🏗️ New Construction
Westchester Plan · Aurora, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
$563,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.
Key facts
- Upstairs loft
- Flex space
- Extra garage bay
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $564k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-988 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $491k (13.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $429k (23.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $429k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.4% vs local median 3.5% in Aurora — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#232 in IL, #4,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety F.
- CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($137k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $68k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $63k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$109k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 334 days — a 12% lower offer ($496k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 334 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.68%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $633,444
- List price
- $563,990
- Delta
- -10.96%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2973 Stonecrop Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 | 3,155 (-4%) | 16mo | $611,560 | $194 | 68 |
| 3148 Peyton Cir | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 | 2,899 (-12%) | 2mo | $637,992 | $220 | 67 |
| 3213 Lincoln Prairie Blvd | 0.37mi | 4/3.5 | 3,300 (0%) | 22mo | $761,377 | $231 | 61 |
| 2959 Francis Ct | 0.25mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 3,031 (-8%) | 18mo | $700,000 | $231 | 51 |
| 3257 Lincoln Prairie Blvd | 0.45mi | 4/3.5 | 3,590 (+9%) | 14mo | $957,042 | $267 | 49 |
| 2935 Red Rose Rd | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 3,031 (-8%) | 11mo | $677,500 | $224 | 48 |
| 3161 Anthony St | 0.40mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 2,899 (-12%) | 14mo | $695,000 | $240 | 40 |
| 2462 Green Valley Ct | 0.71mi | 5/3.5 (+1) | 3,137 (-5%) | 12mo | $484,900 | $155 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $282,158
- Equity at exit
- $570,656
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.96×
- Total profit
- $880,500
- Equity at exit
- $1,230,642
Cash invested: $177,364 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60503
- Home prices YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,291 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,322
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$792 /mo · $9,502/yr
- Insurance
- −$264
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$901
- Net cashflow
- $-988
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-550 | -5% $-769 | +0% $-988 | +5% $-1,206 | +10% $-1,425 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,327 | -5% $-1,157 | +0% $-988 | +5% $-818 | +10% $-649 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-669 | -0.5pp $-826 | base $-988 | +0.5pp $-1,152 | +1.0pp $-1,319 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $158,361
- Closing costs
- $19,003
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2557 Tahoe Ct Aurora, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 3805 | $2,050 | $0.54 | 25d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 3907 Nannyberry St Naperville, IL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 4400 | $6,800 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2036 Antietam Ct Aurora, IL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2345 | $3,450 | $1.47 | 3d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3628 Birch Ln Naperville, IL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2697 | $4,200 | $1.56 | 15d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3484 Birch Ln Naperville, IL | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3600 | $4,270 | $1.19 | 11d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3436 Birch Ln Naperville, IL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 3393 | $4,395 | $1.30 | 11d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 159 Chapin Way Oswego, IL | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2415 | $3,500 | $1.45 | 19d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $563,990 Active 334 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $563,990 Active 333 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $563,990 Active 332 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $563,990 Active 331 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $563,990 Active 329 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $563,990 Active 325 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $563,990 Active 324 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $563,990 Active 323 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $563,990 Active 320 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $563,990 Active 319 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $563,990 Active 318 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $563,990 Active 317 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $563,990 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-04-03price $563,990 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.
-
2026-02-04price $561,990 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.
-
2025-12-24price $559,990 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.
-
2025-12-04price $555,990 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.
-
2025-09-26price $554,990 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.
-
2025-09-04price $552,990 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.
-
2025-07-19$550,990 Active 408-char remark
Show marketing remark (408 chars)
For bigger families, Westchester excels. An Everyday Entry® keeps backpacks and briefcases handy, but out of the way. A kitchen with dramatic island overlooks the entertaining area, with a walk-in pantry and Pulte Planning Center® in easy reach. Flex space off the foyer makes a great den and an upstairs loft offers a family retreat in your new home. Storage is a huge plus with an extra garage bay.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $51,494
- − Mortgage interest
- −$35,483
- − Property taxes
- −$9,502
- − Insurance
- −$3,167
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,120
- − Management
- −$4,120
- − Depreciation
- −$18,427
- Taxable loss
- −$23,324
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$5,598
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,253/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- CUSD 308
- NCES district ID
- 1730270
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $89,945
- Composite
- 31.25/100
- National rank
- #6028
- State rank
- #179 of 620 in IL
Livability — Aurora
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #232
- US rank
- #4272
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Aurora, IL
- County
- Will County · 412,448 people
- City population
- 186,692
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,789
- Household income
- $136,726
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 19.0
Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 705,368 people
- By 2030
- 708,154 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 702,692 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 680,249 · -3.6%
- By 2075
- 611,990 · -13.2%
- By 2100
- 516,215 · -26.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Asian 19% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Scandinavian 3% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Will
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.31%
- Current HPI
- 232.382
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+2.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $563,990 Zillow
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $561,990 Zillow
- 2025-12-24 Price Changed $559,990 Zillow
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $555,990 Zillow
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $554,990 Zillow
- 2025-09-04 Price Changed $552,990 Zillow
- 2025-07-19 Listed $550,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…