurants
-
2025-09-13status Active 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Price dropped for immediate sale. Seller will only grant 3 day inspection period and requires $5000 deposit. Doubkewide mobile home with newer roof and septic tank. Deck and interior of mobile home require work. Cash offers only. Located close to 295 and i 95, Walmart, River city mall and restaurants
-
2025-09-11status Pending 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Price dropped for immediate sale. Seller will only grant 3 day inspection period and requires $5000 deposit. Doubkewide mobile home with newer roof and septic tank. Deck and interior of mobile home require work. Cash offers only. Located close to 295 and i 95, Walmart, River city mall and restaurants
-
2025-09-04$115,000 Active 306-char remark
Show marketing remark (306 chars)
Price dropped for immediate sale. Seller will only grant 3 day inspection period and requires $5000 deposit. Doubkewide mobile home with newer roof and septic tank. Deck and interior of mobile home require work. Cash offers only. Located close to 295 and i 95, Walmart, River city mall and restaurants
-
2006-01-23soldstatus $70,000
-
1986-04-01soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,260 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,402 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- +$141/yr (+$12/mo · 11.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,009
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,461
- − Property taxes
- −$1,260
- − Insurance
- −$844
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,601
- − Management
- −$1,601
- − Depreciation
- −$4,913
- Taxable income
- $328
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$79
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,994/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 72,905
- Household income
- $69,638
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2289.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.73%
- Current HPI
- 262.2329
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.40%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1589.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $168,900 realMLS
- 2026-02-24 Price Changed $169,900 realMLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $176,900 realMLS
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $177,500 realMLS
- 2026-01-25 Price Changed $177,900 realMLS
- 2026-01-15 Price Changed $178,900 realMLS
- 2025-12-20 Listed $179,900 realMLS
- 2025-10-29 Sold (MLS) $59,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-20 Pending — realMLS
- 2025-10-16 Price Changed $75,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-16 Relisted — realMLS
- 2025-09-29 Pending — realMLS
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $99,000 realMLS
- 2025-09-16 Price Changed $105,000 realMLS
- 2025-09-13 Relisted — realMLS
- 2025-09-11 Pending — realMLS
- 2025-09-04 Listed $115,000 realMLS
- 2006-01-23 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1986-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+18.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,260 · +16.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…