222 Upper Sherman Ave · West Glens Falls, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Multiple Offers! Best & Highest due Friday 7/15 at 9 a.m. This Queensbury ranch is situated in perfect proximity to I-87 with accessibility to Queensbury and Glens Falls. This home has been cared for by a the same family since it was built. It features a long driveway, oversized back yard and deck perfect for relaxing in the sunshine. It is equipped with a workshop perfect for projects and tinkering. The sunroom is sure to please. The kitchen opens up to the living area with a breakfast bar. There are two bedrooms upstairs and two additional rooms downstairs. If you're looking for a place to call Home Sweet Home, look no further!
Key facts
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- 5 parking spots
- Built 1940
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Paved driveway; Five parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: 150 amp electric service; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Living area includes finished space below grade
- Construction: Vinyl siding and wood siding; Metal and shingle roof; Block and concrete perimeter foundation; Built with additional finished area below grade
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Deck; Drive-paved; Shed(s); Back yard and perimeter fencing; Cleared lot with road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three first-floor bedrooms; First-floor sun room
- Flooring: Vinyl; Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air oil heating; Window air conditioning unit(s)
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Interior-entry unfinished basement; Garden
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Fuel tank(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($104/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $160k (8.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $160k (8.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 2.4% in West Glens Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#388 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, cost of living C-, amenities F.
- Glens Falls City School District (urban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #416 of 590 in NY (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Kensington Road School (math 77% / reading 82%, grade A, #188 of 2,108 statewide, top 11%, 280 students, 22% FRL); Glens Falls Middle School (math 25% / reading 46%, grade F, #473 of 729 statewide, top 66%, 588 students, 46% FRL); Glens Falls Senior High School (math 98% / reading 64%, grade A, #485 of 1,100 statewide, top 45%, 601 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 36% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Glens Falls City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 162 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 180 units permitted in Warren County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Warren County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $143k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.21%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $251,160
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Seward St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+6%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $313 | 83 |
| 12 Bullard Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 908 (-0%) | 4mo | $312,500 | $344 | 62 |
| 26 Holden Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+14%) | 2mo | $322,000 | $310 | 62 |
| 14 Barber Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 800 (-12%) | 10mo | $277,000 | $346 | 61 |
| 11 Main St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 860 (-6%) | 4mo | $20,000 | $23 | 59 |
| 75 W Notre Dame St | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 850 (-7%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $276 | 53 |
| 64 1st St | 0.67mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 966 (+6%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $233 | 49 |
| 27 Thomas St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 957 (+5%) | 8mo | $210,000 | $219 | 45 |
| 22 Fielding St | 0.56mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 828 (-9%) | 19mo | $177,000 | $214 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-27,756
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-23,249
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12804
- Home prices YoY
- -9.0%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,600 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$265 /mo · $3,177/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$336
- Net cashflow
- $9
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $108 | -5% $58 | +0% $9 | +5% $-41 | +10% $-90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-118 | -5% $-55 | +0% $9 | +5% $72 | +10% $135 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $97 | -0.5pp $53 | base $9 | +0.5pp $-37 | +1.0pp $-83 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Grand St Glens Falls, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,600 | $2.02 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $175,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-17$175,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,177 · $265/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,177 · $265/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$3,177
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,536
- − Management
- −$1,536
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$2,817
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$676
- After-tax cash flow
- $780/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Glens Falls City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3612240
- Math proficiency
- 44% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,216
- Composite
- 41.34/100
- National rank
- #3499
- State rank
- #416 of 590 in NY
Livability — West Glens Falls
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #388
- US rank
- #6663
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Glens Falls, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,175
Population outlook (Warren County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,372 people
- By 2030
- 60,491 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 55,616 · -10.8%
- By 2050
- 50,437 · -19.1%
- By 2075
- 40,843 · -34.5%
- By 2100
- 31,159 · -50.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 8% Romanian 6% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Warren
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.9pp toward R · 2008: 2.6pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: R+0.2 2016: R+10.6 2012: D+2.1 2008: D+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.40%
- Current HPI
- 337.1909
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+25.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $175,000 Global MLS
- 2022-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $143,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-09 Sold (MLS) $143,000 Global MLS
- 2022-07-15 Pending — Global MLS
- 2022-07-09 Listed $139,900 Global MLS
Property tax history
+21.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,177 · +7.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…