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3266 Lcr 252
B- Composite 69.39
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.4/30.0
  • DSCR +9.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0

$95,000

3266 Lcr 252 · Lake Colorado City, TX 79512
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,364 sqft · SingleFamily · 308 Days on market
Built 1945 Fair condition 0.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 Bed 2 Baths Lake Bungalow. Come sit on the patio. .. .soak in the view. .. .make those LAKE memories ! This house provided the owners many years of memories and they are ready to turn it over to the next lucky owner! Deeded land and a nice dock too! With 2 Murphy beds in the living area (craftfully designed to fold right up when no in use) you can invite all the friends and family ! Large storage container for all your lake toys ! Seller is leaving a lot of furnishings and its ready for use the day you buy it. Owner financing $20,000 down, 10 year note 6.5% ! Start your lake adventure NOW.

Key facts

  • Murphy beds
  • Patio
  • Lake bungalow

Tags

LAKE BUNGALOWPATIOMURPHY BEDSFLOATING DOCKLARGE STORAGE CONTAINER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $249 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#782 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Westbrook ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #429 of 1,141 in TX (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (4.4% local appreciation)).
  • Mitchell County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (4.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 308 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 308 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.43%
Cash-on-cash
11.21%
DSCR
1.50
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$34,367
Equity at exit
$50,245
10-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
4.46×
Total profit
$91,974
Equity at exit
$83,884

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79512

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
86
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,146 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax est. 1.5%
$119 /mo · $1,425/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$241
Net cashflow
$249

Break-even live

Break-even rent $831
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $314 -5% $281 +0% $249 +5% $216 +10% $183
Rent -10% $158 -5% $203 +0% $249 +5% $294 +10% $339
Rate -1.0pp $296 -0.5pp $273 base $249 +0.5pp $224 +1.0pp $199

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    status Pending 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    2 Bed 2 Baths Lake Bungalow. Come sit on the patio. .. .soak in the view. .. .make those LAKE memories ! This house provided the owners many years of memories and they are ready to turn it over to the next lucky owner! Deeded land and a nice dock too! With 2 Murphy beds in the living area (craftfully designed to fold right up when no in use) you can invite all the friends and family ! Large storage container for all your lake toys ! Seller is leaving a lot of furnishings and its ready for use the day you buy it. Owner financing $20,000 down, 10 year note 6.5% ! Start your lake adventure NOW.

  2. 2026-04-06
    status Active 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    2 Bed 2 Baths Lake Bungalow. Come sit on the patio. .. .soak in the view. .. .make those LAKE memories ! This house provided the owners many years of memories and they are ready to turn it over to the next lucky owner! Deeded land and a nice dock too! With 2 Murphy beds in the living area (craftfully designed to fold right up when no in use) you can invite all the friends and family ! Large storage container for all your lake toys ! Seller is leaving a lot of furnishings and its ready for use the day you buy it. Owner financing $20,000 down, 10 year note 6.5% ! Start your lake adventure NOW.

  3. 2026-03-16
    historical Active Under Contract 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    2 Bed 2 Baths Lake Bungalow. Come sit on the patio. .. .soak in the view. .. .make those LAKE memories ! This house provided the owners many years of memories and they are ready to turn it over to the next lucky owner! Deeded land and a nice dock too! With 2 Murphy beds in the living area (craftfully designed to fold right up when no in use) you can invite all the friends and family ! Large storage container for all your lake toys ! Seller is leaving a lot of furnishings and its ready for use the day you buy it. Owner financing $20,000 down, 10 year note 6.5% ! Start your lake adventure NOW.

  4. 2026-03-04
    status Active 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    2 Bed 2 Baths Lake Bungalow. Come sit on the patio. .. .soak in the view. .. .make those LAKE memories ! This house provided the owners many years of memories and they are ready to turn it over to the next lucky owner! Deeded land and a nice dock too! With 2 Murphy beds in the living area (craftfully designed to fold right up when no in use) you can invite all the friends and family ! Large storage container for all your lake toys ! Seller is leaving a lot of furnishings and its ready for use the day you buy it. Owner financing $20,000 down, 10 year note 6.5% ! Start your lake adventure NOW.

  5. 2025-11-04
    historical Active Under Contract 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    2 Bed 2 Baths Lake Bungalow. Come sit on the patio. .. .soak in the view. .. .make those LAKE memories ! This house provided the owners many years of memories and they are ready to turn it over to the next lucky owner! Deeded land and a nice dock too! With 2 Murphy beds in the living area (craftfully designed to fold right up when no in use) you can invite all the friends and family ! Large storage container for all your lake toys ! Seller is leaving a lot of furnishings and its ready for use the day you buy it. Owner financing $20,000 down, 10 year note 6.5% ! Start your lake adventure NOW.

  6. 2025-07-14
    listed $95,000 Active 601-char remark
    Show marketing remark (601 chars)

    2 Bed 2 Baths Lake Bungalow. Come sit on the patio. .. .soak in the view. .. .make those LAKE memories ! This house provided the owners many years of memories and they are ready to turn it over to the next lucky owner! Deeded land and a nice dock too! With 2 Murphy beds in the living area (craftfully designed to fold right up when no in use) you can invite all the friends and family ! Large storage container for all your lake toys ! Seller is leaving a lot of furnishings and its ready for use the day you buy it. Owner financing $20,000 down, 10 year note 6.5% ! Start your lake adventure NOW.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,747
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,425
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,100
− Management
−$1,100
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$1,563
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$375
After-tax cash flow
$2,607/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This home requires moderate repairs and updates to improve its condition and value. Key areas for improvement include the roof, exterior siding, interior walls, and kitchen and bathroom fixtures.

Repairs flagged

  • Major roof — visible wear
  • Major exterior siding — weathered
  • Major interior walls — paint peeling
  • Major kitchen cabinets — dated
  • Major bathroom fixtures — dated

Value-add opportunities

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both replace water heater — improves comfort and reduces maintenance costs
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes space and increases resale value
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes space and increases resale value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
roof · visible wear Major $15,000–50,000
exterior siding · weathered Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · paint peeling Major $15,000–50,000
kitchen cabinets · dated Major $15,000–50,000
bathroom fixtures · dated Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both paint exterior — enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both replace water heater — improves comfort and reduces maintenance costs
  • Both update kitchen cabinets — modernizes space and increases resale value
  • Both update bathroom fixtures — modernizes space and increases resale value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westbrook ISD
NCES district ID
4845210
Math proficiency
50% ▲ 10.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$51,806
Composite
43.02/100
National rank
#6658
State rank
#429 of 1141 in TX

Livability — Lake Colorado City

Score
64/100
State rank
#782
US rank
#14249

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lake Colorado City, TX
City population
7,672
Population (ZIP)
7,672

Population outlook (Mitchell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
8,476 people
By 2030
8,723 · +2.9%
By 2040
9,046 · +6.7%
By 2050
9,200 · +8.5%
By 2075
8,936 · +5.4%
By 2100
7,978 · -5.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 20% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 34%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 18% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mitchell

2024 margin
Solid R (+71.3) · D 14.0% · R 85.3%
2008→2024 swing
-20.8pp toward R · 2008: -50.5pp · 2024: -71.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+71.3 2020: R+68.8 2016: R+65.2 2012: R+52.7 2008: R+50.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.37%
Current HPI
99.8822
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Pending PBBOR
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted PBBOR
  • 2026-03-16 Contingent PBBOR
  • 2026-03-04 Relisted PBBOR
  • 2025-11-04 Contingent PBBOR
  • 2025-07-14 Listed $95,000 PBBOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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