1537 S 9th St · Milwaukee, WI 53204

$53,150

5 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 43 Days on market

Built 1884 4,356 sqft lot $51/sqft · 66% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +3.0/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.2/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

This is a City Of Milwaukee owned Tax Foreclosure. Buyers must show proof of funds or financing to cover purchase price & essential repairs. Essential Repairs:$76,840 (Total Scope Of Work:$118,130)

Key facts

• 4,356 sq ft lot
• Built 1884
• Listed 43 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $53k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $53k).
• Recommended offer: $52k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 30.6% vs local median 5.1% in Milwaukee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#55 in WI, #1,534 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, crime F.
• Milwaukee School District (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #337 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 57 active listings in the ZIP; 1,017 units permitted in Milwaukee County in 2024 (803 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $1,826/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 2357% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $6k of equity ($368 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Milwaukee County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 2.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $43k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1884 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $51,555 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1884 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.44% ✓
• Cap rate: 30.58%
• Cash-on-cash: 86.73%
• DSCR: 4.86
• GRM: 2.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $156,213
• List price: $53,150
• Delta: -65.98%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1512 S 9th St	0.04mi	4/1.5 (-1)	1,160 (+12%)	18mo	$150,000	$129	57
1451 S Union St	0.65mi	4/1.0 (-1)	1,167 (+12%)	12mo	$95,000	$81	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 2.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 95.1%
• Equity multiple: 7.43×
• Total profit: $95,657
• Equity at exit: $47,882

10-year hold

• IRR: 89.9%
• Equity multiple: 16.07×
• Total profit: $224,336
• Equity at exit: $103,259

Cash invested: $14,882 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 73 Landlord-Friendly
• State Wisconsin: 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 53204

• Home prices YoY: 19.0%
• Rents YoY: 2.0%
• Active inventory: 57
• Price-to-rent: 2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,826 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$279
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$66 /mo · $797/yr
• Insurance: −$22
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$384
• Net cashflow: $1,076

Break-even live

Break-even rent $465

Max offer price $53,150

Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,112	-5% $1,094	+0% $1,076	+5% $1,057	+10% $1,039
Rent	-10% $931	-5% $1,003	+0% $1,076	+5% $1,148	+10% $1,220
Rate	-1.0pp $1,102	-0.5pp $1,089	base $1,076	+0.5pp $1,062	+1.0pp $1,048

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,288
• Closing costs: $1,594
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-04-15
   listed $53,150 Active 203-char remark

   Show marketing remark (203 chars)

   This is a City Of Milwaukee owned Tax Foreclosure. Buyers must show proof of funds or financing to cover purchase price & essential repairs. Essential Repairs:$76,840 (Total Scope Of Work:$118,130)

2. 2026-04-06
   historical 235-char remark

   Show marketing remark (235 chars)

   This is a tax foreclosed property. For the first 30-days of the listing period, no offers below the listing price will be considered per Wisconsin Foreclosure Law. Owner Occupants will be prioritized. BIDS DUE March 30, 2026 AT 10:00am

3. 2026-02-23
   listed $106,300 Active 235-char remark

   Show marketing remark (235 chars)

   This is a tax foreclosed property. For the first 30-days of the listing period, no offers below the listing price will be considered per Wisconsin Foreclosure Law. Owner Occupants will be prioritized. BIDS DUE March 30, 2026 AT 10:00am

4. 2003-11-10
   soldstatus $43,000
5. 1983-09-01
   soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,917
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,977
• − Property taxes: −$797
• − Insurance: −$266
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,753
• − Management: −$1,753
• − Depreciation: −$1,546
• Taxable income: $12,824
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,078
• After-tax cash flow: $9,829/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Milwaukee School District
• NCES district ID: 5509600
• Math proficiency: 10% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 18% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $36,339
• Composite: 11.61/100
• National rank: #9696
• State rank: #337 of 342 in WI

Livability — Milwaukee

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #55
• US rank: #1534

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Milwaukee, WI
• County: Milwaukee County · 926,379 people
• City population: 573,768
• Metro: Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
• Population (ZIP): 39,996
• Household income: $45,934
• Rent vs Own: 73.8% rent · 26.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 2357.0

Population outlook (Milwaukee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 995,758 people
• By 2030: 1,009,124 · +1.3%
• By 2040: 1,028,128 · +3.3%
• By 2050: 1,040,066 · +4.4%
• By 2075: 1,057,849 · +6.2%
• By 2100: 1,039,774 · +4.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (68%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 68% Two or more races 35% White 15% Black 11% Asian 3% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 51% Puerto Rican 13%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 28% · Canada
• Languages at home: 35% English-only · Spanish 61% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Milwaukee

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+38.5) · D 68.3% · R 29.8% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +2.7pp toward D · 2008: 35.9pp · 2024: 38.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+38.5 2020: D+39.9 2016: D+37.5 2012: D+34.6 2008: D+35.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 64.27%
• Current HPI: 403.236
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.00%
• Metro: Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.10%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	4	$23B
▸Industrial Technology	2	$36B
▸Insurance	1	$36B
▸Professional Services	1	$19B
▸Utilities	1	$9B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$3B

Price history

+112.6% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-15 Listed $53,150 METROMLS
• 2026-04-06 Listing Removed — METROMLS
• 2026-02-23 Listed $106,300 METROMLS
• 2003-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
• 1983-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $12,561 · +99.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.