6347 Boxwood St · Hill 'n Dale, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.77%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Home being sold as is with right to inspect. Special forms required.
Key facts
- Rear utility room
- Septic service
- Updated roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: No association; No association approval required
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Public utilities
- Home design: Single Family Residence; Residential property; One story; Faces east; Entry level: One
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block and slab foundation; Built area about 1,536 square feet
- Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Lot approximately 0.2 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Lighting; Total of 6 rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 5.3% in Hill 'n Dale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Eastside Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,709 of 2,144 statewide, top 81%, 737 students, 73% FRL); Hernando High School (math 42% / reading 42%, grade F, #275 of 667 statewide, top 42%, 1,299 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 187 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $48k; list at $125k implies a 160% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.96%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.38%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $247,456
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27176 Wakefield Dr | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,141 (-4%) | 2mo | $208,000 | $182 | 81 |
| 27263 Warner Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-5%) | 10mo | $234,000 | $209 | 69 |
| 6070 Honeysuckle Ln | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 | 1,160 (-2%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $220 | 69 |
| 6355 Crestview Dr | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 1,056 (-11%) | 1mo | $190,200 | $180 | 68 |
| 27119 Simona Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,107 (-6%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $203 | 64 |
| 27198 Simona Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-9%) | 12mo | $207,000 | $192 | 64 |
| 6155 Sumter Dr | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 1,042 (-12%) | 1mo | $127,000 | $122 | 55 |
| 27009 Anthony Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,093 (-8%) | 4mo | $239,999 | $220 | 53 |
| 6399 Raley Rd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,091 (-8%) | 1mo | $237,000 | $217 | 50 |
| 26412 MC Allister St | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,093 (-8%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $229 | 47 |
| 26419 Rolling Acres Dr E | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,104 (-7%) | 10mo | $231,000 | $209 | 40 |
| 26416 Mcallister St | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 1,016 (-14%) | 12mo | $256,000 | $252 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.11×
- Total profit
- $3,722
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.00×
- Total profit
- $34,904
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34602
- Home prices YoY
- -21.1%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,084 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,684/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$438
- Net cashflow
- $372
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $443 | -5% $407 | +0% $372 | +5% $337 | +10% $301 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $207 | -5% $290 | +0% $372 | +5% $454 | +10% $537 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $435 | -0.5pp $404 | base $372 | +0.5pp $340 | +1.0pp $307 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27103 Frampton Ave Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,700 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 27108 Simona Ave Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,700 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 6367 Enterprise Dr Unit 1234457P Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1119 | $3,367 | $3.01 | 0d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 27008 Anthony Ave Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1043 | $1,795 | $1.72 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $125,000 Pending 36 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-21price $125,000
-
2026-05-14$140,000 Active
-
2004-05-06soldstatus $48,000
-
2004-05-04soldstatus $48,000 68-char remark
Show marketing remark (68 chars)
Home being sold as is with right to inspect. Special forms required.
-
2004-02-24$49,350 68-char remark
Show marketing remark (68 chars)
Home being sold as is with right to inspect. Special forms required.
-
1996-04-26soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,684 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,684 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 77% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,010
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,684
- − Insurance
- −$5,744
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,001
- − Management
- −$2,001
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $2,943
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$706
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,758/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — Hill 'n Dale
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hill 'n Dale, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,391
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 11% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Dominican Republic, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -75.28%
- Current HPI
- 282.3728
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+400.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $125,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Listed $140,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2004-05-04 Sold (MLS) $48,000 HCAR
- 2004-02-24 Listed $49,350 HCAR
- 1996-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,684 · -1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…