430 Post Rd #325 · Wells, ME
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brand-New 2026 Park Model Home - Fully Furnished This beautifully upgraded 2026 park model home offers modern comfort and effortless living. Featuring an open floor plan with vaulted ceilings, Low-E windows, and a custom 12' x 34' Florida Room, the space is bright, spacious, and perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen includes stainless steel appliances, LED cabinet lighting, and modern upgraded fixtures. Additional highlights include a sliding patio door with internal blinds, mini-split HVAC, ceiling fans, and low-maintenance landscaping. Move-in ready and fully furnished, this home also includes a 58" TV in the living room and a 42" TV in the bedroom-ideal for a seasonal retreat or second home.
Key facts
- Florida room
- Two pools
- Close to beaches
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $83k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $931 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $83k).
- Recommended offer: $73k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Wells-Ogunquit CSD (rural): math 87% / reading 90% proficiency, ranked #32 of 112 in ME (top 29%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 267 active listings in the ZIP; 1,386 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $573 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 196 days — a 12% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 196 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.12%
- DSCR
- 3.14
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $44,448
- List price
- $82,900
- Delta
- 86.51%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $45,876
- Equity at exit
- $12,361
- IRR
- 51.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.01×
- Total profit
- $116,399
- Equity at exit
- $7,168
Cash invested: $23,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Maine
- 41 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 04090
- Home prices YoY
- -20.0%
- Active inventory
- 267
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,903 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$435
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$104 /mo · $1,244/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$400
- Net cashflow
- $931
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,725
- Closing costs
- $2,487
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-18days on market $82,900 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $82,900 Active 195 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $82,900 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $82,900 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $82,900 Active 191 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $82,900 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $82,900 Active 188 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $82,900 Active 187 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $82,900 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $82,900 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $82,900 Active 182 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $82,900 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $82,900 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $82,900 Active 179 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $82,900 Active 178 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $82,900 Active 177 DOM
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2025-12-04$82,900 Active 726-char remark
Show marketing remark (726 chars)
Brand-New 2026 Park Model Home - Fully Furnished This beautifully upgraded 2026 park model home offers modern comfort and effortless living. Featuring an open floor plan with vaulted ceilings, Low-E windows, and a custom 12' x 34' Florida Room, the space is bright, spacious, and perfect for relaxing or entertaining. The kitchen includes stainless steel appliances, LED cabinet lighting, and modern upgraded fixtures. Additional highlights include a sliding patio door with internal blinds, mini-split HVAC, ceiling fans, and low-maintenance landscaping. Move-in ready and fully furnished, this home also includes a 58" TV in the living room and a 42" TV in the bedroom-ideal for a seasonal retreat or second home.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,841
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,644
- − Property taxes
- −$1,244
- − Insurance
- −$414
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,827
- − Management
- −$1,827
- − Depreciation
- −$2,412
- Taxable income
- $10,473
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,513
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,656/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This move-in ready, fully furnished 2026 Park Model home offers modern comfort and is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint improves appearance and value
- Both Upgrade to smart home features — Enhances comfort and adds modern appeal
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint improves appearance and value ↑
- Both Upgrade to smart home features — Enhances comfort and adds modern appeal ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wells-Ogunquit CSD
- NCES district ID
- 2313490
- Math proficiency
- 87% ▲ 42.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 90% ▲ 26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,341
- Composite
- 75.79/100
- National rank
- #125
- State rank
- #32 of 112 in ME
Livability — Wells
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,544
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 209,961 people
- By 2030
- 212,816 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 214,360 · +2.1%
- By 2050
- 210,350 · +0.2%
- By 2075
- 201,686 · -3.9%
- By 2100
- 183,392 · -12.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 11% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.5) · D 54.3% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.1pp toward R · 2008: 20.5pp · 2024: 10.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.5 2020: D+12.6 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+20.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
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Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.52%
- Current HPI
- 413.9951
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2025-12-04 Listed $82,900 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…