221 25th Ave N · St. Cloud, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.8/30.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.2/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
HUD ACQUIRED, SOLD AS IS, SIMULTANEOUS OFFERS DUE 5/26/08, OWNER OCCUPANT ONLY, AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFO & MEASUREMENTS.
Key facts
- Small deck
- Local amenities
- Detached garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported around 1,096 square feet; One-and-one-half levels
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached 1-car garage (approx. 12 x 12)
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One-and-one-half story home; Main entry level with upper sleeping area
- Construction: Foundation area about 696 (foundation details provided); Above-grade finished area about 1,096
- Exterior features: Lot approx. 0.12 acre (dimensions about 42 x 125)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (both on upper level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Full, unfinished block basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer located in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (9.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (9.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.9% in St. Cloud — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Cloud Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #264 of 301 in MN (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Discovery Community Elementary (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #722 of 857 statewide, top 85%, 483 students, 85% FRL); North Junior High (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #219 of 258 statewide, top 86%, 708 students, 77% FRL); Apollo Senior High (math 27% / reading 47%, grade F, #282 of 471 statewide, top 63%, 1,225 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 48% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 154 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 661 units permitted in Stearns County in 2024 (291 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stearns County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $75k; list at $140k implies a 87% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.74%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $122,752
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 31st Ave N | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,120 (+2%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $112 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-17,007
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- -2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-7,547
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56303
- Active inventory
- 154
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,261 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,370/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $89
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $169 | -5% $129 | +0% $89 | +5% $50 | +10% $10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-10 | -5% $40 | +0% $89 | +5% $139 | +10% $189 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $160 | -0.5pp $125 | base $89 | +0.5pp $53 | +1.0pp $16 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 444 23rd Ave N Saint Cloud, MN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $1,745 | $1.27 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 327 19 1/2 Ave N Saint Cloud, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,175 | $1.57 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 2121 W Street Germain St Unit Main Floor St Cloud, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2121 W Saint Germain St Saint Cloud, MN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 801 15th Ave S Unit 2 St Cloud, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,175 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1015 7th St N Apt 2 St Cloud, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,100 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1212 Washington Memorial Dr Saint Cloud, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 866 | $1,295 | $1.49 | 45d | 9 | 1.09mi |
| 3201 14th St N Saint Cloud, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 852 | $1,045 | $1.23 | 45d | 2 | 1.33mi |
| 1310 15th St N St Cloud, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,090 | $1.32 | 45d | 18 | 1.37mi |
| 3600 W Saint Germain St Saint Cloud, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1095 | $1,950 | $1.78 | 45d | 16 | 1.39mi |
| 825 9th Ave S Saint Cloud, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 843 | $1,000 | $1.19 | 45d | 2 | 1.40mi |
| 1965 Quarry Rd Saint Cloud, MN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1008 | $1,335 | $1.32 | 45d | 5 | 1.41mi |
| 3403 22nd St S Unit 3403303R St Cloud, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $945 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3700 W Street Germain St Saint Cloud, MN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $1,615 | $1.74 | 45d | 11 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-04-10historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2026-03-24price $140,000
-
2026-03-02status Active
-
2026-02-26historical Contingent - Inspection
-
2026-02-10$150,000 Active
-
2008-07-24soldstatus $75,000
-
2008-07-16soldstatus $75,000 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
HUD ACQUIRED, SOLD AS IS, SIMULTANEOUS OFFERS DUE 5/26/08, OWNER OCCUPANT ONLY, AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFO & MEASUREMENTS.
-
2008-02-01$68,000 124-char remark
Show marketing remark (124 chars)
HUD ACQUIRED, SOLD AS IS, SIMULTANEOUS OFFERS DUE 5/26/08, OWNER OCCUPANT ONLY, AGENT TO VERIFY ALL INFO & MEASUREMENTS.
-
2004-10-28soldstatus $110,000 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
EXCELLENT FOR INVESTMENT/RENTAL PROPERTY OR FIRST TIME HOME BUYER. THIS 2 BR, 2 BA HOME IS READY TO MOVE RIGHT IN. NEWLY UPDATED KITCHEN AND MF BATH ARE ONLY A FEW OF THE RECENT UPDATES. NEWER FURNACE (1999) AND NEW ROOF (2000).
-
2004-09-22historical 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
EXCELLENT FOR INVESTMENT/RENTAL PROPERTY OR FIRST TIME HOME BUYER. THIS 2 BR, 2 BA HOME IS READY TO MOVE RIGHT IN. NEWLY UPDATED KITCHEN AND MF BATH ARE ONLY A FEW OF THE RECENT UPDATES. NEWER FURNACE (1999) AND NEW ROOF (2000).
-
2004-08-26$109,900 228-char remark
Show marketing remark (228 chars)
EXCELLENT FOR INVESTMENT/RENTAL PROPERTY OR FIRST TIME HOME BUYER. THIS 2 BR, 2 BA HOME IS READY TO MOVE RIGHT IN. NEWLY UPDATED KITCHEN AND MF BATH ARE ONLY A FEW OF THE RECENT UPDATES. NEWER FURNACE (1999) AND NEW ROOF (2000).
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,370 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,469 · $122/mo
- Expected delta
- +$99/yr (+$8/mo · 7.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,131
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,370
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,210
- − Management
- −$1,210
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable loss
- −$1,275
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$306
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,379/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Cloud Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733510
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,638
- Composite
- 27.91/100
- National rank
- #6866
- State rank
- #264 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Cloud
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Cloud, MN
- County
- Stearns County · 90,226 people
- City population
- 60,914
- Metro
- St. Cloud, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,827
- Household income
- $65,198
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 887.0
Population outlook (Stearns County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,629 people
- By 2030
- 166,495 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 172,661 · +6.2%
- By 2050
- 177,480 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 192,907 · +18.6%
- By 2100
- 206,274 · +26.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stearns
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+26.8) · D 35.7% · R 62.5% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -7.0pp · 2024: -26.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+26.8 2020: R+22.5 2016: R+27.9 2012: R+12.1 2008: R+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -187.45%
- Current HPI
- 135.2097
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- St. Cloud, MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+27.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $140,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-02 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-10 Listed $150,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-07-24 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
- 2008-07-16 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-02-01 Listed $68,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-10-28 Sold (MLS) $110,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-22 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-26 Listed $109,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,370 · -6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…