6712 Campanilla · Vero Beach South, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 6712 Campanilla Lane in the highly desirable Spanish Lakes Fairways 55+ community! This well-maintained home offers peace of mind with a newer roof (2021) and newer A/C. Inside, you'll find tile flooring throughout, a walk-in shower, and the convenience of an indoor laundry room with a washer and dryer located inside the home—not in the garage. Enjoy relaxing mornings and evenings on the screened porch overlooking a neighborhood surrounded primarily by attractive concrete block homes. Land lease fee of $523 a month includes lawn care, trash removal, and access to all community amenities, including a private 18-hole golf course with no greens fees, two swimming pools, tennis
Key facts
- Newer roof
- Newer a/c
- Screened porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Senior community; Pets allowed (cats and dogs; number limits apply)
- Financial info: Land lease in effect (monthly land lease payment); Land lease payment monthly
- HOA & community: Has association; annual HOA fee noted; Association amenities include: pool, fitness center, clubhouse, game room, billiard room, sauna, tennis courts, pickleball and bocce courts, shuffleboard court, workshop area, community room, library, manager on site, management, street lights, security, bocce ball
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 space); Covered parking (1 space); Driveway; total 3 parking spaces
- Security: Security patrol; Community security listed in association amenities
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Water connected (other source); Private sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Resale property; Faces west
- Construction: CBS construction; Metal roof; Living area about 1,135 (public records)
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Porch; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Bedroom layout is stacked; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry located in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $826 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 4.3% in Vero Beach South — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#163 in FL, #2,445 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 292 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $79k; list at $130k implies a 65% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.62% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.25%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $123,715
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6737 Tulipan | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,135 (0%) | 5mo | $124,000 | $109 | 92 |
| 6725 Tulipan | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,135 (0%) | 10mo | $120,000 | $106 | 88 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $31,566
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.62×
- Total profit
- $95,246
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34951
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Active inventory
- 292
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,108 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,236/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$443
- Net cashflow
- $826
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6765 Spanish Lakes Blvd Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 23d | 1 | 0.20mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-13$130,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,236 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,236 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,297
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$1,236
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,024
- − Management
- −$2,024
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable income
- $8,299
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,992
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Vero Beach South
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #2445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,148
- Household income
- $63,122
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 140.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.06%
- Current HPI
- 343.1376
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+64.6% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $130,000 Beaches MLS
- 2004-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,236 · +17.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…