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Westchester Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 38.97
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.0/10.0

$563,990

Westchester Plan · Aurora, IL 60503
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 3,300 sqft · SingleFamily · 334 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.

Key facts

  • Upstairs loft
  • Flex space
  • Extra garage bay

Tags

DRAMATIC ISLANDWALK-IN PANTRYPULTE PLANNING CENTERFLEX SPACEUPSTAIRS LOFTEXTRA GARAGE BAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $563,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $633,444.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $564k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-988 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $491k (13.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $429k (23.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $429k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.5% in Aurora — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#232 in IL, #4,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($137k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $68k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $63k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$109k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 334 days — a 12% lower offer ($496k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $429,120 (23.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 334 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
4.42%
Cash-on-cash
-6.68%
DSCR
0.70
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$633,444
List price
$563,990
Delta
-10.96%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2973 Stonecrop Dr 0.25mi 4/2.5 3,155 (-4%) 16mo $611,560 $194 68
3148 Peyton Cir 0.24mi 4/2.5 2,899 (-12%) 2mo $637,992 $220 67
3213 Lincoln Prairie Blvd 0.37mi 4/3.5 3,300 (0%) 22mo $761,377 $231 61
2959 Francis Ct 0.25mi 5/3.5 (+1) 3,031 (-8%) 18mo $700,000 $231 51
3257 Lincoln Prairie Blvd 0.45mi 4/3.5 3,590 (+9%) 14mo $957,042 $267 49
2935 Red Rose Rd 0.63mi 4/2.5 3,031 (-8%) 11mo $677,500 $224 48
3161 Anthony St 0.40mi 5/3.5 (+1) 2,899 (-12%) 14mo $695,000 $240 40
2462 Green Valley Ct 0.71mi 5/3.5 (+1) 3,137 (-5%) 12mo $484,900 $155 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$282,158
Equity at exit
$570,656
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
5.96×
Total profit
$880,500
Equity at exit
$1,230,642

Cash invested: $177,364 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60503

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,291 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,322
Tax est. 1.5%
$792 /mo · $9,502/yr
Insurance
$264
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$901
Net cashflow
$-988

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,541
Max offer price $490,545
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-550 -5% $-769 +0% $-988 +5% $-1,206 +10% $-1,425
Rent -10% $-1,327 -5% $-1,157 +0% $-988 +5% $-818 +10% $-649
Rate -1.0pp $-669 -0.5pp $-826 base $-988 +0.5pp $-1,152 +1.0pp $-1,319

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$158,361
Closing costs
$19,003
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2557 Tahoe Ct Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 3805 $2,050 $0.54 25d 1 0.93mi
3907 Nannyberry St Naperville, IL 4.0 3.5 4400 $6,800 $1.55 44d 1 1.15mi
2036 Antietam Ct Aurora, IL 4.0 2.5 2345 $3,450 $1.47 3d 1 1.19mi
3628 Birch Ln Naperville, IL 4.0 2.5 2697 $4,200 $1.56 15d 1 1.25mi
3484 Birch Ln Naperville, IL 3.0 4.0 3600 $4,270 $1.19 11d 1 1.35mi
3436 Birch Ln Naperville, IL 4.0 3.0 3393 $4,395 $1.30 11d 1 1.41mi
159 Chapin Way Oswego, IL 4.0 3.5 2415 $3,500 $1.45 19d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $563,990 Active 334 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $563,990 Active 333 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $563,990 Active 332 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $563,990 Active 331 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $563,990 Active 329 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $563,990 Active 325 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $563,990 Active 324 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $563,990 Active 323 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $563,990 Active 320 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $563,990 Active 319 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $563,990 Active 318 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $563,990 Active 317 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $563,990 Active 316 DOM
  14. 2026-04-03
    price $563,990 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.

  15. 2026-02-04
    price $561,990 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.

  16. 2025-12-24
    price $559,990 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.

  17. 2025-12-04
    price $555,990 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.

  18. 2025-09-26
    price $554,990 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.

  19. 2025-09-04
    price $552,990 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.

  20. 2025-07-19
    listed $550,990 Active 408-char remark
    Show marketing remark (408 chars)

    For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$51,494
− Mortgage interest
−$35,483
− Property taxes
−$9,502
− Insurance
−$3,167
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,120
− Management
−$4,120
− Depreciation
−$18,427
Taxable loss
−$23,324
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$5,598
After-tax cash flow
$-6,253/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
CUSD 308
NCES district ID
1730270
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$89,945
Composite
31.25/100
National rank
#6028
State rank
#179 of 620 in IL

Livability — Aurora

Score
75/100
State rank
#232
US rank
#4272

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aurora, IL
County
Will County · 412,448 people
City population
186,692
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
16,789
Household income
$136,726
Rent vs Own
9.8% rent · 90.2% own
Severe rent burden
19.0

Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
705,368 people
By 2030
708,154 · +0.4%
By 2040
702,692 · -0.4%
By 2050
680,249 · -3.6%
By 2075
611,990 · -13.2%
By 2100
516,215 · -26.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Asian 19% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Scandinavian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Will

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.31%
Current HPI
232.382
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Price Changed $563,990 Zillow
  • 2026-02-04 Price Changed $561,990 Zillow
  • 2025-12-24 Price Changed $559,990 Zillow
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $555,990 Zillow
  • 2025-09-26 Price Changed $554,990 Zillow
  • 2025-09-04 Price Changed $552,990 Zillow
  • 2025-07-19 Listed $550,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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