95 W 6th St · Florence, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.
Key facts
- Large yard
- Roomy corner lot
- 9,064 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.2% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#187 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Florence Unified School District (4437) (rural): math 16% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #178 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 714 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.81%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $253,860
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- -44.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 633 N Pinal St | 0.22mi | 2/2.0 | 1,214 (-2%) | 1mo | $230,000 | $189 | 81 |
| 324 W 11th St | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,205 (-3%) | 13mo | $272,512 | $226 | 64 |
| 232 S Willow St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,226 (-2%) | 12mo | $228,000 | $186 | 59 |
| 553 W 12th St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,309 (+5%) | 8mo | $285,000 | $218 | 57 |
| 212 S Ash St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,150 (-8%) | 10mo | $263,575 | $229 | 47 |
| 175 S Matilda St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-13%) | 1mo | $243,000 | $225 | 46 |
| 155 S Matilda St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,205 (-3%) | 22mo | $279,900 | $232 | 46 |
| 632 W 16th St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,297 (+4%) | 14mo | $256,500 | $198 | 45 |
| 184 S Mulberry St | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,061 (-15%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $236 | 39 |
| 595 S Orlando St S | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+4%) | 22mo | $310,000 | $238 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $5,211
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $32,666
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85132
- Home prices YoY
- -5.2%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 714
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,668 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $495/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$350
- Net cashflow
- $484
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $563 | -5% $523 | +0% $484 | +5% $444 | +10% $404 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $352 | -5% $418 | +0% $484 | +5% $550 | +10% $615 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $554 | -0.5pp $519 | base $484 | +0.5pp $447 | +1.0pp $411 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 144 S Mulberry St Florence, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1415 | $1,495 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 479 W Geib Ave Florence, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1154 | $1,595 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 192 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 190 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 189 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 186 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 185 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 184 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $140,000 Active 181 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 180 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 179 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 178 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 177 DOM
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2026-04-03status Active 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.
-
2026-04-01historical 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.
-
2026-03-11price $140,000 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.
-
2026-01-22price $150,000 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.
-
2025-12-03$160,000 Active 469-char remark
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.
-
2025-12-03historical
Show marketing remark (469 chars)
Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.
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2025-09-19price $160,000
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2025-08-14price $165,000
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2025-07-14$195,400 Active
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2025-03-05historical
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2024-09-24$199,000 Active
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2024-02-27historical
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2024-01-25$239,900 Active
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2022-11-06historical
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2022-10-09$247,771 Active
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2022-01-28soldstatus $125,000
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2019-03-22soldstatus $63,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $495 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $924 · $77/mo
- Expected delta
- +$429/yr (+$36/mo · 86.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,012
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$495
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,601
- − Management
- −$1,601
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $3,700
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$888
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,916/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florence Unified School District (4437)
- NCES district ID
- 0402920
- Math proficiency
- 16% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,426
- Composite
- 18.31/100
- National rank
- #8950
- State rank
- #178 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #19483
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 38,671
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,671
- Household income
- $79,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 102.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 9% Black 7% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Portuguese 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 17% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.75%
- Current HPI
- 233.6644
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.27%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
+122.2% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2026-04-01 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $140,000 ARMLS
- 2026-01-22 Price Changed $150,000 ARMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-12-03 Listed $160,000 ARMLS
- 2025-09-19 Price Changed $160,000 ARMLS
- 2025-08-14 Price Changed $165,000 ARMLS
- 2025-07-14 Listed $195,400 ARMLS
- 2025-03-05 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2024-09-24 Listed $199,000 ARMLS
- 2024-02-27 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2024-01-25 Listed $239,900 ARMLS
- 2022-11-06 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2022-10-09 Listed $247,771 ARMLS
- 2022-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2019-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $495 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…