192 Gage St · Pontiac, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well maintained 3bedroom 1.5 bath for sale. Home has a large fenced in backyard with an enclosed sunroom. This home is conveniently located near major freeways, shopping and restaurants. Property is being sold as is. Home just needs a little loving care and it'll be all set!
Key facts
- 7,841 sq ft lot
- Built 1960
- Listed 48 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Recommended offer: $112k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 6.7% in Pontiac — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
- Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($112k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.51%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $129,735
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 Victory Dr | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 930 (-3%) | 2mo | $95,000 | $102 | 87 |
| 141 Oliver St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 964 (+0%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $135 | 77 |
| 672 Linda Vista Dr | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-6%) | 4mo | $113,000 | $126 | 76 |
| 129 Oliver St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 920 (-4%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $158 | 74 |
| 674 Parkwood Ave | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 961 (0%) | 3mo | $100,000 | $104 | 72 |
| 618 Linda Vista Dr | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,066 (+11%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $127 | 71 |
| 710 Melrose St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 952 (-1%) | 3mo | $142,000 | $149 | 61 |
| 428 Jordon Rd | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 887 (-8%) | 7mo | $153,000 | $172 | 54 |
| 414 Kenilworth Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 884 (-8%) | 4mo | $155,000 | $175 | 51 |
| 92 N Ardmore St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (+8%) | 4mo | $169,000 | $163 | 50 |
| 184 N Astor St | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,046 (+9%) | 1mo | $95,100 | $91 | 50 |
| 509 Cameron Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 860 (-10%) | 6mo | $42,000 | $49 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-4,056
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $15,349
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48342
- Home prices YoY
- -33.8%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,334 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,095/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $228
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $293 | -5% $261 | +0% $228 | +5% $196 | +10% $163 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $123 | -5% $176 | +0% $228 | +5% $281 | +10% $334 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $286 | -0.5pp $258 | base $228 | +0.5pp $198 | +1.0pp $168 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 188 Vernon Dr Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 672 Linda Vista Dr Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 4d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 957 Perry St Pontiac, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 835 | $1,099 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 750 Scottwood St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,395 | $1.52 | 13d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 68 N Shirley St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,395 | $1.47 | 19d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 65 Whitfield St Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,175 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 611 E Madison Ave Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,395 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 97 Fairgrove St Apt 2 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 6d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4000 Winston Dr Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $1,182 | $1.24 | 0d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 51 S Francis St Unit 4 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,000 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1173 Featherstone Rd Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 970 | $1,495 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 83 S Edith St Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 818 | $1,450 | $1.77 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 97 S Jessie St Unit 2 Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,120 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 90 Martin Luther King Jr Blvd S Pontiac, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,000 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 695 1st Ave Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 128 S Edith St Pontiac, MI | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1155 | $1,700 | $1.47 | 18d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 85 E Beverly Ave Pontiac, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,250 | $1.25 | 6d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2024-12-17status Pending
-
2023-07-28status Pending 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Well maintained 3bedroom 1.5 bath for sale. Home has a large fenced in backyard with an enclosed sunroom. This home is conveniently located near major freeways, shopping and restaurants. Property is being sold as is. Home just needs a little loving care and it'll be all set!
-
2023-07-28status Pending
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Well maintained 3bedroom 1.5 bath for sale. Home has a large fenced in backyard with an enclosed sunroom. This home is conveniently located near major freeways, shopping and restaurants. Property is being sold as is. Home just needs a little loving care and it'll be all set!
-
2023-07-21historical Accepting Backup Offers 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Well maintained 3bedroom 1.5 bath for sale. Home has a large fenced in backyard with an enclosed sunroom. This home is conveniently located near major freeways, shopping and restaurants. Property is being sold as is. Home just needs a little loving care and it'll be all set!
-
2023-07-21historical Accepting Backup Offers
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Well maintained 3bedroom 1.5 bath for sale. Home has a large fenced in backyard with an enclosed sunroom. This home is conveniently located near major freeways, shopping and restaurants. Property is being sold as is. Home just needs a little loving care and it'll be all set!
-
2023-06-26status Active 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Well maintained 3bedroom 1.5 bath for sale. Home has a large fenced in backyard with an enclosed sunroom. This home is conveniently located near major freeways, shopping and restaurants. Property is being sold as is. Home just needs a little loving care and it'll be all set!
-
2023-06-26status Active
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Well maintained 3bedroom 1.5 bath for sale. Home has a large fenced in backyard with an enclosed sunroom. This home is conveniently located near major freeways, shopping and restaurants. Property is being sold as is. Home just needs a little loving care and it'll be all set!
-
2023-06-15historical Accepting Backup Offers 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Well maintained 3bedroom 1.5 bath for sale. Home has a large fenced in backyard with an enclosed sunroom. This home is conveniently located near major freeways, shopping and restaurants. Property is being sold as is. Home just needs a little loving care and it'll be all set!
-
2023-06-15historical Accepting Backup Offers
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Well maintained 3bedroom 1.5 bath for sale. Home has a large fenced in backyard with an enclosed sunroom. This home is conveniently located near major freeways, shopping and restaurants. Property is being sold as is. Home just needs a little loving care and it'll be all set!
-
2023-06-10$115,000 Active
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Well maintained 3bedroom 1.5 bath for sale. Home has a large fenced in backyard with an enclosed sunroom. This home is conveniently located near major freeways, shopping and restaurants. Property is being sold as is. Home just needs a little loving care and it'll be all set!
-
2023-06-10$115,000 Active 275-char remark
Show marketing remark (275 chars)
Well maintained 3bedroom 1.5 bath for sale. Home has a large fenced in backyard with an enclosed sunroom. This home is conveniently located near major freeways, shopping and restaurants. Property is being sold as is. Home just needs a little loving care and it'll be all set!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,095 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,095 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,007
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$2,095
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,281
- − Management
- −$1,281
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $989
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$237
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,502/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pontiac City School District
- NCES district ID
- 2628740
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,888
- Composite
- 10.12/100
- National rank
- #9802
- State rank
- #514 of 540 in MI
Livability — Pontiac
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #14703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pontiac, MI
- City population
- 44,593
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,227
Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,335,747 people
- By 2030
- 1,375,100 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 1,435,385 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 1,469,250 · +10.0%
- By 2075
- 1,531,946 · +14.7%
- By 2100
- 1,450,485 · +8.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 13% Two or more races 13% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Asian/Pacific 4% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oakland
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.18%
- Current HPI
- 214.3258
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-07-28 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-07-28 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-07-21 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-07-21 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2023-06-26 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-26 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2023-06-15 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-15 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2023-06-10 Listed $115,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-06-10 Listed $115,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,095 · +39.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…