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B- Composite 65.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$53,000

None · Hemet, CA 92545
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured public records · 276 Days on market
Built 1976 $46/sqft · 7% above area Est $49k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to A Move-In Ready, Newly Renovated Gem in a Gated 55+ Community of Sunburst MobileHome Park! This Beautifully Renovated Home has New Carpeting, HVAC, Modern Huge Glass Windows and Whole New Roof. Its Spacious Interior features Open Layout, a truly Turnkey ready for its new owner. The spacious interior features newly interior and exterior paint. The gorgeous kitchen has wood cabinetry & elegant countertops, double oven, stainless steel stove and dishwasher, new faucet and a garbage disposal, washer and dryer. Enjoy the morning breeze and a cup of coffee, or a cool evening in the large front patio. A generous 2-car covered carport with a storage shed behind. Sunburst Mobile Home Park offers a clean, quiet, and friendly senior community that is meticulously maintained. You'll love the Park amenities with the inviting lobby, library, spacious clubhouse, barbecue area, sparkling blue pool, jacuzzi and a billiard hall. The central location is just minutes away from the Hemet Valley Mall, Hemet Global Medical Center, Walgreen, Walmart Neighborhood Market, Target, Smart and Final, Grocery Outlet, Hemet DMV, the Social Security Office, Banks, Inn and Out, McDonalds, Starbucks, Asian Store and various restaurant you will enjoy!!!

Key facts

  • Elegant countertops
  • Open layout
  • Huge glass windows

Tags

HUGE GLASS WINDOWSOPEN LAYOUTWOOD CABINETRYELEGANT COUNTERTOPSDOUBLE OVENSTAINLESS STEEL STOVE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $53k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $53k).
  • Recommended offer: $47k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 34.8% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 290 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $366 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 276 days — a 12% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $46,640 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 276 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.76%
Cap rate
34.77%
Cash-on-cash
101.71%
DSCR
5.53
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$49,380
List price
$53,000
Delta
7.33%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1895 W Devonshire Ave #27 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,040 (-10%) 3mo $45,000 $43 76
1895 W Devonshire #133 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (+8%) 7mo $65,000 $52 76
1380 Cabrillo 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,152 (0%) 2mo $260,000 $226 70
332 N Lyon Ave #67 0.28mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (+8%) 3mo $49,500 $40 65
1445 W Florida Ave #85 0.36mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,040 (-10%) 2mo $96,000 $92 61
1525 W Oakland Ave #115 0.35mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (+8%) 6mo $46,000 $37 60
332 N Lyon #57 0.47mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,040 (-10%) 1mo $35,000 $34 56
2205 W Acacia Ave #6 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,250 (+8%) 2mo $130,000 $104 55
430 N Palm #102 0.72mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,200 (+4%) 2mo $45,000 $38 51
601 N Kirby St #267 0.75mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (+8%) 3mo $82,250 $66 44
601 N Kirby St Unit 161A 0.75mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (+8%) 8mo $34,500 $28 40
2205 W Acacia Ave #15 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,322 (+15%) 8mo $145,000 $110 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
5.92×
Total profit
$73,015
Equity at exit
$7,902
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.65×
Total profit
$172,951
Equity at exit
$4,582

Cash invested: $14,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92545

Home prices YoY
-24.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
290
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,991 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$278
Tax from tax record
$15 /mo · $182/yr
Insurance
$22
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$418
Net cashflow
$1,258

Break-even live

Break-even rent $399
Max offer price $53,000
Occupancy floor 32%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,250
Closing costs
$1,590
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
341 Calle Nogales Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,395 $1.69 43d 1 0.18mi
1887 Calle Amargosa Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,545 $1.87 24d 1 0.23mi
2054 Avenida Olivos Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 820 $1,500 $1.83 43d 1 0.28mi
1862 Pueblo Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,900 $1.94 43d 1 0.30mi
1862 Pueblo Dr Unit 1862 Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,750 $1.79 24d 1 0.30mi
2120 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $2,100 $2.54 43d 1 0.33mi
1964 W Oakland Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 977 $1,695 $1.73 17d 1 0.35mi
1315 W Latham Ave Hemet, CA 3.0 2.5 1340 $2,550 $1.90 43d 1 0.36mi
2269 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,650 $2.00 43d 1 0.37mi
250 N Elk St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,625 $1.81 13d 1 0.37mi
627 Solano Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 882 $1,800 $2.04 18d 1 0.42mi
2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $2,475 $2.77 1d 1 0.42mi
1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 43d 1 0.44mi
528 San Marino St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,900 $2.30 43d 1 0.45mi
446 N Elk St Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 980 $1,675 $1.71 24d 1 0.46mi
1933 Nuevo St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,700 $2.06 24d 1 0.52mi
1931 Nuevo St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 820 $1,600 $1.95 43d 1 0.52mi
2403 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,995 $2.19 7d 1 0.56mi
682 San Marino St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,600 $1.93 43d 1 0.56mi
2469 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 910 $1,750 $1.92 24d 1 0.57mi
663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,500 $1.04 24d 1 0.57mi
2770 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 707 $1,945 $2.75 1d 11 0.57mi
2488 San Padre Ct Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,599 $1.93 13d 1 0.62mi
1850 Amberwood Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1170 $1,561 $1.33 43d 1 0.63mi
471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1085 $1,800 $1.66 5d 1 0.65mi
2422 San Padre Ct Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 827 $1,800 $2.18 24d 1 0.66mi
1700 Walden Ln Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1430 $2,670 $1.87 24d 1 0.70mi
1461 W Mayberry Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1044 $1,750 $1.68 43d 1 0.73mi
2014 Iris Way Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1192 $2,850 $2.39 43d 1 0.75mi
3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 892 $2,195 $2.46 1d 10 0.79mi
471 S Simpson Ave Unit D Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 900 $1,750 $1.94 43d 1 0.92mi
1521 W Westmont Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1197 $2,000 $1.67 43d 1 0.93mi
811 Alondra Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1166 $1,875 $1.61 4d 1 0.93mi
853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,875 $1.39 11d 1 0.94mi
853 Ensenada Dr Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1350 $1,875 $1.39 24d 1 0.94mi
683 Jonquil St Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1150 $2,448 $2.13 24d 1 0.96mi
611 S Palm Ave Unit K Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1254 $1,895 $1.51 7d 1 0.97mi
363 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 3d 1 1.00mi
363 S Gilbert St Unit B Hemet, CA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 13d 1 1.00mi
2208 El Grande St Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 1327 $2,100 $1.58 17d 1 1.01mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $53,000 Active 276 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $53,000 Active 275 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $53,000 Active 274 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $53,000 Active 273 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $53,000 Active 271 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $53,000 Active 267 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $53,000 Active 266 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $53,000 Active 265 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $53,000 Active 262 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $53,000 Active 261 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $53,000 Active 260 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $53,000 Active 259 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $53,000 Active 258 DOM
  14. 2025-09-15
    listed $53,000 Active 1254-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1254 chars)

    Welcome to A Move-In Ready, Newly Renovated Gem in a Gated 55+ Community of Sunburst MobileHome Park! This Beautifully Renovated Home has New Carpeting, HVAC, Modern Huge Glass Windows and Whole New Roof. Its Spacious Interior features Open Layout, a truly Turnkey ready for its new owner. The spacious interior features newly interior and exterior paint. The gorgeous kitchen has wood cabinetry & elegant countertops, double oven, stainless steel stove and dishwasher, new faucet and a garbage disposal, washer and dryer. Enjoy the morning breeze and a cup of coffee, or a cool evening in the large front patio. A generous 2-car covered carport with a storage shed behind. Sunburst Mobile Home Park offers a clean, quiet, and friendly senior community that is meticulously maintained. You'll love the Park amenities with the inviting lobby, library, spacious clubhouse, barbecue area, sparkling blue pool, jacuzzi and a billiard hall. The central location is just minutes away from the Hemet Valley Mall, Hemet Global Medical Center, Walgreen, Walmart Neighborhood Market, Target, Smart and Final, Grocery Outlet, Hemet DMV, the Social Security Office, Banks, Inn and Out, McDonalds, Starbucks, Asian Store and various restaurant you will enjoy!!!

  15. 2025-06-23
    historical
  16. 2025-06-05
    price $25,000
  17. 2025-05-09
    status Active
  18. 2025-05-07
    historical Active Under Contract
  19. 2025-04-25
    price $29,000
  20. 2025-04-07
    price $39,000
  21. 2025-04-01
    price $44,999
  22. 2025-03-13
    listed $49,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$182 · $15/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$403 · $34/mo
Expected delta
+$221/yr (+$18/mo · 121.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,894
− Mortgage interest
−$2,969
− Property taxes
−$182
− Insurance
−$265
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,911
− Management
−$1,911
− Depreciation
−$1,542
Taxable income
$15,113
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,627
After-tax cash flow
$11,467/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
45,982
Household income
$63,770
Rent vs Own
28.8% rent · 71.2% own
Severe rent burden
1813.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 46% White 35% Two or more races 17% Black 8% Asian 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 40%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 27% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -116.25%
Current HPI
356.9414
Rent YoY
▲ 3.74%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $53,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-06-23 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2025-06-05 Price Changed $25,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-05-09 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-05-07 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2025-04-25 Price Changed $29,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-04-07 Price Changed $39,000 CRMLS
  • 2025-04-01 Price Changed $44,999 CRMLS
  • 2025-03-13 Listed $49,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

-1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $182 · -10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…