1206 Abraham St · Tallahassee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property has beautiful numbers even though it is in need of a TOTAL REHAB. There is room for design features that will make your money grow. This is a concrete block structure on a finished lot with utilities attached. It has a hole in the roof and floor in 2 bedrooms. This is not a typical DIY project. When repaired it will be a great investment opportunity. Why pay dorm rent for a child going to FSU or FAMU. Property located minutes from FSU, FAMU and downtown Tallahassee. A short drive to TCC, close to shopping, parks and entertainment. The price of rehab has been taken into consideration in setting the listing price.
Key facts
- New exterior doors
- Newer roof
- Fire pit
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 1 space
- Utilities: Electric heating and cooling
- Home design: Single-story home; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Publicly maintained road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (9x11)
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (12x14); Bedroom 3 (12x14); Bedroom 4 (9x12); Additional bedroom/room (13x15)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Living room; Family room; Dining room; Other room (7x8)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
- Recommended offer: $187k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.2% in Tallahassee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#19 in FL, #429 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D.
- Leon (urban): math 48% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #33 of 73 in FL (top 45%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 142 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,765 units permitted in Leon County in 2024 (975 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,952/mo this rent would consume 72% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 6995% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Leon County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($187k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $46k; list at $190k implies a 313% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.99%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $221,646
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1318 Clay St | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,355 (-3%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $214 | 84 |
| 1418 Calloway St | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 1,456 (+4%) | 7mo | $205,000 | $141 | 72 |
| 735 Westcott St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,399 (+0%) | 7mo | $285,500 | $204 | 68 |
| 1115 N Woodward Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,496 (+7%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $157 | 67 |
| 733 California St | 0.58mi | 4/4.0 | 1,392 (-0%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $65 | 58 |
| 1015 Richmond St | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,186 (-15%) | 7mo | $82,500 | $70 | 56 |
| 1714 Monticello Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,376 (-1%) | 5mo | $190,000 | $138 | 56 |
| 817 Buena Vista Dr | 0.70mi | 4/3.0 | 1,363 (-2%) | 5mo | $240,395 | $176 | 55 |
| 1007 Preston Ct | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,568 (+12%) | 6mo | $250,000 | $159 | 53 |
| 1304 Gibbs Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,277 (-8%) | 5mo | $272,000 | $213 | 51 |
| 732 Efferson St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,569 (+13%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $92 | 40 |
| 786 Arkansas | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,564 (+12%) | 8mo | $250,000 | $160 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,095
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $44,908
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32304
- Home prices YoY
- -21.2%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 142
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,952 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $818/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $399
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1004 Volusia St Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1360 | $1,800 | $1.32 | 13d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 1107 Basin St Unit A Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1215 | $2,400 | $1.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1329 Nylic St #1 Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1275 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 859 W Brevard St Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 847 W Georgia St Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1500 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 832 Arkansas St Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1325 W Tharpe St Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 937 | $1,676 | $1.79 | 13d | 21 | 0.59mi |
| 747 Gold Nugget Trl Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1555 | $1,700 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1111 High Rd Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,594 | $1.59 | 13d | 11 | 0.72mi |
| 322 Conradi St Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,950 | $1.77 | 21d | 4 | 0.77mi |
| 1001 Ocala Rd Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 899 | $699 | $0.78 | 21d | 6 | 0.90mi |
| 2060 Continental Ave Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1121 | $1,185 | $1.06 | 13d | 26 | 0.95mi |
| 412 W Brevard St Unit 412 Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $800 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1303 Ocala Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1121 | $1,570 | $1.40 | 13d | 48 | 1.00mi |
| 1350 Ocala Rd Unit C Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1142 | $1,550 | $1.36 | 21d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 828 N Duval St Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1498 | $2,600 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1800 W Pensacola St Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–5.0 | 2.0–5.0 | 1662 | $4,216 | $2.54 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1612 Overstreet St Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $3,300 | $2.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 2301 Old Bainbridge Rd Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1084 | $1,600 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 440 N Monroe St Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1311 | $3,850 | $2.94 | 13d | 15 | 1.32mi |
| 1854 Belle Vue Way Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $2,300 | $2.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2182 Timberwood Cir S Unit 1 Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1280 | $1,599 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1801 Lenora Dr Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,800 | $1.57 | 21d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1560 San Luis Rd Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1500 | $774 | $0.52 | 21d | 22 | 1.47mi |
| 1313 N Gadsden St Unit 2 Tallahassee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1678 | $3,500 | $2.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 414 Prince St Tallahassee, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1327 Jackson Bluff Rd Tallahassee, FL | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $895 | $0.62 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1447 Stone Rd Tallahassee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 890 | $1,545 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18pricedays on market $190,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $225,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $225,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $225,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $225,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$225,000 Active
-
2021-08-27soldstatus $46,000 Closed 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
This property has beautiful numbers even though it is in need of a TOTAL REHAB. There is room for design features that will make your money grow. This is a concrete block structure on a finished lot with utilities attached. It has a hole in the roof and floor in 2 bedrooms. This is not a typical DIY project. When repaired it will be a great investment opportunity. Why pay dorm rent for a child going to FSU or FAMU. Property located minutes from FSU, FAMU and downtown Tallahassee. A short drive to TCC, close to shopping, parks and entertainment. The price of rehab has been taken into consideration in setting the listing price.
-
2021-08-27soldstatus $46,000
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
This property has beautiful numbers even though it is in need of a TOTAL REHAB. There is room for design features that will make your money grow. This is a concrete block structure on a finished lot with utilities attached. It has a hole in the roof and floor in 2 bedrooms. This is not a typical DIY project. When repaired it will be a great investment opportunity. Why pay dorm rent for a child going to FSU or FAMU. Property located minutes from FSU, FAMU and downtown Tallahassee. A short drive to TCC, close to shopping, parks and entertainment. The price of rehab has been taken into consideration in setting the listing price.
-
2021-08-16historical Active Under Contract 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
This property has beautiful numbers even though it is in need of a TOTAL REHAB. There is room for design features that will make your money grow. This is a concrete block structure on a finished lot with utilities attached. It has a hole in the roof and floor in 2 bedrooms. This is not a typical DIY project. When repaired it will be a great investment opportunity. Why pay dorm rent for a child going to FSU or FAMU. Property located minutes from FSU, FAMU and downtown Tallahassee. A short drive to TCC, close to shopping, parks and entertainment. The price of rehab has been taken into consideration in setting the listing price.
-
2021-06-17$55,000 Active 633-char remark
Show marketing remark (633 chars)
This property has beautiful numbers even though it is in need of a TOTAL REHAB. There is room for design features that will make your money grow. This is a concrete block structure on a finished lot with utilities attached. It has a hole in the roof and floor in 2 bedrooms. This is not a typical DIY project. When repaired it will be a great investment opportunity. Why pay dorm rent for a child going to FSU or FAMU. Property located minutes from FSU, FAMU and downtown Tallahassee. A short drive to TCC, close to shopping, parks and entertainment. The price of rehab has been taken into consideration in setting the listing price.
-
2021-03-13$43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $818 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,577 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$759/yr (+$63/mo · 92.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,429
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$818
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,874
- − Management
- −$1,874
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable income
- $1,742
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$418
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,366/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leon
- NCES district ID
- 1201110
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,339
- Composite
- 42.84/100
- National rank
- #3131
- State rank
- #33 of 73 in FL
Livability — Tallahassee
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #429
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Tallahassee, FL
- County
- Leon County · 294,472 people
- City population
- 294,472
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,673
- Household income
- $32,348
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6995.0
Population outlook (Leon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,507 people
- By 2030
- 330,677 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 358,465 · +13.6%
- By 2050
- 386,804 · +22.6%
- By 2075
- 465,480 · +47.5%
- By 2100
- 519,959 · +64.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 36% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Leon
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.3% · R 38.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 24.3pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+28.3 2016: D+25.1 2012: D+23.6 2008: D+24.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.04%
- Current HPI
- 267.8426
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.69%
- Metro
- Tallahassee, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+423.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $225,000 CATRS
- 2021-08-27 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-27 Sold (MLS) $46,000 CATRS
- 2021-08-16 Contingent — CATRS
- 2021-06-17 Listed $55,000 CATRS
- 2021-03-13 Listed $43,000 CATRS
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $818 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…