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44 Cr 146
B Composite 74.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$69,900

44 Cr 146 · Corning, AR 72422
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,664 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1979 0.48 ac lot ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

On a nice level lot, this 4 bedroom, 2 bath home with approximately 1664 sq ft has been mostly updated. Located within close proximity to school and local amenities, this home is located on a nice sized lot and is priced to sell!

Key facts

  • Metal shop
  • Quiet neighborhood
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTMETAL SHOPQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Financing available: Conventional loan or cash

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking pads
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family property; Subdivision: MELANIE HEIGHTS
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl siding; 3-tab shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built on approximately 0.48 acre lot
  • Exterior features: Outside storage area; Level lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Carpet, tile and laminate flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $533 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $69k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 7.0% in Corning — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#38 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Corning School District (town): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #123 of 238 in AR (top 52%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.8% local appreciation)).
  • Clay County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($69k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $70k implies a 133% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,851 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.76%
Cap rate
15.44%
Cash-on-cash
32.65%
DSCR
2.45
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.4%
Equity multiple
2.95×
Total profit
$38,094
Equity at exit
$26,923
10-year hold
IRR
37.7%
Equity multiple
5.78×
Total profit
$93,608
Equity at exit
$38,278

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72422

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,230 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $526/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$533

Break-even live

Break-even rent $556
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 52%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $572 -5% $552 +0% $533 +5% $513 +10% $493
Rent -10% $435 -5% $484 +0% $533 +5% $581 +10% $630
Rate -1.0pp $568 -0.5pp $550 base $533 +0.5pp $514 +1.0pp $496

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,900 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 25 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $69,900 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 17 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-21
    listed $69,900 New Listing
  17. 2017-10-03
    soldstatus $30,000 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    On a nice level lot, this 4 bedroom, 2 bath home with approximately 1664 sq ft has been mostly updated. Located within close proximity to school and local amenities, this home is located on a nice sized lot and is priced to sell!

  18. 2017-10-03
    soldstatus $30,000
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    On a nice level lot, this 4 bedroom, 2 bath home with approximately 1664 sq ft has been mostly updated. Located within close proximity to school and local amenities, this home is located on a nice sized lot and is priced to sell!

  19. 2017-04-06
    listed $36,400 229-char remark
    Show marketing remark (229 chars)

    On a nice level lot, this 4 bedroom, 2 bath home with approximately 1664 sq ft has been mostly updated. Located within close proximity to school and local amenities, this home is located on a nice sized lot and is priced to sell!

  20. 2008-06-02
    soldstatus $72,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$526 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$526 · $44/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,765
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$526
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,181
− Management
−$1,181
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$5,579
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,339
After-tax cash flow
$5,052/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corning School District
NCES district ID
0500009
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$28,919
Composite
28.73/100
National rank
#6679
State rank
#123 of 238 in AR

Livability — Corning

Score
71/100
State rank
#38
US rank
#6594

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,302

Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,564 people
By 2030
12,834 · -5.4%
By 2040
11,498 · -15.2%
By 2050
10,325 · -23.9%
By 2075
8,228 · -39.3%
By 2100
6,675 · -50.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clay

2024 margin
Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.3% · R 79.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-47.3pp toward R · 2008: -14.3pp · 2024: -61.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+61.6 2020: R+60.3 2016: R+29.8 2012: R+29.1 2008: R+14.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.83%
Current HPI
191.7305
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-2.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Listed $69,900 CARMLS
  • 2017-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2017-10-03 Sold (MLS) $30,000 CARMLS
  • 2017-04-06 Listed $36,400 CARMLS
  • 2008-06-02 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+36.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $526 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…