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222 Upper Sherman Ave
D+ Composite 49.49
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

222 Upper Sherman Ave · West Glens Falls, NY 12804
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 910 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1940 8,276 sqft lot Est $251k · 30% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Multiple Offers! Best & Highest due Friday 7/15 at 9 a.m. This Queensbury ranch is situated in perfect proximity to I-87 with accessibility to Queensbury and Glens Falls. This home has been cared for by a the same family since it was built. It features a long driveway, oversized back yard and deck perfect for relaxing in the sunshine. It is equipped with a workshop perfect for projects and tinkering. The sunroom is sure to please. The kitchen opens up to the living area with a breakfast bar. There are two bedrooms upstairs and two additional rooms downstairs. If you're looking for a place to call Home Sweet Home, look no further!

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • 5 parking spots
  • Built 1940

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved driveway; Five parking spaces
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: 150 amp electric service; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Living area includes finished space below grade
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and wood siding; Metal and shingle roof; Block and concrete perimeter foundation; Built with additional finished area below grade
  • Exterior features: Rear porch; Deck; Drive-paved; Shed(s); Back yard and perimeter fencing; Cleared lot with road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three first-floor bedrooms; First-floor sun room
  • Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air oil heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
  • Interior features: Seven total rooms; Interior-entry unfinished basement; Garden
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Fuel tank(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($104/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (8.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.4% in West Glens Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#388 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
  • Glens Falls City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #416 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Kensington Road School (math 77% / reading 82%, grade A, #188 of 2,108 statewide, top 11%, 280 students, 22% FRL); Glens Falls Middle School (math 25% / reading 46%, grade F, #473 of 729 statewide, top 66%, 588 students, 46% FRL); Glens Falls Senior High School (math 98% / reading 64%, grade A, #485 of 1,100 statewide, top 45%, 601 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Glens Falls City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $143k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $160,000 (8.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.21%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$251,160
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
14 Seward St 0.13mi 3/1.0 960 (+6%) 2mo $300,000 $313 83
12 Bullard Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 908 (-0%) 4mo $312,500 $344 62
26 Holden Ave 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,040 (+14%) 2mo $322,000 $310 62
14 Barber Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 800 (-12%) 10mo $277,000 $346 61
11 Main St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 860 (-6%) 4mo $20,000 $23 59
75 W Notre Dame St 0.63mi 3/1.0 850 (-7%) 9mo $235,000 $276 53
64 1st St 0.67mi 2/1.5 (-1) 966 (+6%) 4mo $225,000 $233 49
27 Thomas St 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 957 (+5%) 8mo $210,000 $219 45
22 Fielding St 0.56mi 2/1.5 (-1) 828 (-9%) 19mo $177,000 $214 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.9%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-27,756
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
-7.5%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-23,249
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12804

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Active inventory
162
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,600 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$265 /mo · $3,177/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$336
Net cashflow
$9

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,589
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $108 -5% $58 +0% $9 +5% $-41 +10% $-90
Rent -10% $-118 -5% $-55 +0% $9 +5% $72 +10% $135
Rate -1.0pp $97 -0.5pp $53 base $9 +0.5pp $-37 +1.0pp $-83

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
26 Grand St Glens Falls, NY 2.0 1.0 792 $1,600 $2.02 16d 1 1.27mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $175,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $175,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $175,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,177 · $265/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,177 · $265/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,200
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$3,177
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,536
− Management
−$1,536
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$2,817
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$676
After-tax cash flow
$780/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Glens Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3612240
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$48,216
Composite
41.34/100
National rank
#3499
State rank
#416 of 590 in NY

Livability — West Glens Falls

Score
71/100
State rank
#388
US rank
#6663

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime C- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Glens Falls, NY
Population (ZIP)
28,175

Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
62,372 people
By 2030
60,491 · -3.0%
By 2040
55,616 · -10.8%
By 2050
50,437 · -19.1%
By 2075
40,843 · -34.5%
By 2100
31,159 · -50.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Romanian 6% Slovak 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Warren

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.40%
Current HPI
337.1909
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $175,000 Global MLS
  • 2022-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records
  • 2022-09-09 Sold (MLS) $143,000 Global MLS
  • 2022-07-15 Pending Global MLS
  • 2022-07-09 Listed $139,900 Global MLS

Property tax history

+21.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,177 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…