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208 Carillo Dr
D- Composite 39.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$214,990

208 Carillo Dr · Columbia, SC 29223
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,685 sqft · Townhouse · 141 Days on market
Built 2026 $70/mo HOA · 4% of rent ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Move in Ready, so call and ask about our “Quick Move In Special” today! Discover the epitome of contemporary living in this exquisite 3-bedroom, 2.5-bathroom townhome in a brand new subdivision: Percival Village in Columbia, SC. Nestled in a prime location, these homes provide a perfect blend of style, convenience, and accessibility. The open concept main floor is spacious and built for entertaining; with a perfectly appointed kitchen featuring white cabinets, stainless appliances, and beautiful quartz countertops. You will appreciate the ease of low-maintenance, energy efficient living, with HE appliances, dual programmable thermostats, low E windows, a tankless hot water heate

Key facts

  • Private patio
  • $70 HOA
  • Garage

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT MAIN FLOORPERFECTLY APPOINTED KITCHENLOW MAINTENANCE LIVINGENERGY EFFICIENT LIVINGTANKLESS HOT WATER HEATERPRIVATE PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Home comes with 12-month home warranty and new construction builder warranty; Directions: From Percival Road turn onto Alpine Road. At the roundabout take first right onto Old Percival Road. Percival Village is on the left.
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with common area maintenance, front yard maintenance and landscaping included; Sidewalk community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (main level); Two parking spaces total, including one garage space
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Thermopane windows; Energy Star construction
  • Home design: Two-story home
  • Construction: Vinyl exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Patio; Rear vinyl fencing; Paved road access; Public water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen with island and pantry; Painted cabinets; Quartz countertops; Recessed lighting
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on second floor with double vanity, private bath, separate shower, separate water closet, walk-in closet, and carpet and luxury vinyl plank flooring; Second bedroom on second floor with shared bath, high ceilings and private closet; Third bedroom on second floor with shared bath, high ceilings and private closet
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank and carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full baths and one half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Gas pack heating with zoned system
  • Interior features: Attic with pull-down access; High ceilings; Recessed lighting; Tankless water heater
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry closet in heated space (washer/dryer area on second floor); Disposal

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-62 ($-749/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $206k (4.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (12.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#18 in SC, #2,436 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Richland 02 (suburban): math 35% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #29 of 80 in SC (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Windsor Elementary (math 21% / reading 23%, grade F, #475 of 597 statewide, top 81%, 537 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 38% district-wide (62 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 22% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-19 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Richland 02 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 341 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,472 units permitted in Richland County in 2024 (1,096 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richland County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 141 days — a 12% lower offer ($189k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $189,030 (12.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 141 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
5.94%
Cash-on-cash
-1.24%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.6%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-43,904
Equity at exit
$32,056
10-year hold
IRR
-24.5%
Equity multiple
-0.05×
Total profit
$-63,093
Equity at exit
$18,588

Cash invested: $60,197 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29223

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
341
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,890 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax est. 1.5%
$269 /mo · $3,225/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$70
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$-62

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,969
Max offer price $205,959
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $86 -5% $12 +0% $-62 +5% $-137 +10% $-211
Rent -10% $-212 -5% $-137 +0% $-62 +5% $12 +10% $87
Rate -1.0pp $46 -0.5pp $-8 base $-62 +0.5pp $-118 +1.0pp $-175

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,748
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1270 Polo Rd Columbia, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1167 $1,841 $1.58 4d 41 0.39mi
1725 Cheltenham Ln Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 1444 $1,675 $1.16 24d 1 0.92mi
119 Manzanita Ln Columbia, SC 4.0 2.5 2200 $2,450 $1.11 11d 1 1.29mi
232 Allans Mill Dr Columbia, SC 4.0 2.5 1696 $2,100 $1.24 24d 1 1.31mi
8720 Windsor Lake Blvd Columbia, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 967 $1,415 $1.46 24d 15 1.33mi
811 Mallet Hill Rd Columbia, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1137 $2,041 $1.80 3d 18 1.39mi
117 Greenfield Rd Columbia, SC 3.0 2.0 2055 $1,981 $0.96 24d 1 1.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$70 · $840/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $214,990 Active 141 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $214,990 Active 140 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $214,990 Active 139 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $214,990 Active 138 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $214,990 Active 136 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $214,990 Active 135 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $214,990 Active 133 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,990 Active 132 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,990 Active 131 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $214,990 Active 130 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $214,990 Active 127 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,990 Active 126 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,990 Active 125 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $214,990 Active 124 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,990 Active 123 DOM
  16. 2026-05-08
    price $214,990
  17. 2026-04-16
    price $221,990
  18. 2026-01-28
    listed $225,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,684
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$3,225
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,815
− Management
−$1,815
− HOA
−$840
− Depreciation
−$6,254
Taxable loss
−$4,383
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,052
After-tax cash flow
$303/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richland 02
NCES district ID
4503390
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$59,684
Composite
36.2/100
National rank
#4730
State rank
#29 of 80 in SC

Livability — Columbia

Score
78/100
State rank
#18
US rank
#2436

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbia, SC
County
Richland County · 389,530 people
City population
335,994
Metro
Columbia, SC
Population (ZIP)
53,074
Household income
$62,408
Rent vs Own
42.4% rent · 57.6% own
Severe rent burden
2857.0

Population outlook (Richland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
459,667 people
By 2030
487,524 · +6.1%
By 2040
542,035 · +17.9%
By 2050
595,371 · +29.5%
By 2075
732,998 · +59.5%
By 2100
820,415 · +78.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richland

2024 margin
Solid D (+34.6) · D 66.4% · R 31.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
+5.7pp toward D · 2008: 28.9pp · 2024: 34.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+34.6 2020: D+38.3 2016: D+32.9 2012: D+33.3 2008: D+28.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.96%
Current HPI
195.3158
Rent YoY
▲ 0.21%
Metro
Columbia, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $214,990 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $221,990 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-01-28 Listed $225,990 Consolidated MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…