CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1930 Eric Ave 🏷️ Likely Rental
D+ Composite 45.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$7,500

1930 Eric Ave · Waterloo, IA 50707
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily · 147 Days on market
Built 1994 $6/sqft · 94% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Tax season is here. Marked down 50% for quick sale. For questions, please contact me. For more pictures view https://drive. google.com/drive/folders/1FrmjWb3MJqUbB5ukOA1_aKnAnSlV2S4b?usp=sharing.

Key facts

  • Built 1994
  • Listed 147 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $7,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$130,842) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($852 rent vs $8k).
  • Recommended offer: $7k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 105.7% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment D-.
  • Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $52 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $225 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $6,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
11.37%
Cap rate
105.74%
Cash-on-cash
355.18%
DSCR
16.80
GRM
0.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$130,842
List price
$7,500
Delta
-94.27%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1437 Vine St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,200 (-1%) 1mo $115,000 $96 69
1446 Ruth Street St 0.31mi 3/1.5 1,379 (+13%) 8mo $171,500 $124 55
210 Blowers Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,206 (-1%) 14mo $80,000 $66 50
1220 Shultz St 0.65mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,192 (-2%) 9mo $145,000 $122 49
427 Adrian St 0.72mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,162 (-4%) 7mo $151,000 $130 48
1518 Dearborn Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,224 (+1%) 17mo $119,900 $98 47
551 Indiana St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,264 (+4%) 14mo $68,000 $54 44
2335 Lafayette St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,155 (-5%) 17mo $80,900 $70 39
1222 Vine St 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,350 (+11%) 10mo $144,900 $107 36
123 Idaho St 0.70mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,312 (+8%) 18mo $122,500 $93 32
1026 Ann St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-14%) 11mo $145,000 $139 30
609 Indiana St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,378 (+13%) 14mo $135,900 $99 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
19.28×
Total profit
$38,385
Equity at exit
$1,118
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
41.22×
Total profit
$84,452
Equity at exit
$648

Cash invested: $2,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50707

Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
0.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$852 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$39
Tax est. 1.5%
$9 /mo · $112/yr
Insurance
$3
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$179
Net cashflow
$622

Break-even live

Break-even rent $66
Max offer price $7,500
Occupancy floor 22%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $627 -5% $624 +0% $622 +5% $619 +10% $616
Rent -10% $554 -5% $588 +0% $622 +5% $655 +10% $689
Rate -1.0pp $625 -0.5pp $623 base $622 +0.5pp $620 +1.0pp $618

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$1,875
Closing costs
$225
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
269 Madison St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 816 $675 $0.83 22d 1 0.57mi
243 Polk St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 720 $850 $1.18 22d 1 0.58mi
230 Polk St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 992 $850 $0.86 22d 1 0.59mi
235 Madison St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 816 $675 $0.83 22d 1 0.62mi
2304 Lafayette St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 971 $825 $0.85 44d 1 0.80mi
333 Lamont St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 720 $975 $1.35 44d 1 0.84mi
1911 Springview St Evansdale, IA 2.0 1.0 960 $875 $0.91 44d 1 0.84mi
2014 Springview St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 1064 $975 $0.92 22d 1 0.91mi
823 Glenwood St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 999 $895 $0.90 44d 1 0.95mi
2014 Clearview St Evansdale, IA 2.0 1.0 708 $795 $1.12 44d 1 0.96mi
1720 Franklin St Waterloo, IA 4.0 1.5 1392 $1,000 $0.72 44d 1 1.07mi
425 Glenwood St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 846 $825 $0.98 22d 1 1.25mi
919 Oneida St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1144 $930 $0.81 44d 1 1.30mi
216 Courtland St Apt 1 Waterloo, IA 4.0 1.0 1150 $825 $0.72 22d 1 1.37mi
1107 Mulberry St Waterloo, IA 3.0 1.0 1248 $950 $0.76 22d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $7,500 Active 147 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $7,500 Active 146 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $7,500 Active 145 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $7,500 Active 144 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $7,500 Active 143 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $7,500 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $7,500 Active 140 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $7,500 Active 138 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $7,500 Active 137 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $7,500 Active 136 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $7,500 Active 135 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $7,500 Active 132 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $7,500 Active 131 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $7,500 Active 130 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $7,500 Active 129 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $7,500 Active 128 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $7,500 Active 127 DOM
  18. 2026-01-23
    listed $7,500 Active 195-char remark
    Show marketing remark (195 chars)

    Tax season is here. Marked down 50% for quick sale. For questions, please contact me. For more pictures view https://drive. google.com/drive/folders/1FrmjWb3MJqUbB5ukOA1_aKnAnSlV2S4b?usp=sharing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,229
− Mortgage interest
−$420
− Property taxes
−$112
− Insurance
−$38
− Repairs & maintenance
−$818
− Management
−$818
− Depreciation
−$218
Taxable income
$7,804
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,873
After-tax cash flow
$5,586/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterloo Community School District
NCES district ID
1930480
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$42,545
Composite
43.72/100
National rank
#2950
State rank
#276 of 289 in IA

Livability — Waterloo

Score
81/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterloo, IA
City population
69,066
Population (ZIP)
7,407

Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
139,716 people
By 2030
142,853 · +2.2%
By 2040
147,843 · +5.8%
By 2050
153,247 · +9.7%
By 2075
167,977 · +20.2%
By 2100
177,320 · +26.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.77%
Current HPI
178.5926
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-01-23 Listed $7,500 ForSaleByOwner.com

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…