639 W 46th St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,998
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Currently listed as 3 br's/ could be 2 br's w/fla rm, also has enclosed area on front of home/probably a front porch at one time/ clean as a pin!! A cute bungalow nestled among the trees/ Laundry area beside garage/sellers say carpet, tile & roof on garage are new, agent has not verified/lrg patio off back of home/
Key facts
- Wood frame garage
- Asphalt shingle roof
- 5,662 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (1 space)
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story
- Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Awning(s) on patio/porch; Back yard with chain link fencing; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Electric water heater
- Laundry & utility: Unfurnished (no washer/dryer included listed)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $458 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 3.9% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 293 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $75k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.80%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $125,476
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 733 Escambia St | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 975 (-1%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $92 | 88 |
| 625 W 46th St | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,031 (+4%) | 5mo | $40,000 | $39 | 82 |
| 429 W 46th St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (+3%) | 2mo | $167,000 | $164 | 79 |
| 557 Chestnut Dr | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 943 (-5%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $133 | 79 |
| 569 W 49th St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 924 (-6%) | 2mo | $57,000 | $62 | 79 |
| 753 Fernway St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 | 929 (-6%) | 1mo | $110,000 | $118 | 70 |
| 6835 Vermillion St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 891 (-10%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $73 | 56 |
| 4562 Notter Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,052 (+6%) | 4mo | $139,000 | $132 | 55 |
| 6711 Drayton St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,088 (+10%) | 3mo | $138,000 | $127 | 50 |
| 4808 Silver St | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (+13%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $121 | 49 |
| 110 Tallulah Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,102 (+12%) | 2mo | $181,000 | $164 | 46 |
| 118 E 45th St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,132 (+15%) | 3mo | $161,000 | $142 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $10,810
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $32,409
- Equity at exit
- $7,781
Cash invested: $25,199 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32208
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 293
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,275 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$40 /mo · $485/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $458
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $509 | -5% $483 | +0% $458 | +5% $432 | +10% $407 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $357 | -5% $407 | +0% $458 | +5% $508 | +10% $559 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $503 | -0.5pp $481 | base $458 | +0.5pp $434 | +1.0pp $411 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 562 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1091 | $1,195 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5616 Calvin Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,195 | $1.19 | 8d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 5514 Long St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 941 | $1,250 | $1.33 | 3d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 425 W 47th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1083 | $1,193 | $1.10 | 8d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 6460 Lanark Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $1,095 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 319 W 49th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,200 | $1.23 | 25d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 385 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 356 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,425 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 535 W 59th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 816 | $1,395 | $1.71 | 8d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 141 W 43rd St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1022 | $1,231 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 4721 E Castlewood Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,250 | $1.24 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 4918 N Pearl St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $895 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 511 Ivy St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $995 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 92 W 55th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $845 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 18 W 43rd St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 5d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 451 Long Branch Blvd Unit 451 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,350 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7124 Lorain St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,043 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 666 Basswood St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1002 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1136 Maynard St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 919 | $1,045 | $1.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 1059 Glencarin St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $897 | $1.39 | 5d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 961 Dorchester St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 884 | $1,025 | $1.16 | 4d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 22 W 38th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 5035 N Main St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $1,459 | $1.79 | 25d | 69 | 0.71mi |
| 7210 Elwood Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 831 | $995 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 41 Tallulah Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,390 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3914 Springfield Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3914 Springfield Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,050 | $1.22 | 5d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 205 E 44th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 955 | $1,075 | $1.13 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3927 Notter Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $850 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3927 Notter Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $850 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 7511 N Shore Dr Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 5d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 217 E 48th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $1,096 | $1.12 | 11d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3933 Boulevard #2 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $748 | $1.09 | 8d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 222 E 43rd St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $946 | $1.13 | 25d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 849 W 30th St Apt 3 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $965 | $1.29 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 917 W 30th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,200 | $1.79 | 18d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3732 Lehigh St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 3730 Lehigh St Unit 3730 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $900 | $1.06 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 154 W 28th St Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 818 | $1,138 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 346 W 68th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,385 | $1.24 | 5d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,998 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-02-18$89,998 Active
-
2025-03-11soldstatus $75,000
-
2005-10-07soldstatus $82,900
-
2005-09-01historical 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Currently listed as 3 br's/ could be 2 br's w/fla rm, also has enclosed area on front of home/probably a front porch at one time/ clean as a pin!! A cute bungalow nestled among the trees/ Laundry area beside garage/sellers say carpet, tile & roof on garage are new, agent has not verified/lrg patio off back of home/
-
2005-07-16$83,500 320-char remark
Show marketing remark (320 chars)
Currently listed as 3 br's/ could be 2 br's w/fla rm, also has enclosed area on front of home/probably a front porch at one time/ clean as a pin!! A cute bungalow nestled among the trees/ Laundry area beside garage/sellers say carpet, tile & roof on garage are new, agent has not verified/lrg patio off back of home/
-
2005-02-07historical 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Property is HUd owned subject to rules Offered AS-IS without repair and subject to conditions Property IS NOT FHA INSURABLE Liens/code violations may/may not exist Broker/Purchaser to resolve LBP Mold evidence possible No remediation has or will be done HUD case # 091-315070
-
2005-02-02soldstatus $51,500 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Property is HUd owned subject to rules Offered AS-IS without repair and subject to conditions Property IS NOT FHA INSURABLE Liens/code violations may/may not exist Broker/Purchaser to resolve LBP Mold evidence possible No remediation has or will be done HUD case # 091-315070
-
2004-12-31$43,000 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Property is HUd owned subject to rules Offered AS-IS without repair and subject to conditions Property IS NOT FHA INSURABLE Liens/code violations may/may not exist Broker/Purchaser to resolve LBP Mold evidence possible No remediation has or will be done HUD case # 091-315070
-
1999-03-18soldstatus $59,900
-
1998-11-17soldstatus $35,200
-
1998-10-29soldstatus $30,200
-
1987-06-01soldstatus $33,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $485 · $40/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $747 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$262/yr (+$22/mo · 54.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,306
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$485
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,224
- − Management
- −$1,224
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $4,263
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,023
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,470/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,699
- Household income
- $41,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1765.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.56%
- Current HPI
- 217.9706
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.36%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+165.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Listed $89,998 realMLS
- 2025-03-11 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2005-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $82,900 Public Records
- 2005-09-01 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2005-07-16 Listed $83,500 realMLS
- 2005-02-07 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2005-02-02 Sold (MLS) $51,500 realMLS
- 2004-12-31 Listed $43,000 realMLS
- 1999-03-18 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
- 1998-11-17 Sold (Public Records) $35,200 Public Records
- 1998-10-29 Sold (Public Records) $30,200 Public Records
- 1987-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $33,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $485 · +62.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…