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138 Park St Duplex
D Composite 44.55
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

138 Park St · Jamestown, NY 14701
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,108 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1894 7,850 sqft lot Est $51k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Investment opportunity at 138 Park St! This 2-unit property offers spacious apartments and immediate income potential, with the upper unit currently rented for $750 per month and the lower unit vacant and ready for occupancy or renovation. Featuring low-maintenance vinyl siding, this property presents an excellent opportunity for investors looking to add value through updates and improvements. Whether you're seeking a rental property, an owner-occupied investment, or your next project, this multi-family home offers flexibility and upside potential. Conveniently located near downtown Jamestown, schools, parks, shopping, and local amenities.

Key facts

  • 2 unit property
  • Spacious apartments
  • 7,850 sq ft lot

Tags

2 UNIT PROPERTYSPACIOUS APARTMENTSIMMEDIATE INCOME POTENTIALLOW MAINTENANCE VINYL SIDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two total units with separate gas and electric meters for each unit
  • Financial info: Owner pays water; rent includes water (if rented); Operating expense details listed in remarks

Exterior

  • Parking: Common parking with one space
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story building; Existing property condition
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 157

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood; Varies
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Forced air; Space heater
  • Interior features: Hardwood and varied flooring; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $705/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 40.1% vs local median 16.8% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, commute F.
  • Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Milton J Fletcher Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,577 of 2,108 statewide, top 77%, 530 students, 74% FRL); Persell Middle School (math 23% / reading 37%, grade F, #539 of 729 statewide, top 74%, 417 students, 73% FRL); Jamestown High School (math 87% / reading 92%, grade A+, #265 of 1,100 statewide, top 26%, 1,315 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 60% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 51% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Jamestown City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 319 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,222/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1894 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $49,250 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1894 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.44%
Cap rate
40.13%
Cash-on-cash
120.84%
DSCR
6.38
GRM
1.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$50,592
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
71 Myrtle St 0.08mi 4/2.0 2,016 (-4%) 6mo $67,000 $33 80
228 Forest Ave 0.27mi 4/2.0 2,080 (-1%) 5mo $11,000 $5 77
11 Mckinley Ave 0.31mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,008 (-5%) 3mo $54,000 $27 70
618 Newland Ave 0.18mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,044 (-3%) 9mo $65,000 $32 70
506 Newland Ave 0.16mi 4/2.5 2,372 (+12%) 3mo $35,000 $15 68
93 Barker St 0.31mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,190 (+4%) 3mo $8,000 $4 67
215 Hazzard St 0.32mi 4/2.0 2,280 (+8%) 4mo $61,800 $27 65
8 E Newland Ave 0.44mi 4/2.0 2,226 (+6%) 4mo $53,500 $24 63
149 Baker St 0.64mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,192 (+4%) 2mo $96,460 $44 57
15 Columbia Ave 0.23mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,380 (+13%) 3mo $50,000 $21 56
144 Barrett Ave 0.33mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,352 (+12%) 3mo $50,000 $21 54
127 Maple St 0.57mi 4/2.0 1,834 (-13%) 3mo $13,000 $7 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.84×
Total profit
$81,725
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
14.35×
Total profit
$186,924
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14701

Home prices YoY
-18.5%
Active inventory
319
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,222 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax est. 1.5%
$62 /mo · $750/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$467
Net cashflow
$1,410

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,444 -5% $1,427 +0% $1,410 +5% $1,393 +10% $1,375
Rent -10% $1,234 -5% $1,322 +0% $1,410 +5% $1,498 +10% $1,585
Rate -1.0pp $1,435 -0.5pp $1,423 base $1,410 +0.5pp $1,397 +1.0pp $1,384

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,222

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
148 Maple St Jamestown, NY 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,350 $0.95 45d 1 0.52mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-19
    days on market $50,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 10 DOM
  8. 2026-06-14
    days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 3 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    remarks 647-char remark
  13. 2026-06-07
    listed $50,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,664
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$750
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,133
− Management
−$2,133
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$17,142
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,114
After-tax cash flow
$12,804/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jamestown City School District
NCES district ID
3615630
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$32,240
Composite
30.69/100
National rank
#6176
State rank
#553 of 590 in NY

Livability — Jamestown

Score
69/100
State rank
#470
US rank
#8213

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jamestown, NY
County
Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
City population
38,461
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,461
Household income
$49,685
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
1838.0

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.93%
Current HPI
259.402
Rent YoY
Metro
Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+67.2% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $50,000 UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-12 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $72,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-05-08 Price Changed $75,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-03-13 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-03-13 Listed $80,000 UNYREIS
  • 2025-01-23 Price Changed $320,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-09-06 Price Changed $345,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-08-29 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2024-08-25 Price Changed $370,000 UNYREIS
  • 2024-07-23 Listed $650,000 UNYREIS
  • 2022-03-24 Sold (MLS) $55,000 UNYREIS
  • 2022-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $191,000 Public Records
  • 2021-11-05 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2021-10-28 Listed $59,900 UNYREIS
  • 2018-12-14 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2018-08-28 Price Changed $29,900 UNYREIS
  • 2018-06-11 Price Changed $299,000 UNYREIS
  • 2018-03-29 Listed $339,000 UNYREIS
  • 2008-05-29 Listed $49,921 UNYREIS
  • 2007-05-29 Sold (MLS) $23,000 UNYREIS
  • 2007-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
  • 2006-11-08 Listed $26,900 UNYREIS
  • 2000-09-12 Listed $29,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,840 · +136.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…