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1564 Columbia Dr
B- Composite 66.03
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$136,000

1564 Columbia Dr · Belvedere Park, GA 30032
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,104 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 96 Days on market
Built 1949 0.39 ac lot $123/sqft · 43% below area Est $237k · 43% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investment opportunity with strong rental potential. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath property offers a functional layout, updated kitchen, and low-maintenance features ideal for long-term tenants. Located in a high-demand rental area near shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Spacious backyard and solid structure provide additional value-add potential. Great option for buy-and-hold investors, portfolio expansion, or first-time investors seeking steady cash flow.

Key facts

  • 0.39 acre lot
  • Built 1949
  • Listed 96 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $136k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $285 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $136k).
  • Recommended offer: $124k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.7% in Belvedere Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#153 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Dekalb County (suburban): math 19% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #125 of 174 in GA (top 72%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Peachcrest Elementary School (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,160 of 1,228 statewide, top 98%, 677 students, 100% FRL); The Champion Middle Theme School (math 21% / reading 52%, grade F, #167 of 470 statewide, top 38%, 751 students, 100% FRL); Towers High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #385 of 424 statewide, top 92%, 764 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 68% district-wide (32 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 431 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,240 units permitted in DeKalb County in 2024 (385 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $940 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • DeKalb County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($124k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $123,760 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
8.81%
Cash-on-cash
8.99%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$237,002
List price
$136,000
Delta
-42.62%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1737 Mckenzie Dr 0.22mi 3/1.0 1,125 (+2%) 2mo $204,000 $181 85
1766 Mckenzie Dr 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,125 (+2%) 4mo $172,000 $153 83
1546 Alverado Way 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,157 (+5%) 2mo $290,000 $251 71
3012 Monterey Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,092 (-1%) 3mo $275,000 $252 67
3340 Pinehill Dr 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,058 (-4%) 3mo $168,500 $159 67
3094 Santa Monica Dr 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,213 (+10%) 3mo $185,000 $153 66
2996 Laguna Dr 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,140 (+3%) 1mo $290,000 $254 60
3449 Misty Valley Rd 0.61mi 3/1.5 1,059 (-4%) 3mo $168,000 $159 60
1903 Wildwood Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,107 (+0%) 3mo $350,000 $316 59
3406 Jackson Dr 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,018 (-8%) 4mo $240,000 $236 55
3723 Glenwood Rd 0.59mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,024 (-7%) 1mo $175,000 $171 55
1616 Cobbs Creek Ln 0.58mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,236 (+12%) 4mo $183,000 $148 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.34% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-6,567
Equity at exit
$20,278
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.18×
Total profit
$6,997
Equity at exit
$11,759

Cash invested: $38,080 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30032

Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
431
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,696 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$713
Tax from tax record
$285 /mo · $3,418/yr
Insurance
$57
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$356
Net cashflow
$285

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,335
Max offer price $136,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $362 -5% $324 +0% $285 +5% $247 +10% $208
Rent -10% $151 -5% $218 +0% $285 +5% $352 +10% $419
Rate -1.0pp $354 -0.5pp $320 base $285 +0.5pp $250 +1.0pp $214

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,000
Closing costs
$4,080
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1752 Lynn Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1390 $1,950 $1.40 45d 1 0.25mi
3191 Bluebird Ln Decatur, GA 4.0 2.0 1300 $7,250 $5.58 25d 1 0.35mi
3365 Columbia Trce Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1252 $1,450 $1.16 6d 1 0.39mi
3381 Columbia Trce Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1252 $1,450 $1.16 6d 1 0.42mi
3395 Columbia Trce Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1252 $1,450 $1.16 25d 1 0.45mi
3010 Santa Monica Dr Decatur, GA 4.0 2.0 1392 $2,095 $1.51 45d 1 0.46mi
3024 Pasadena Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1079 $1,958 $1.81 0d 1 0.47mi
3405 Cobbs Ferry Dr Unit 3405 Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1331 $1,550 $1.16 45d 1 0.47mi
1855 Shamrock Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1310 $1,771 $1.35 6d 1 0.50mi
1873 Shamrock Dr Decatur, GA 4.0 1.5 1492 $1,075 $0.72 6d 1 0.54mi
3432 Cobbs Ferry Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1252 $1,450 $1.16 6d 1 0.57mi
1598 San Gabriel Ave Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1451 $2,023 $1.39 25d 1 0.58mi
3445 Cobbs Ferry Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1252 $1,450 $1.16 25d 1 0.60mi
1693 San Gabriel Ave Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1265 $1,995 $1.58 5d 1 0.61mi
1689 San Gabriel Ave Decatur, GA 3.0 1.0 989 $1,450 $1.47 45d 1 0.62mi
3485 Cobbs Ferry Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1252 $1,450 $1.16 25d 1 0.63mi
3427 Jackson Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,900 $1.36 20d 1 0.65mi
4100 Glenwood Rd Decatur, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 925 $1,450 $1.57 6d 17 0.67mi
1428 David Cir Unit A11 Decatur, GA 3.0 1.5 1362 $1,830 $1.34 45d 1 0.69mi
1387 Midview Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,750 $1.71 45d 1 0.70mi
1932 Rosewood Rd Decatur, GA 4.0 2.5 1215 $1,485 $1.22 14d 1 0.71mi
1932 Rosewood Rd Decatur, GA 4.0 2.5 1294 $1,120 $0.87 25d 1 0.71mi
1368 Alverado Way Decatur, GA 2.0 1.0 1088 $1,523 $1.40 45d 1 0.72mi
1953 Laurel Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 1.0 1202 $945 $0.79 22d 1 0.73mi
3405 Elgin Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1198 $1,700 $1.42 45d 1 0.74mi
3503 Misty Valley Rd Decatur, GA 3.0 1.5 984 $1,495 $1.52 25d 1 0.74mi
2939 Belvedere Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,595 $1.06 14d 1 0.74mi
2939 Belvedere Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,595 $1.06 11d 1 0.74mi
1966 Glendale Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1211 $800 $0.66 0d 1 0.79mi
2873 White Oak Dr Decatur, GA 2.0 1.5 816 $1,800 $2.21 45d 1 0.79mi
1972 Glendale Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1211 $1,790 $1.48 45d 1 0.80mi
1978 Glendale Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1425 $1,000 $0.70 25d 1 0.82mi
1978 Glendale Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1211 $1,490 $1.23 14d 1 0.82mi
1978 Glendale Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1211 $1,100 $0.91 5d 1 0.82mi
1978 Glendale Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1211 $1,200 $0.99 19d 1 0.82mi
3229 McAfee Rd Decatur, GA 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,600 $1.23 45d 1 0.88mi
2015 Oak Park Ln Decatur, GA 3.0 2.5 871 $1,400 $1.61 25d 1 0.93mi
3529 Robins Landing Way Decatur, GA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1042 $1,443 $1.38 0d 36 0.94mi
3529 Robins Landing Way Decatur, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 982 $1,677 $1.71 45d 26 0.94mi
3235 Beech Dr Decatur, GA 3.0 2.0 1264 $2,400 $1.90 45d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $136,000 Active 96 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $136,000 Active 93 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $136,000 Active 92 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $136,000 Active 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $136,000 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $136,000 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    status $136,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    status $136,000 Pending 84 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $136,000 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $136,000 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $136,000 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $136,000 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $136,000 Active 80 DOM
  14. 2026-04-10
    price $139,000 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity with strong rental potential. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath property offers a functional layout, updated kitchen, and low-maintenance features ideal for long-term tenants. Located in a high-demand rental area near shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Spacious backyard and solid structure provide additional value-add potential. Great option for buy-and-hold investors, portfolio expansion, or first-time investors seeking steady cash flow.

  15. 2026-04-10
    price $139,000 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity with strong rental potential. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath property offers a functional layout, updated kitchen, and low-maintenance features ideal for long-term tenants. Located in a high-demand rental area near shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Spacious backyard and solid structure provide additional value-add potential. Great option for buy-and-hold investors, portfolio expansion, or first-time investors seeking steady cash flow.

  16. 2026-03-12
    listed $140,000 New 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity with strong rental potential. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath property offers a functional layout, updated kitchen, and low-maintenance features ideal for long-term tenants. Located in a high-demand rental area near shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Spacious backyard and solid structure provide additional value-add potential. Great option for buy-and-hold investors, portfolio expansion, or first-time investors seeking steady cash flow.

  17. 2026-03-12
    listed $140,000 Active 475-char remark
    Show marketing remark (475 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity with strong rental potential. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath property offers a functional layout, updated kitchen, and low-maintenance features ideal for long-term tenants. Located in a high-demand rental area near shopping, schools, and major commuter routes. Spacious backyard and solid structure provide additional value-add potential. Great option for buy-and-hold investors, portfolio expansion, or first-time investors seeking steady cash flow.

  18. 2025-10-24
    historical $1,665
  19. 2025-10-19
    price $1,665
  20. 2025-10-18
    listed $1,755
  21. 2021-06-16
    soldstatus $19,567,768
  22. 2012-12-25
    historical
  23. 2012-08-22
    listed $25,000 New
  24. 2009-01-20
    soldstatus $85,000
  25. 2008-04-14
    soldstatus $32,000
  26. 2008-02-08
    listed $34,500
  27. 2006-10-05
    soldstatus $96,600
  28. 2004-08-16
    soldstatus $134,000
  29. 2004-04-28
    soldstatus $97,000
  30. 2001-03-05
    soldstatus $73,000
  31. 2001-03-05
    soldstatus $73,000
  32. 1987-03-19
    soldstatus $49,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,418 · $285/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,418 · $285/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,352
− Mortgage interest
−$7,618
− Property taxes
−$3,418
− Insurance
−$680
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,628
− Management
−$1,628
− Depreciation
−$3,956
Taxable income
$1,423
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$342
After-tax cash flow
$3,080/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dekalb County
NCES district ID
1301740
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$51,448
Composite
20.92/100
National rank
#8482
State rank
#125 of 174 in GA

Livability — Belvedere Park

Score
68/100
State rank
#153
US rank
#9886

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belvedere Park, GA
County
Dekalb County · 782,738 people
City population
42,812
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
42,948
Household income
$62,765
Rent vs Own
43.8% rent · 56.2% own
Severe rent burden
2097.0

Population outlook (DeKalb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
839,977 people
By 2030
891,768 · +6.2%
By 2040
988,894 · +17.7%
By 2050
1,074,583 · +27.9%
By 2075
1,245,026 · +48.2%
By 2100
1,303,135 · +55.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (70%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 70% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China, Guatemala
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 0%

Political lean MEDSL · DeKalb

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.8) · D 81.9% · R 17.1% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+6.1pp toward D · 2008: 58.6pp · 2024: 64.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.8 2020: D+67.4 2016: D+64.8 2012: D+56.8 2008: D+58.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -203.83%
Current HPI
221.0467
Rent YoY
▲ 1.34%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+183.7% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $139,000 FMLS
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $139,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $140,000 FMLS
  • 2026-03-12 Listed $140,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-10-24 Rental Removed $1,665 RENTLY
  • 2025-10-19 Price Changed $1,665 RENTLY
  • 2025-10-18 Listed for Rent $1,755 RENTLY
  • 2021-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $19,567,768 Public Records
  • 2012-12-25 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2012-08-22 Listed $25,000 GAMLS
  • 2009-01-20 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
  • 2008-04-14 Sold (MLS) $32,000 FMLS
  • 2008-02-08 Listed $34,500 FMLS
  • 2006-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $96,600 Public Records
  • 2004-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
  • 2004-04-28 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
  • 2001-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 2001-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
  • 1987-03-19 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,418 · +0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…