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452 Christopher Dr
D Composite 42.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.6/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.5/15.0

$185,000

452 Christopher Dr · Bruceville-Eddy, TX 76524
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,484 sqft · Other · 43 Days on market
Built 1994 0.31 ac lot $125/sqft · 16% above area Est $160k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

If you're looking for a house outside city limits, with no restrictions, only 18 minutes to Waco and just a few minutes to Temple and Central Texas, come take a look at this mobile home that sits in approximately . 31 acres. Home has four bedrooms and two full baths, it has been kept in great condition and is constantly being updated by the owners, flooring has been recently updated with a beautiful vinyl plank, kitchen has been updated to fit the washer and dryer. Outside you will find a few tress that give a great amount of shade to enjoy the sitting space with family and friends in the front or backyard, seller will be adding a privacy fence to the backyard for added privacy and comfort.

Key facts

  • Fresh coat of paint
  • Privacy fence
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

APPROXIMATELY .31 ACRESRECENTLY UPDATED FLOORINGUPDATED KITCHENPRIVACY FENCEFRESH COAT OF PAINT

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Septic; All-weather road
  • Home design: Mobile home; One story
  • Construction: Built in 1994; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Net fencing; Partially wooded lot; All-weather road access; Septic system

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (primary bedroom on level 1 with walk-in closet)
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Space heater; Ceiling fan(s); Window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); One living area; One dining area; Room count: 4; One-level home
  • Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $45 ($535/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (23.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $142k (23.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bruceville-Eddy ISD (rural): math 26% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #654 of 826 in TX (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bruceville-Eddy El (115 students, 63% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 1,014 units permitted in McLennan County in 2024 (200 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • McLennan County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $142,441 (23.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
6.58%
Cash-on-cash
1.03%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,000
List price
$185,000
Delta
15.62%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$103,493
Equity at exit
$166,663
10-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
6.84×
Total profit
$302,340
Equity at exit
$359,414

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76524

Home prices YoY
6.5%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,424 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$33 /mo · $402/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$299
Net cashflow
$45

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,368
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $185,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $185,000 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $185,000 Active 24 DOM
  16. 2026-05-05
    listed $185,000 Active 807-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$402 · $33/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,386 · $282/mo
Expected delta
+$2,984/yr (+$249/mo · 742.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,093
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$402
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,367
− Management
−$1,367
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$2,714
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$651
After-tax cash flow
$1,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bruceville-Eddy ISD
NCES district ID
4811730
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$50,064
Composite
24.54/100
National rank
#7645
State rank
#654 of 826 in TX

Livability — Bruceville-Eddy

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,855

Population outlook (McLennan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
264,191 people
By 2030
273,578 · +3.6%
By 2040
291,506 · +10.3%
By 2050
308,044 · +16.6%
By 2075
349,648 · +32.3%
By 2100
364,779 · +38.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Hispanic / Latino 27% Two or more races 19% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 15%

Political lean MEDSL · McLennan

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.9) · D 34.0% · R 64.9% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.9pp · 2024: -30.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.9 2020: R+23.4 2016: R+27.1 2012: R+29.8 2008: R+23.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.26%
Current HPI
267.33
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $185,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

-3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $402 · -4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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