452 Christopher Dr · Bruceville-Eddy, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 70.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.5/15.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
If you're looking for a house outside city limits, with no restrictions, only 18 minutes to Waco and just a few minutes to Temple and Central Texas, come take a look at this mobile home that sits in approximately . 31 acres. Home has four bedrooms and two full baths, it has been kept in great condition and is constantly being updated by the owners, flooring has been recently updated with a beautiful vinyl plank, kitchen has been updated to fit the washer and dryer. Outside you will find a few tress that give a great amount of shade to enjoy the sitting space with family and friends in the front or backyard, seller will be adding a privacy fence to the backyard for added privacy and comfort.
Key facts
- Fresh coat of paint
- Privacy fence
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Septic; All-weather road
- Home design: Mobile home; One story
- Construction: Built in 1994; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Net fencing; Partially wooded lot; All-weather road access; Septic system
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1 with walk-in closet)
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Space heater; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
- Interior features: Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); One living area; One dining area; Room count: 4; One-level home
- Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($535/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (23.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $142k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bruceville-Eddy ISD (rural): math 26% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #654 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Bruceville-Eddy El (115 students, 63% FRL).
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.03%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $160,000
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- 15.62%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $103,493
- Equity at exit
- $166,663
- IRR
- 22.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.84×
- Total profit
- $302,340
- Equity at exit
- $359,414
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76524
- Home prices YoY
- 6.5%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,424 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$33 /mo · $402/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$299
- Net cashflow
- $45
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $185,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $185,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-05$185,000 Active 807-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $402 · $33/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,386 · $282/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,984/yr (+$249/mo · 742.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,093
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$402
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,367
- − Management
- −$1,367
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$2,714
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$651
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,186/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bruceville-Eddy ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811730
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,064
- Composite
- 24.54/100
- National rank
- #7645
- State rank
- #654 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bruceville-Eddy
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,855
Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 264,191 people
- By 2030
- 273,578 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 291,506 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 308,044 · +16.6%
- By 2075
- 349,648 · +32.3%
- By 2100
- 364,779 · +38.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 19% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · McLennan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 16.26%
- Current HPI
- 267.33
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $185,000 NTREIS
Property tax history
-3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $402 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…