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852 County Road 410
B- Composite 67.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,999

852 County Road 410 · Clanton, AL 35045
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,280 sqft · Manufactured public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1976 0.82 ac lot ↓ 33% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Double-wide on 1 acre +/-, bricked foundation. Large workshop with concrete floor.

Key facts

  • 0.8 acres
  • Large workshop
  • 0.82 acre lot

Tags

LARGE WORKSHOP0.8 ACRES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 0.82 acre
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic system; Internet service availability unknown
  • Home design: Existing construction; Single-story (all rooms listed at level 1)
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Crawl space foundation with pillars/support
  • Exterior features: Workshop on property; No patio, deck, garden/patio, or pool listed; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level; Additional bedrooms on main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Subflooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: No heat; No air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceilings: Other (see remarks); No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $846 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Cap rate 26.6% vs local median 3.3% in Clanton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#259 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Chilton County (rural): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #94 of 129 in AL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Clanton Elementary School (math 37% / reading 55%, grade D-, #164 of 627 statewide, top 26%, 1,028 students, 67% FRL); Clanton Middle School (math 7% / reading 35%, grade F, #188 of 257 statewide, top 74%, 478 students, 74% FRL); Chilton County High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #195 of 305 statewide, top 68%, 783 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 70% FRL vs 54% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 125 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Chilton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chilton County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.92%
Cap rate
26.59%
Cash-on-cash
72.50%
DSCR
4.23
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
72.2%
Equity multiple
4.27×
Total profit
$45,767
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
76.1%
Equity multiple
8.80×
Total profit
$109,214
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35045

Home prices YoY
-25.8%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,459 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$24 /mo · $288/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$306
Net cashflow
$846

Break-even live

Break-even rent $389
Max offer price $49,999
Occupancy floor 37%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $874 -5% $860 +0% $846 +5% $832 +10% $818
Rent -10% $731 -5% $788 +0% $846 +5% $903 +10% $961
Rate -1.0pp $871 -0.5pp $859 base $846 +0.5pp $833 +1.0pp $820

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $49,999 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,999 Contingent 11 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $49,999 Contingent 10 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,999 Active 9 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,999 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,999 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,999 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,999 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    remarks 502-char remark
  10. 2026-05-31
    listed $49,999 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$288 · $24/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$288 · $24/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,511
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$288
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,401
− Management
−$1,401
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$9,917
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,380
After-tax cash flow
$7,770/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chilton County
NCES district ID
0100660
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,269
Composite
20.73/100
National rank
#8520
State rank
#94 of 129 in AL

Livability — Clanton

Score
61/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#18072

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Chilton County · 15,324 people
City population
15,324
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
Population (ZIP)
15,324
Household income
$65,907
Rent vs Own
28.3% rent · 71.7% own
Severe rent burden
326.0

Population outlook (Chilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,064 people
By 2030
43,694 · -0.8%
By 2040
42,168 · -4.3%
By 2050
39,667 · -10.0%
By 2075
31,397 · -28.7%
By 2100
21,319 · -51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chilton

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.1) · D 13.7% · R 85.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.8pp · 2024: -72.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.1 2020: R+67.4 2016: R+66.6 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+57.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.21%
Current HPI
187.6339
Rent YoY
Metro
Birmingham-Hoover, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-33.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $49,999 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-01-22 Sold (Public Records) $68,500 Public Records
  • 2018-02-08 Sold (MLS) $49,900 MAAR
  • 2018-02-08 Sold (MLS) $49,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2017-06-14 Listed $49,000 MAAR
  • 2017-06-12 Listed $49,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2002-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
  • 2000-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
  • 2000-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $288 · +10.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…