156 N Captain Dr · Gloster, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$22,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
156 N Captain Drive is a 3 bedroom, 2 bath home situated on 0.68 acres in Gloster, MS. Conveniently located in town and approximately 15 minutes from the National Forest. This property includes a 2 car carport and offers great potential for investors or buyers looking to renovate. The Home requires significant repairs and is being sold as is.
Key facts
- 0.68 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1948
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $22k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $729 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $22k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 50/100 on livability (#343 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Amite County School District (rural): math 21% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #95 of 130 in MS (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $519 of equity ($152 loan paydown + $367 appreciation (1.7% local appreciation)).
- Amite County population projected at -35% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 5.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 46.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 141.92%
- DSCR
- 7.31
- GRM
- 1.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,092
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 Union St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,821 (+14%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $44 | 57 |
| 241 E Walnut St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,500 (-6%) | 20mo | $79,000 | $53 | 56 |
| 812 Union St | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-9%) | 3mo | $46,000 | $32 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.72×
- Total profit
- $47,557
- Equity at exit
- $8,284
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.25×
- Total profit
- $106,281
- Equity at exit
- $11,635
Cash invested: $6,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39638
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 1.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,115 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$115
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$28 /mo · $330/yr
- Insurance
- −$9
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $729
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $744 | -5% $736 | +0% $729 | +5% $721 | +10% $713 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $640 | -5% $685 | +0% $729 | +5% $773 | +10% $817 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $740 | -0.5pp $734 | base $729 | +0.5pp $723 | +1.0pp $717 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,500
- Closing costs
- $660
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-04-14$22,000 Active
-
2022-09-30historical
-
2022-09-30historical
-
2021-09-16$75,000
-
2021-09-16$75,000
-
2014-01-27soldstatus
-
2014-01-27soldstatus
-
2013-07-09$55,000
-
2013-07-09$55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,376
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,232
- − Property taxes
- −$330
- − Insurance
- −$110
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,070
- − Management
- −$1,070
- − Depreciation
- −$640
- Taxable income
- $8,923
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,142
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,601/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This home requires extensive repairs and improvements to its exterior and landscaping to become move-in ready. Significant value can be added through exterior painting and landscaping improvements.
Repairs flagged
- Major exterior paint — Peeling paint on the exterior
- Major landscaping — Overgrown vegetation
- Major roof — Aged appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Both landscaping and exterior painting — Improves curb appeal and overall appearance
- Both roof repair — Fixes a major issue and improves safety
- Both interior painting and repairs — Improves the interior and makes the home more attractive
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior paint · Peeling paint on the exterior | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · Overgrown vegetation | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| roof · Aged appearance | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both landscaping and exterior painting — Improves curb appeal and overall appearance ↑
- Both roof repair — Fixes a major issue and improves safety ↑
- Both interior painting and repairs — Improves the interior and makes the home more attractive ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Amite County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2800420
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▲ 7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,275
- Composite
- 15.22/100
- National rank
- #9340
- State rank
- #95 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gloster
- Score
- 50/100
- State rank
- #343
- US rank
- #25560
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gloster, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,478
Population outlook (Amite County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,300 people
- By 2030
- 10,527 · -6.8%
- By 2040
- 8,881 · -21.4%
- By 2050
- 7,326 · -35.2%
- By 2075
- 4,691 · -58.5%
- By 2100
- 3,035 · -73.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (53%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 53% White 47%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Amite
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.0% · R 65.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.1pp toward R · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -32.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.8 2020: R+26.1 2016: R+22.7 2012: R+15.3 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.67%
- Current HPI
- 100.2631
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-60.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-14 Listed $22,000 MLSU
- 2022-09-30 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2022-09-30 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-09-16 Listed $75,000 MLSU
- 2021-09-16 Listed $75,000 MLSU
- 2014-01-27 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2014-01-27 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2013-07-09 Listed $55,000 MLSU
- 2013-07-09 Listed $55,000 MLSU
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…