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627 Franklin Rd
D+ Composite 45.62
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

627 Franklin Rd · Pontiac, MI 48341
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,163 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1910 10,454 sqft lot Est $107k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent Potential! Spacious 3 Bed, 1 Bath Colonial (1,126 sqft) w/ functional layout. Basement and Oversized 2 Car Garage. NEWER HVAC '23, Roof '23, Water tank '24. Central AC. All Appliances stay. Generous lot, centrally located near shopping and major roads. Sold As-Is; Immediate Occupancy.

Key facts

  • 0.24 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1910

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 spaces; garage faces side
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Block foundation; Built with vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Vinyl siding; Porch; Outdoor lighting; Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 73 x 145.6 (0.24 acres)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Gas cooktop; Microwave; Free-standing refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (layout includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air; Window unit(s)
  • Interior features: Lighting; Porch; Back yard fencing; Unfinished basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $150k implies a 900% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $147,750 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.54%
Cash-on-cash
8.01%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$106,996
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
483 Pearsall Ave 0.13mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,138 (-2%) 3mo $139,900 $123 81
497 Montana Ave 0.44mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,195 (+3%) 4mo $102,000 $85 67
442 Howland Ave 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,159 (-0%) 11mo $135,000 $116 66
604 California Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,161 (-0%) 16mo $117,000 $101 64
23 Hillsmont Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,089 (-6%) 0mo $100,000 $92 62
564 Highland Ave 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,003 (-14%) 12mo $68,000 $68 60
551 Nebraska Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,247 (+7%) 11mo $66,000 $53 56
273 Dellwood Ave 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,002 (-14%) 8mo $125,000 $125 54
276 Hughes Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 1,184 (+2%) 16mo $52,502 $44 53
608 Nevada Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,039 (-11%) 7mo $130,000 $125 52
381 South Blvd W 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,240 (+7%) 14mo $95,000 $77 50
353 South Blvd W 0.53mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,303 (+12%) 12mo $90,000 $69 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-6,475
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
5.5%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$17,229
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48341

Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,549 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,130/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$325
Net cashflow
$281

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,194
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
594 Colorado Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,075 $1.07 24d 1 0.39mi
471 Montana Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1017 $1,599 $1.57 43d 1 0.44mi
611 Montana Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1112 $1,350 $1.21 43d 1 0.53mi
2083 S Telegraph Rd Bloomfield Twp, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 938 $2,200 $2.34 1d 24 0.53mi
249 W Wilson Ave Unit 1 Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,540 $1.71 43d 1 0.73mi
900 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd S Pontiac, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $1,065 $1.33 5d 1 0.84mi
124 Alice Ave Bloomfield Township, MI 3.0 1.0 1440 $2,000 $1.39 5d 1 0.90mi
1974 Klingensmith Rd #4 Bloomfield Hills, MI 2.0 2.0 1219 $1,995 $1.64 18d 1 1.04mi
442 Central Ave Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 16d 1 1.08mi
442 Central Ave Unit 1 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 5d 1 1.08mi
489 Central Ave Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1140 $1,195 $1.05 5d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $150,000 Pending 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active Under Contract 16 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active Under Contract 13 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $150,000 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active Under Contract 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active Under Contract 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active Under Contract 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active Under Contract 5 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    statusdays on market $150,000 Active Under Contract 4 DOM
  13. 2026-05-27
    listed $150,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    Excellent Potential! Spacious 3 Bed, 1 Bath Colonial (1,126 sqft) w/ functional layout. Basement and Oversized 2 Car Garage. NEWER HVAC '23, Roof '23, Water tank '24. Central AC. All Appliances stay. Generous lot, centrally located near shopping and major roads. Sold As-Is; Immediate Occupancy.

  14. 2026-05-27
    listed $150,000 Active 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    Excellent Potential! Spacious 3 Bed, 1 Bath Colonial (1,126 sqft) w/ functional layout. Basement and Oversized 2 Car Garage. NEWER HVAC '23, Roof '23, Water tank '24. Central AC. All Appliances stay. Generous lot, centrally located near shopping and major roads. Sold As-Is; Immediate Occupancy.

  15. 2007-11-26
    soldstatus $15,000 114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS HOME WITH LIMITLESS POTENTIAL. CONVENIENT LOCATION, SPACIOUS BEDROOMS. A MUST SEE. SOLD AS IS.

  16. 2007-11-26
    soldstatus $15,000
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS HOME WITH LIMITLESS POTENTIAL. CONVENIENT LOCATION, SPACIOUS BEDROOMS. A MUST SEE. SOLD AS IS.

  17. 2007-11-02
    historical 114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS HOME WITH LIMITLESS POTENTIAL. CONVENIENT LOCATION, SPACIOUS BEDROOMS. A MUST SEE. SOLD AS IS.

  18. 2007-09-20
    listed $15,400 114-char remark
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS HOME WITH LIMITLESS POTENTIAL. CONVENIENT LOCATION, SPACIOUS BEDROOMS. A MUST SEE. SOLD AS IS.

  19. 2007-09-20
    listed $15,400
    Show marketing remark (114 chars)

    ABSOLUTELY GORGEOUS HOME WITH LIMITLESS POTENTIAL. CONVENIENT LOCATION, SPACIOUS BEDROOMS. A MUST SEE. SOLD AS IS.

  20. 2006-07-10
    soldstatus $136,000
  21. 1994-04-20
    soldstatus $10,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,130 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,720 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$590/yr (+$49/mo · 52.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,589
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,130
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,487
− Management
−$1,487
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$969
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$233
After-tax cash flow
$3,134/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pontiac City School District
NCES district ID
2628740
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,888
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9802
State rank
#514 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pontiac

Score
64/100
State rank
#499
US rank
#14703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pontiac, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
44,593
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,924
Household income
$51,390
Rent vs Own
46.6% rent · 53.4% own
Severe rent burden
833.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Romanian 1% Swiss 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -204.11%
Current HPI
257.8941
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1400.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $150,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-27 Listed $150,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-11-26 Sold (MLS) $15,000 REALCOMP
  • 2007-11-26 Sold (MLS) $15,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-11-02 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-09-20 Listed $15,400 REALCOMP
  • 2007-09-20 Listed $15,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2006-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $136,000 Public Records
  • 1994-04-20 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,130 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…