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1174 Ironstone Dr
A- Composite 80.31
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$88,900

1174 Ironstone Dr · Union, MI 48858
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 990 sqft · SingleFamily · 79 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition $90/sqft · 38% below area Est $144k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this brand-new 2025 Clayton single-wide home located in Summerhill Village! This thoughtfully designed home offers a spacious open-concept living room and kitchen, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. The private primary suite features a full bath and walk-in closet, while two additional bedrooms and a second full bath provide plenty of space for family, guests, or a home office. Enjoy modern finishes, functional layout, and low-maintenance living in a great community setting. Move-in ready and waiting for you to call it home!

Key facts

  • Built 2025
  • Listed 78 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.8% in Union — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade A — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Mt. Pleasant City School District (town): math 33% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #229 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pullen Elementary School (327 students, 68% FRL); Fancher School (math 44% / reading 56%, grade D+, #371 of 1,397 statewide, top 27%, 406 students, 47% FRL); Mt Pleasant Senior High School (math 42% / reading 57%, grade D, #154 of 713 statewide, top 25%, 1,058 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 53% FRL vs 36% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+16.9%/yr); 320 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 72 units permitted in Isabella County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Isabella County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $83,566 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
11.68%
Cash-on-cash
19.23%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$143,787
List price
$88,900
Delta
-38.17%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1147 Barnswood Ct 0.05mi 2/2.0 (-1) 940 (-5%) 16mo $29,500 $31 70
5371 S Crawford Rd 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+2%) 5mo $133,000 $132 58
1044 Jackson Ct 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,056 (+7%) 24mo $42,000 $40 58
5578 S Crawford Rd 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,008 (+2%) 2mo $185,500 $184 57
1029 Pebble Creek Dr 0.31mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,216 (+23%) 3mo $22,500 $19 53
3729 E Millbrook Rd 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,104 (+12%) 23mo $182,500 $165 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
16.7%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$17,803
Equity at exit
$13,255
10-year hold
IRR
28.7%
Equity multiple
4.18×
Total profit
$79,155
Equity at exit
$7,686

Cash invested: $24,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
6 active
Months of supply
12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$84,000 ($80/sqft)
Median days on market
35 d
This list price
67% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+82.6% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 48858

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Rents YoY
16.9%
Active inventory
320
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,283 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$466
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,334/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$269
Net cashflow
$399

Break-even live

Break-even rent $778
Max offer price $88,900
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $460 -5% $430 +0% $399 +5% $368 +10% $338
Rent -10% $298 -5% $348 +0% $399 +5% $450 +10% $500
Rate -1.0pp $444 -0.5pp $422 base $399 +0.5pp $376 +1.0pp $353

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,225
Closing costs
$2,667
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5280 S Mission Rd Mt Pleasant, MI 2.0–4.0 2.0 1264 $1,332 $1.05 93d 4 0.38mi
4171 E Blue Grass Rd Mt Pleasant, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $850 $1.06 93d 1 1.16mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Association covers trash removal

Exterior

Utilities
Public waterCommunity sewerNatural gas heatCable available
Home design
Residential manufactured home (single wide)Built in 2025
Construction
Vinyl sidingPiers foundation
Exterior features
PorchShedCleared lot

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherMicrowaveRange/OvenRefrigeratorKitchen on main level — 15 x 15
Bedrooms
First-floor bedroom (Main level) — 10 x 15, carpetBedroom 2 (Main level) — 11 x 12, carpetBedroom 3 (Main level) — 12 (width), carpet
Flooring
Carpet in bedrooms
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms (includes primary bath)
Heating & cooling
Forced air heatingCentral A/CCeiling fansExhaust fan
Interior features
Great roomPantryWalk-in closet
Laundry & utility
Laundry room on main level — 5 x 7

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-08-08
    days on market $88,900 Active 79 DOM
  2. 2026-08-07
    days on market $88,900 Active 78 DOM
  3. 2026-08-06
    days on market $88,900 Active 77 DOM
  4. 2026-08-05
    days on market $88,900 Active 76 DOM
  5. 2026-08-04
    days on market $88,900 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-08-03
    days on market $88,900 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-07-31
    days on market $88,900 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-07-30
    days on market $88,900 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-07-29
    days on market $88,900 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-07-27
    days on market $88,900 Active 67 DOM
  11. 2026-07-25
    days on market $88,900 Active 65 DOM
  12. 2026-07-24
    days on market $88,900 Active 64 DOM
  13. 2026-07-23
    listing id $88,900 Active 63 DOM
  14. 2026-07-23
    days on market $88,900 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-07-22
    days on market $88,900 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-07-21
    days on market $88,900 Active 61 DOM
  17. 2026-07-18
    days on market $88,900 Active 58 DOM
  18. 2026-07-16
    days on market $88,900 Active 56 DOM
  19. 2026-07-16
    days on market $88,900 Active 55 DOM
  20. 2026-07-14
    days on market $88,900 Active 54 DOM
  21. 2026-07-13
    days on market $88,900 Active 53 DOM
  22. 2026-07-12
    days on market $88,900 Active 52 DOM
  23. 2026-07-11
    days on market $88,900 Active 51 DOM
  24. 2026-07-10
    days on market $88,900 Active 50 DOM
  25. 2026-07-09
    days on market $88,900 Active 49 DOM
  26. 2026-07-08
    days on market $88,900 Active 48 DOM
  27. 2026-07-07
    days on market $88,900 Active 47 DOM
  28. 2026-07-06
    days on market $88,900 Active 46 DOM
  29. 2026-07-05
    days on market $88,900 Active 45 DOM
  30. 2026-07-04
    days on market $88,900 Active 44 DOM
  31. 2026-07-03
    days on market $88,900 Active 43 DOM
  32. 2026-07-02
    days on market $88,900 Active 42 DOM
  33. 2026-07-01
    days on market $88,900 Active 41 DOM
  34. 2026-06-30
    days on market $88,900 Active 40 DOM
  35. 2026-06-29
    days on market $88,900 Active 39 DOM
  36. 2026-06-28
    days on market $88,900 Active 38 DOM
  37. 2026-06-27
    days on market $88,900 Active 37 DOM
  38. 2026-06-26
    days on market $88,900 Active 35 DOM
  39. 2026-06-22
    days on market $88,900 Active 32 DOM
  40. 2026-06-21
    days on market $88,900 Active 31 DOM
  41. 2026-06-19
    days on market $88,900 Active 29 DOM
  42. 2026-06-18
    days on market $88,900 Active 28 DOM
  43. 2026-06-17
    days on market $88,900 Active 27 DOM
  44. 2026-06-16
    days on market $88,900 Active 26 DOM
  45. 2026-06-15
    days on market $88,900 Active 25 DOM
  46. 2026-06-14
    days on market $88,900 Active 23 DOM
  47. 2026-06-12
    days on market $88,900 Active 22 DOM
  48. 2026-06-09
    days on market $88,900 Active 19 DOM
  49. 2026-06-08
    days on market $88,900 Active 18 DOM
  50. 2026-06-07
    days on market $88,900 Active 17 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,393
− Mortgage interest
−$4,980
− Property taxes
−$1,334
− Insurance
−$444
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,231
− Management
−$1,231
− Depreciation
−$2,586
Taxable income
$3,586
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$861
After-tax cash flow
$3,927/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This 2025 Clayton single-wide home is move-in ready with a good condition score and no visible repairs needed. It offers a spacious open-concept layout and modern finishes, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
F Composite school gradezoned avg 44/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Vowles School Middle Mt Pleasant Middle School F MI #235/493 Nat'l #6,571/14,009 High Mt Pleasant Senior High School D MI #154/713 Nat'l #5,677/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mt. Pleasant City School District
NCES district ID
2624750
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$32,344
Composite
33.16/100
National rank
#5548
State rank
#229 of 540 in MI

Livability — Union

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Isabella County · 75,111 people
Metro
Mount Pleasant, MI
Population (ZIP)
42,226
Household income
$51,267
Rent vs Own
50.2% rent · 49.8% own
Severe rent burden
12% of renters

Population outlook (Isabella County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,111 people
By 2030
77,600 · +3.3%
By 2040
79,890 · +6.4%
By 2050
81,568 · +8.6%
By 2075
86,602 · +15.3%
By 2100
92,201 · +22.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 4% Black 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Isabella

2024 margin
Lean R (+7.5) · D 45.5% · R 53.0% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: 19.2pp · 2024: -7.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+7.5 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+9.3 2008: D+19.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $88,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $88,900 REALCOMP

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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