Fourplex
116 S Lincoln Ave · Loveland, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$640,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
116 S Lincoln Avenue is a fully leased, 4-unit mixed-use property consisting of a 1,917 SF restaurant building and a three-unit multi-family dwelling situated on a 0.23 acre lot located near the southeast corner of E 1st Street and S Lincoln Avenue in Downtown, Loveland, Colorado. The property sits in close proximity to new and exciting development in Downtown Loveland, including The Foundry Plaza - a mixed-use development spanning three blocks consisting of apartments, restaurants, a salon, hotel, dine-in movie theater, and a central plaza for community entertainment. The flexible DT - Downtown zoning offers a myriad of potential uses including retail, office, residential, and general comm
Key facts
- Flexible dt zoning
- Small grease trap
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Gross income: $69,399.62; Net operating income: $49,571.62; Tenants pay deposit, gas, electricity, water, and sewer
- HOA & community: No association fees or transfer fees
Exterior
- Parking: Total parking for 11 vehicles
- Utilities: City water with meter installed; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Electricity available; No water rights
- Home design: Residential income property; Single-story (one level); Not new construction (previously owned); Zoned DT
- Construction: Frame and brick construction; Flat roof
- Exterior features: Minimal flood risk (Minimal Flood or C rating)
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: Four separate 1-bedroom units (each unit has 1 bedroom)
- Bathrooms: Four separate 1-bath units (each unit has 1 bathroom)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: No units furnished
- Laundry & utility: No laundry appliance details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $640k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($42k/yr) — positive. Per door: $881/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $640k).
- Recommended offer: $563k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 2.9% in Loveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#52 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime C-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Thompson School District R-2J (suburban): math 28% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #28 of 86 in CO (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Winona Elementary School (math 15% / reading 22%, grade F, #724 of 966 statewide, top 77%, 250 students, 68% FRL); Mountain View High School (math 24% / reading 51%, grade F, #192 of 381 statewide, top 51%, 1,138 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 51% FRL vs 29% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 283 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $179k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 231 days — a 12% lower offer ($563k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $640k implies a 440% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 231 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.60%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.57% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.71×
- Total profit
- $126,724
- Equity at exit
- $95,426
- IRR
- 26.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $424,103
- Equity at exit
- $55,336
Cash invested: $179,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80537
- Rents YoY
- 3.6%
- Active inventory
- 283
- Price-to-rent
- 21.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,060 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,356
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$800 /mo · $9,600/yr
- Insurance
- −$267
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,113
- Net cashflow
- $3,525
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $3,967 | -5% $3,746 | +0% $3,525 | +5% $3,303 | +10% $3,082 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,730 | -5% $3,127 | +0% $3,525 | +5% $3,922 | +10% $4,319 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $3,847 | -0.5pp $3,687 | base $3,525 | +0.5pp $3,359 | +1.0pp $3,190 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 4 | 4 | $10,060 |
| #1 | 4 | 4 | $2,515 |
| #2 | 4 | 4 | $2,515 |
| #3 | 4 | 4 | $2,515 |
| #4 | 4 | 4 | $2,515 |
| Total (4 units) | $10,060 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $160,000
- Closing costs
- $19,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $640,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $640,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $640,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $640,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $640,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $640,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $640,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $640,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $640,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $640,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $640,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $640,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $640,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $640,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $640,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2025-10-30$640,000 Active
-
2025-08-11historical
-
2025-06-12$850,000 Active
-
1998-03-16soldstatus $118,500
-
1998-01-26$130,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $120,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$35,850
- − Property taxes
- −$9,600
- − Insurance
- −$3,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,658
- − Management
- −$9,658
- − Depreciation
- −$18,618
- Taxable income
- $34,137
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$8,193
- After-tax cash flow
- $34,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thompson School District R-2J
- NCES district ID
- 0805400
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,040
- Composite
- 34.01/100
- National rank
- #5313
- State rank
- #28 of 86 in CO
Livability — Loveland
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #5353
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Loveland, CO
- County
- Larimer County · 338,255 people
- City population
- 94,535
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,425
- Household income
- $86,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1703.0
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Italian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -606.26%
- Current HPI
- 253.4939
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.57%
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+392.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-30 Listed $640,000 IRES
- 2025-08-11 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2025-06-12 Listed $850,000 IRES
- 1998-03-16 Sold (MLS) $118,500 IRES
- 1998-01-26 Listed $130,000 IRES
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…