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1258 E Cornell Ave
C- Composite 54.83
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0

$17,500

1258 E Cornell Ave · Genesee, MI 48505
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · SingleFamily · 63 Days on market
Built 1935 0.73 ac lot $36/sqft · 37% below area Est $28k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investors--don't miss this opportunity! This 1-bedroom home sits on a spacious . 73-acre lot. The property features a large fenced yard and includes a shed for additional storage.

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Spacious lot
  • Large shed

Tags

FENCED YARDLARGE SHEDSPACIOUS LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $18k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $487 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($801 rent vs $18k).
  • Recommended offer: $16k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Beecher Community School District (suburban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #722 of 760 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 99 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $589 of equity ($121 loan paydown + $468 appreciation (2.7% local appreciation)).
  • Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $5k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($16k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $16,450 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.58%
Cap rate
39.69%
Cash-on-cash
119.26%
DSCR
6.31
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$27,674
List price
$17,500
Delta
-36.76%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

2.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.70×
Total profit
$32,852
Equity at exit
$7,550
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
16.08×
Total profit
$73,900
Equity at exit
$11,393

Cash invested: $4,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48505

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$801 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$92
Tax from tax record
$47 /mo · $562/yr
Insurance
$7
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$168
Net cashflow
$487

Break-even live

Break-even rent $185
Max offer price $17,500
Occupancy floor 34%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$4,375
Closing costs
$525
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $17,500 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $17,500 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $17,500 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $17,500 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $17,500 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $17,500 Active 57 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $17,500 Active 55 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $17,500 Active 54 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $17,500 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $17,500 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $17,500 Active 48 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $17,500 Active 47 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $17,500 Active 46 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $17,500 Active 45 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $17,500 Active 44 DOM
  16. 2026-04-16
    listed $19,900 Active 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Investors--don't miss this opportunity! This 1-bedroom home sits on a spacious . 73-acre lot. The property features a large fenced yard and includes a shed for additional storage.

  17. 2026-04-15
    listed $19,900 Active 183-char remark
    Show marketing remark (183 chars)

    Investors—don't miss this opportunity! This 1-bedroom home sits on a spacious .73-acre lot. The property features a large fenced yard and includes a shed for additional storage.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$562 · $47/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$562 · $47/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,613
− Mortgage interest
−$980
− Property taxes
−$562
− Insurance
−$88
− Repairs & maintenance
−$769
− Management
−$769
− Depreciation
−$509
Taxable income
$5,936
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,425
After-tax cash flow
$4,419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Beecher Community School District
NCES district ID
2604500
Math proficiency
7% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$27,719
Composite
9.96/100
National rank
#14685
State rank
#722 of 760 in MI

Livability — Genesee

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Beecher, MI
County
Genesee County · 221,329 people
Metro
Flint, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,032
Household income
$33,283
Rent vs Own
51.7% rent · 48.3% own
Severe rent burden
960.0

Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
381,312 people
By 2030
362,731 · -4.9%
By 2040
321,550 · -15.7%
By 2050
279,212 · -26.8%
By 2075
193,336 · -49.3%
By 2100
128,118 · -66.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (79%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 79% White 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Genesee

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.67%
Current HPI
202.4878
Rent YoY
Metro
Flint, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $19,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $19,900 Greater Lansing AoR

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $562 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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