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45 June Berry Dr
C- Composite 52.52
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.5/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +2.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$225,000

45 June Berry Dr · Thornhurst, PA 18424
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,150 sqft · SingleFamily · 134 Days on market
0.30 ac lot $196/sqft · 11% above area Est $203k · 11% over $87/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home designed with family living in mind. Featuring a comfortable layout, bright living spaces, and a backyard perfect for playtime or gatherings, this home is ready for memories to be made.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Listed 134 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $171 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $225k).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • North Pocono SD (rural): math 45% / reading 71% proficiency, ranked #82 of 539 in PA (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 251 units permitted in Lackawanna County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $19k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Lackawanna County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 134 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $198,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 134 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.21%
Cash-on-cash
3.26%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$203,158
List price
$225,000
Delta
10.75%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
34 Cedar Ln 0.25mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,193 (+4%) 2mo $105,000 $88 75
149 Magnolia Dr 0.11mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,028 (-11%) 0mo $180,000 $175 70
22 Primrose Ln 0.15mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,240 (+8%) 6mo $195,000 $157 70
314 Evergreen L 314 Dr 0.36mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,112 (-3%) 20mo $118,000 $106 56
45 Hawthorn Dr 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,079 (-6%) 17mo $162,500 $151 50
31 (f/k/a 441) Evergreen Dr 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-10%) 21mo $180,000 $173 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.45% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.5%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$110,267
Equity at exit
$177,952
10-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
5.96×
Total profit
$312,456
Equity at exit
$360,139

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18424

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
299
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,295 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax est. 1.5%
$281 /mo · $3,375/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$87
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$482
Net cashflow
$171

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,078
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17 Joseph Ln Thornhurst Township, PA 4.0 2.0 1200 $2,295 $1.91 13d 1 0.22mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$87 · $1,044/yr

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 134 DOM
  2. 2026-05-30
    days on market $225,000 Active 133 DOM
  3. 2026-01-17
    listed $225,000 Active 233-char remark
    Show marketing remark (233 chars)

    Welcome to this charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home designed with family living in mind. Featuring a comfortable layout, bright living spaces, and a backyard perfect for playtime or gatherings, this home is ready for memories to be made.

  4. 2023-09-05
    soldstatus $257,000
  5. 2023-08-25
    soldstatus $257,000 Closed 1133-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1133 chars)

    Welcome to your future home in the amenity filled community of Thornhurst Country Club Estates! This 3 Bed/2 bath home was just renovated. This home is located in the North Pocono School district and features a gorgeous Brand-new kitchen, with stainless steel appliances and granite countertops. There are 2 Beautiful Brand-new bathrooms and all new Luxury Vinyl flooring throughout, The Lower level can easily be finished to an additional 1000 sq. ft of living, not included in the gross sq ft listed. It's Just waiting for you to make it your dream space, a home theater, office, man cave?, Baths: 2+ Bath Lev 1,Modern, Beds: 2+ Bed 1st, Mstr 1st, SqFt Fin - Main: 1110.00, SqFt Fin - 3rd: 0.00, Tax Information: Available, Modern Kitchen: Y, SqFt Fin - 2nd: 0.00, Additional Info: The Community features a 9-hole, Par 31 golf course, clubhouse, Pavilion, swimming pool, basketball, and tennis courts. It's almost totally surrounded by the Lackawanna State Forest and State Game lands w/ snowmobile & hiking trails!!!Link to website to see more information on the community:http://thornhurstcountryclubestates.com/thornhurst/

  6. 2023-07-15
    status Pending 1133-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1133 chars)

    Welcome to your future home in the amenity filled community of Thornhurst Country Club Estates! This 3 Bed/2 bath home was just renovated. This home is located in the North Pocono School district and features a gorgeous Brand-new kitchen, with stainless steel appliances and granite countertops. There are 2 Beautiful Brand-new bathrooms and all new Luxury Vinyl flooring throughout, The Lower level can easily be finished to an additional 1000 sq. ft of living, not included in the gross sq ft listed. It's Just waiting for you to make it your dream space, a home theater, office, man cave?, Baths: 2+ Bath Lev 1,Modern, Beds: 2+ Bed 1st, Mstr 1st, SqFt Fin - Main: 1110.00, SqFt Fin - 3rd: 0.00, Tax Information: Available, Modern Kitchen: Y, SqFt Fin - 2nd: 0.00, Additional Info: The Community features a 9-hole, Par 31 golf course, clubhouse, Pavilion, swimming pool, basketball, and tennis courts. It's almost totally surrounded by the Lackawanna State Forest and State Game lands w/ snowmobile & hiking trails!!!Link to website to see more information on the community:http://thornhurstcountryclubestates.com/thornhurst/

  7. 2023-06-26
    status Active 1133-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1133 chars)

    Welcome to your future home in the amenity filled community of Thornhurst Country Club Estates! This 3 Bed/2 bath home was just renovated. This home is located in the North Pocono School district and features a gorgeous Brand-new kitchen, with stainless steel appliances and granite countertops. There are 2 Beautiful Brand-new bathrooms and all new Luxury Vinyl flooring throughout, The Lower level can easily be finished to an additional 1000 sq. ft of living, not included in the gross sq ft listed. It's Just waiting for you to make it your dream space, a home theater, office, man cave?, Baths: 2+ Bath Lev 1,Modern, Beds: 2+ Bed 1st, Mstr 1st, SqFt Fin - Main: 1110.00, SqFt Fin - 3rd: 0.00, Tax Information: Available, Modern Kitchen: Y, SqFt Fin - 2nd: 0.00, Additional Info: The Community features a 9-hole, Par 31 golf course, clubhouse, Pavilion, swimming pool, basketball, and tennis courts. It's almost totally surrounded by the Lackawanna State Forest and State Game lands w/ snowmobile & hiking trails!!!Link to website to see more information on the community:http://thornhurstcountryclubestates.com/thornhurst/

  8. 2023-06-18
    status Pending 1133-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1133 chars)

    Welcome to your future home in the amenity filled community of Thornhurst Country Club Estates! This 3 Bed/2 bath home was just renovated. This home is located in the North Pocono School district and features a gorgeous Brand-new kitchen, with stainless steel appliances and granite countertops. There are 2 Beautiful Brand-new bathrooms and all new Luxury Vinyl flooring throughout, The Lower level can easily be finished to an additional 1000 sq. ft of living, not included in the gross sq ft listed. It's Just waiting for you to make it your dream space, a home theater, office, man cave?, Baths: 2+ Bath Lev 1,Modern, Beds: 2+ Bed 1st, Mstr 1st, SqFt Fin - Main: 1110.00, SqFt Fin - 3rd: 0.00, Tax Information: Available, Modern Kitchen: Y, SqFt Fin - 2nd: 0.00, Additional Info: The Community features a 9-hole, Par 31 golf course, clubhouse, Pavilion, swimming pool, basketball, and tennis courts. It's almost totally surrounded by the Lackawanna State Forest and State Game lands w/ snowmobile & hiking trails!!!Link to website to see more information on the community:http://thornhurstcountryclubestates.com/thornhurst/

  9. 2023-04-14
    listed $264,900 Active 1133-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1133 chars)

    Welcome to your future home in the amenity filled community of Thornhurst Country Club Estates! This 3 Bed/2 bath home was just renovated. This home is located in the North Pocono School district and features a gorgeous Brand-new kitchen, with stainless steel appliances and granite countertops. There are 2 Beautiful Brand-new bathrooms and all new Luxury Vinyl flooring throughout, The Lower level can easily be finished to an additional 1000 sq. ft of living, not included in the gross sq ft listed. It's Just waiting for you to make it your dream space, a home theater, office, man cave?, Baths: 2+ Bath Lev 1,Modern, Beds: 2+ Bed 1st, Mstr 1st, SqFt Fin - Main: 1110.00, SqFt Fin - 3rd: 0.00, Tax Information: Available, Modern Kitchen: Y, SqFt Fin - 2nd: 0.00, Additional Info: The Community features a 9-hole, Par 31 golf course, clubhouse, Pavilion, swimming pool, basketball, and tennis courts. It's almost totally surrounded by the Lackawanna State Forest and State Game lands w/ snowmobile & hiking trails!!!Link to website to see more information on the community:http://thornhurstcountryclubestates.com/thornhurst/

  10. 2022-02-14
    soldstatus $114,500
  11. 2022-02-11
    soldstatus $114,500 Closed
  12. 2022-02-11
    soldstatus $114,500
  13. 2022-02-10
    soldstatus
  14. 2022-02-10
    soldstatus $114,500
  15. 2022-01-13
    status Pending
  16. 2021-12-17
    status Active
  17. 2021-12-07
    status Pending
  18. 2021-11-02
    listed $119,000 Active
  19. 2021-11-01
    listed $119,000
  20. 2021-11-01
    listed $119,000
  21. 2021-11-01
    listed $119,000
  22. 2017-08-28
    soldstatus $24,900
  23. 2017-06-14
    listed $24,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,540
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$3,375
− Insurance
−$1,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,203
− Management
−$2,203
− HOA
−$1,044
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$1,559
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$374
After-tax cash flow
$2,428/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
North Pocono SD
NCES district ID
4217310
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
71% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$59,555
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1894
State rank
#82 of 539 in PA

Livability — Thornhurst

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,076

Population outlook (Lackawanna County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
210,652 people
By 2030
208,623 · -1.0%
By 2040
203,980 · -3.2%
By 2050
201,069 · -4.5%
By 2075
205,026 · -2.7%
By 2100
210,851 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Iranian 6% Scotch-Irish 3%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lackawanna

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.0% · R 48.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.2pp toward R · 2008: 26.0pp · 2024: 2.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.8 2020: D+8.4 2016: D+3.4 2012: D+27.4 2008: D+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.45%
Current HPI
399.903
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+803.6% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-17 Listed $225,000 LCAR
  • 2023-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $257,000 Public Records
  • 2023-08-25 Sold (MLS) $257,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-07-15 Pending GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-06-26 Relisted GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-06-18 Pending GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2023-04-14 Listed $264,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $114,500 Public Records
  • 2022-02-11 Sold (MLS) $114,500 PMAR
  • 2022-02-11 Sold (MLS) $114,500 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2022-02-10 Sold (MLS) $114,500 PWMLS
  • 2022-02-10 Sold (MLS) PWMLS
  • 2022-01-13 Pending GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2021-12-17 Relisted GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2021-12-07 Pending GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2021-11-02 Listed $119,000 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2021-11-01 Listed $119,000 PWMLS
  • 2021-11-01 Listed $119,000 PWMLS
  • 2021-11-01 Listed $119,000 PMAR
  • 2017-08-28 Sold (MLS) $24,900 LCAR
  • 2017-06-14 Listed $24,900 LCAR

Property tax history

+30.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $71,804 · +1397.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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