1473 S Float Ave · Freeport, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Property is a short sale and offers will need to be asking price or higher subject to lender approval. 3 bedroom, 1 bath, 1.5 story with a fenced-in back yard and detached 2-stall garage. Main level has a formal living room, dining room, kitchen and main floor laundry. The upper level has 3 bedrooms and full bath. May not qualify for government financing. Cash or conventional only. Property and appliances are being sold "as-is".
Key facts
- Fenced-in back yard
- Main floor laundry
- Dining room
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage; Concrete and gravel parking surfaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
- Construction: Wood siding construction
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Wood siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Gas cooktop; Gas water heater; Full basement with sump pump
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.6% vs local median 5.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: commute F, employment F.
- Freeport SD 145 (town): math 11% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #565 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Freeport High School (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #479 of 693 statewide, top 71%, 1,080 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.28%
- DSCR
- 3.90
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $106,575
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1441 S Float Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 966 (-5%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $83 | 83 |
| 1540 S Float Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-2%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $75 | 82 |
| 514 E Garden St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (-3%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $153 | 77 |
| 1478 S High Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,122 (+10%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $134 | 75 |
| 1762 S Oak Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,004 (-1%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $80 | 69 |
| 108 E South St | 0.25mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 954 (-6%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $105 | 68 |
| 1208 S Fruit Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-5%) | 10mo | $35,500 | $37 | 63 |
| 516 W Garfield St | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,028 (+1%) | 8mo | $120,000 | $117 | 53 |
| 1727 S Oak Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,112 (+10%) | 9mo | $112,500 | $101 | 50 |
| 1620 S Highland Ave | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 880 (-13%) | 8mo | $65,000 | $74 | 49 |
| 510 W Dewey St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,109 (+9%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $135 | 47 |
| 436 W Garfield St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 914 (-10%) | 6mo | $128,500 | $141 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 64.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.89×
- Total profit
- $32,311
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 68.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.00×
- Total profit
- $78,250
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61032
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 197
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,217 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$128 /mo · $1,532/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$256
- Net cashflow
- $608
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 E Shawnee St Freeport, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,495 | $1.55 | 21d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 816 S James Ave Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,325 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1645 Hilltop Pl Unit 2 Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1008 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1645 Hilltop Pl Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,000 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 316 E Winslow St Freeport, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 812 | $1,295 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 742 W Homer St Freeport, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1434 | $1,325 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1763 S Hance Dr Unit 6 Freeport, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $950 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 837 W Stephenson St Freeport, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1330 | $1,000 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 435 N Apple Ave Freeport, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,450 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $39,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $39,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $39,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $39,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $39,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $39,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $39,900 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $39,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $39,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $39,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 432-char remark
-
2026-06-02days on market $39,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $39,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $39,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-20status Active
-
2026-04-09historical
-
2026-03-13status Pending
-
2026-03-04status Active
-
2025-08-25status Pending
-
2025-08-08price $39,900
-
2025-06-10$54,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,532 · $128/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,603
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$1,532
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,168
- − Management
- −$1,168
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $7,139
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,713
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,580/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Freeport SD 145
- NCES district ID
- 1715900
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 12% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,803
- Composite
- 9.89/100
- National rank
- #9821
- State rank
- #565 of 620 in IL
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #302
- US rank
- #5927
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,072
Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,802 people
- By 2030
- 39,487 · -5.5%
- By 2040
- 34,534 · -17.4%
- By 2050
- 29,693 · -29.0%
- By 2075
- 21,196 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 14,596 · -65.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.75%
- Current HPI
- 163.677
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-27.3% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — NWIAR
- 2026-04-09 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-13 Pending — NWIAR
- 2026-03-04 Relisted — NWIAR
- 2025-08-25 Pending — NWIAR
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $39,900 NWIAR
- 2025-06-10 Listed $54,900 NWIAR
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,532 · +28.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…