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1473 S Float Ave
B- Composite 67.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

1473 S Float Ave · Freeport, IL 61032
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,015 sqft · SingleFamily · 114 Days on market
Built 1897 5,227 sqft lot ↓ 27% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Property is a short sale and offers will need to be asking price or higher subject to lender approval. 3 bedroom, 1 bath, 1.5 story with a fenced-in back yard and detached 2-stall garage. Main level has a formal living room, dining room, kitchen and main floor laundry. The upper level has 3 bedrooms and full bath. May not qualify for government financing. Cash or conventional only. Property and appliances are being sold "as-is".

Key facts

  • Fenced-in back yard
  • Main floor laundry
  • Dining room

Tags

FENCED-IN BACK YARDDETACHED 2-STALL GARAGEFORMAL LIVING ROOMDINING ROOMMAIN FLOOR LAUNDRYUPPER LEVEL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage; Concrete and gravel parking surfaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Wood siding

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Interior features: Gas cooktop; Gas water heater; Full basement with sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $36k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.6% vs local median 5.8% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#302 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Freeport SD 145 (town): math 11% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #565 of 620 in IL (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Freeport High School (math 11% / reading 18%, grade F, #479 of 693 statewide, top 71%, 1,080 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 197 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 78% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7 units permitted in Stephenson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Stephenson County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($36k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (27%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.8% of price; built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $36,309 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.05%
Cap rate
24.57%
Cash-on-cash
65.28%
DSCR
3.90
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$106,575
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1441 S Float Ave 0.07mi 3/1.5 966 (-5%) 4mo $80,000 $83 83
1540 S Float Ave 0.09mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-2%) 8mo $75,000 $75 82
514 E Garden St 0.32mi 3/1.0 980 (-3%) 2mo $150,000 $153 77
1478 S High Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,122 (+10%) 4mo $150,000 $134 75
1762 S Oak Ave 0.51mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,004 (-1%) 1mo $80,000 $80 69
108 E South St 0.25mi 2/2.0 (-1) 954 (-6%) 1mo $100,000 $105 68
1208 S Fruit Ave 0.31mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-5%) 10mo $35,500 $37 63
516 W Garfield St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,028 (+1%) 8mo $120,000 $117 53
1727 S Oak Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,112 (+10%) 9mo $112,500 $101 50
1620 S Highland Ave 0.36mi 2/1.0 (-1) 880 (-13%) 8mo $65,000 $74 49
510 W Dewey St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,109 (+9%) 1mo $150,000 $135 47
436 W Garfield St 0.66mi 2/1.0 (-1) 914 (-10%) 6mo $128,500 $141 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
64.5%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$32,311
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
68.9%
Equity multiple
8.00×
Total profit
$78,250
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61032

Home prices YoY
-19.5%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,217 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,532/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$608

Break-even live

Break-even rent $448
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
810 E Shawnee St Freeport, IL 2.0 1.0 962 $1,495 $1.55 21d 1 0.66mi
816 S James Ave Freeport, IL 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,325 $1.15 44d 1 0.76mi
1645 Hilltop Pl Unit 2 Freeport, IL 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,000 $0.99 44d 1 0.88mi
1645 Hilltop Pl Freeport, IL 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,000 $0.99 44d 1 0.88mi
316 E Winslow St Freeport, IL 2.0 1.0 812 $1,295 $1.59 21d 1 0.93mi
742 W Homer St Freeport, IL 3.0 1.0 1434 $1,325 $0.92 44d 1 1.17mi
1763 S Hance Dr Unit 6 Freeport, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $950 $1.19 44d 1 1.31mi
837 W Stephenson St Freeport, IL 2.0 1.0 1330 $1,000 $0.75 44d 1 1.45mi
435 N Apple Ave Freeport, IL 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,450 $0.97 44d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $39,900 Active 114 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $39,900 Active 113 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $39,900 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $39,900 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $39,900 Active 109 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $39,900 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $39,900 Active 105 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $39,900 Active 104 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $39,900 Active 102 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $39,900 Active 99 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 432-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,900 Active 98 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $39,900 Active 97 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 96 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,900 Active 95 DOM
  17. 2026-05-20
    status Active
  18. 2026-04-09
    historical
  19. 2026-03-13
    status Pending
  20. 2026-03-04
    status Active
  21. 2025-08-25
    status Pending
  22. 2025-08-08
    price $39,900
  23. 2025-06-10
    listed $54,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,532 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,532 · $128/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,603
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$1,532
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,168
− Management
−$1,168
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$7,139
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,713
After-tax cash flow
$5,580/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Freeport SD 145
NCES district ID
1715900
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$39,803
Composite
9.89/100
National rank
#9821
State rank
#565 of 620 in IL

Livability — Freeport

Score
72/100
State rank
#302
US rank
#5927

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Freeport, IL
Population (ZIP)
29,072

Population outlook (Stephenson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,802 people
By 2030
39,487 · -5.5%
By 2040
34,534 · -17.4%
By 2050
29,693 · -29.0%
By 2075
21,196 · -49.3%
By 2100
14,596 · -65.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Stephenson

2024 margin
R (+19.4) · D 39.5% · R 58.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-26.1pp toward R · 2008: 6.7pp · 2024: -19.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.4 2020: R+15.7 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+4.6 2008: D+6.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.75%
Current HPI
163.677
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-27.3% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Relisted NWIAR
  • 2026-04-09 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-13 Pending NWIAR
  • 2026-03-04 Relisted NWIAR
  • 2025-08-25 Pending NWIAR
  • 2025-08-08 Price Changed $39,900 NWIAR
  • 2025-06-10 Listed $54,900 NWIAR

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,532 · +28.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…