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95 W 6th St
B Composite 71.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

95 W 6th St · Florence, AZ 85132
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,245 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 195 Days on market
Built 1944 9,064 sqft lot $112/sqft · 45% below area Est $254k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.

Key facts

  • Large yard
  • Roomy corner lot
  • 9,064 sq ft lot

Tags

ROOMY CORNER LOTLARGE YARDACROSS THE STREET FROM A PARKMINUTES TO MAIN STREET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 4.2% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#187 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Florence Unified School District (4437) (rural): math 16% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #178 of 249 in AZ (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 714 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 195 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 195 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
10.44%
Cash-on-cash
14.81%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$253,860
List price
$140,000
Delta
-44.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
633 N Pinal St 0.22mi 2/2.0 1,214 (-2%) 1mo $230,000 $189 81
324 W 11th St 0.23mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,205 (-3%) 13mo $272,512 $226 64
232 S Willow St 0.41mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,226 (-2%) 12mo $228,000 $186 59
553 W 12th St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,309 (+5%) 8mo $285,000 $218 57
212 S Ash St 0.50mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,150 (-8%) 10mo $263,575 $229 47
175 S Matilda St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,080 (-13%) 1mo $243,000 $225 46
155 S Matilda St 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,205 (-3%) 22mo $279,900 $232 46
632 W 16th St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,297 (+4%) 14mo $256,500 $198 45
184 S Mulberry St 0.53mi 2/2.0 1,061 (-15%) 10mo $250,000 $236 39
595 S Orlando St S 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (+4%) 22mo $310,000 $238 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.27% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.13×
Total profit
$5,211
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$32,666
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85132

Home prices YoY
-5.2%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
714
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,668 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $495/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$350
Net cashflow
$484

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,055
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $563 -5% $523 +0% $484 +5% $444 +10% $404
Rent -10% $352 -5% $418 +0% $484 +5% $550 +10% $615
Rate -1.0pp $554 -0.5pp $519 base $484 +0.5pp $447 +1.0pp $411

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
144 S Mulberry St Florence, AZ 3.0 2.0 1415 $1,495 $1.06 44d 1 0.52mi
479 W Geib Ave Florence, AZ 3.0 2.0 1154 $1,595 $1.38 22d 1 0.59mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 195 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 194 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $140,000 Active 193 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $140,000 Active 192 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 190 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $140,000 Active 189 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $140,000 Active 186 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $140,000 Active 185 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $140,000 Active 184 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $140,000 Active 181 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $140,000 Active 180 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $140,000 Active 179 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $140,000 Active 178 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $140,000 Active 177 DOM
  15. 2026-04-03
    status Active 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.

  16. 2026-04-01
    historical 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.

  17. 2026-03-11
    price $140,000 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.

  18. 2026-01-22
    price $150,000 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.

  19. 2025-12-03
    listed $160,000 Active 469-char remark
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.

  20. 2025-12-03
    historical
    Show marketing remark (469 chars)

    Bring your vision to this 1944 home near downtown Florence. It is next door to a home on the National Register of Historic Places and has so much character! Bring your vision to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on a roomy corner lot. No HOA and a large yard to expand and create limitless possibilities. Located across the street from a park and minutes to Main Street, this is an As-Is sale and a tremendous opportunity to build equity in a hard to find location.

  21. 2025-09-19
    price $160,000
  22. 2025-08-14
    price $165,000
  23. 2025-07-14
    listed $195,400 Active
  24. 2025-03-05
    historical
  25. 2024-09-24
    listed $199,000 Active
  26. 2024-02-27
    historical
  27. 2024-01-25
    listed $239,900 Active
  28. 2022-11-06
    historical
  29. 2022-10-09
    listed $247,771 Active
  30. 2022-01-28
    soldstatus $125,000
  31. 2019-03-22
    soldstatus $63,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$495 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$924 · $77/mo
Expected delta
+$429/yr (+$36/mo · 86.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,012
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$495
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,601
− Management
−$1,601
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$3,700
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$888
After-tax cash flow
$4,916/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Florence Unified School District (4437)
NCES district ID
0402920
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$54,426
Composite
18.31/100
National rank
#8950
State rank
#178 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Florence

Score
60/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#19483

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florence, AZ
County
Pinal County · 399,947 people
City population
38,671
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
Population (ZIP)
38,671
Household income
$79,000
Rent vs Own
13.6% rent · 86.4% own
Severe rent burden
102.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
437,574 people
By 2030
446,903 · +2.1%
By 2040
452,589 · +3.4%
By 2050
444,126 · +1.5%
By 2075
430,300 · -1.7%
By 2100
393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 28% Two or more races 9% Black 7% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 23%
Common ancestry
Italian 5% Portuguese 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 17% German/W. Germanic 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.75%
Current HPI
233.6644
Rent YoY
▲ 1.27%
Metro
Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+122.2% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2026-03-11 Price Changed $140,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $150,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $160,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-09-19 Price Changed $160,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-08-14 Price Changed $165,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-07-14 Listed $195,400 ARMLS
  • 2025-03-05 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2024-09-24 Listed $199,000 ARMLS
  • 2024-02-27 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2024-01-25 Listed $239,900 ARMLS
  • 2022-11-06 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2022-10-09 Listed $247,771 ARMLS
  • 2022-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2019-03-22 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $495 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…