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502 3rd St NE
B+ Composite 78.33
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,900

502 3rd St NE · Milaca, MN 55051
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily · 1 Days on market
Built 1999

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience small-town charm in Milaca, MN! This 2 bedroom/2 bath single-wide manufactured home delivers an affordable, low-maintenance lifestyle. Located in a well-managed park just moments from downtown Milaca, you will enjoy easy access to local shops, dining, and scenic parks. This property is ideal for anyone looking to simplify their lifestyle or build equity on a budget. Skip the high costs of traditional homeownership while enjoying your own private, standalone living space with no shared walls. It is the perfect opportunity for downsizers, first-time buyers, or anyone seeking a budget-friendly retreat. Located a short distance from the Rum River, this property perfectly combines qui

Key facts

  • Well-managed park
  • Built 1999

Tags

WELL-MANAGED PARKEASY ACCESS TO LOCAL SHOPSQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD LIVINGEASY COMMUTES VIA HWY 169EASY COMMUTES VIA HWY 23

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Land is leased (land lease amount $450)

Exterior

  • Parking: Asphalt open parking
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas; Electric: 100 amp service with circuit breakers; Electric service by East Central Energy
  • Home design: Residential property; Manufactured home; One story; Entry and living on main level
  • Construction: Asphalt pitched roof; Foundation: pillar/post/pier and slab; Built on 14 x 70 foundation dimensions
  • Exterior features: Metal and vinyl exterior; Storage shed; Wheelchair ramp(s); No internal stairs

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level); Bedroom sizes: 8.5 x 12, 11 x 13
  • Bathrooms: One full bath (main level); One three-quarter bath (main level); Full primary bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: All living facilities on one level; Main floor primary bedroom; Main floor bedroom; Main floor laundry; Kitchen window; Primary bedroom with walk-in closet; Walk-in closet
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Main level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $849 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 20.9% vs local median 2.8% in Milaca — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#213 in MN, #4,488 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Milaca Public School District (town): math 45% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #154 of 301 in MN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 108 active listings in the ZIP; 163 units permitted in Mille Lacs County in 2024 (66 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (6.2% local appreciation)).
  • Mille Lacs County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.41%
Cap rate
20.87%
Cash-on-cash
52.05%
DSCR
3.32
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.15% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.8%
Equity multiple
4.83×
Total profit
$74,896
Equity at exit
$44,603
10-year hold
IRR
57.6%
Equity multiple
10.09×
Total profit
$177,857
Equity at exit
$81,461

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55051

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,686 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$87 /mo · $1,048/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$354
Net cashflow
$849

Break-even live

Break-even rent $611
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-19
    listed $69,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,233
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$1,048
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,619
− Management
−$1,619
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$9,648
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,316
After-tax cash flow
$7,871/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milaca Public School District
NCES district ID
2720670
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$52,449
Composite
40.53/100
National rank
#3706
State rank
#154 of 301 in MN

Livability — Milaca

Score
74/100
State rank
#213
US rank
#4488

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Milaca, MN
Population (ZIP)
9,927

Population outlook (Mille Lacs County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,811 people
By 2030
23,960 · -3.4%
By 2040
21,835 · -12.0%
By 2050
19,376 · -21.9%
By 2075
14,838 · -40.2%
By 2100
11,957 · -51.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Scottish 5% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mille Lacs

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.9) · D 28.9% · R 69.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-33.6pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -40.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.9 2020: R+37.8 2016: R+35.8 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.15%
Current HPI
313.18
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $69,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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