🏷️ Likely Rental
1930 Eric Ave · Waterloo, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $750 – $7,588
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$7,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tax season is here. Marked down 50% for quick sale. For questions, please contact me. For more pictures view https://drive. google.com/drive/folders/1FrmjWb3MJqUbB5ukOA1_aKnAnSlV2S4b?usp=sharing.
Key facts
- Built 1994
- Listed 147 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $622 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($852 rent vs $8k).
- Recommended offer: $7k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 105.7% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F, employment D-.
- Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $52 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $225 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 105.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 355.18%
- DSCR
- 16.80
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $130,842
- List price
- $7,500
- Delta
- -94.27%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1437 Vine St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-1%) | 1mo | $115,000 | $96 | 69 |
| 1446 Ruth Street St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 | 1,379 (+13%) | 8mo | $171,500 | $124 | 55 |
| 210 Blowers Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,206 (-1%) | 14mo | $80,000 | $66 | 50 |
| 1220 Shultz St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,192 (-2%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $122 | 49 |
| 427 Adrian St | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,162 (-4%) | 7mo | $151,000 | $130 | 48 |
| 1518 Dearborn Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (+1%) | 17mo | $119,900 | $98 | 47 |
| 551 Indiana St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,264 (+4%) | 14mo | $68,000 | $54 | 44 |
| 2335 Lafayette St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,155 (-5%) | 17mo | $80,900 | $70 | 39 |
| 1222 Vine St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,350 (+11%) | 10mo | $144,900 | $107 | 36 |
| 123 Idaho St | 0.70mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,312 (+8%) | 18mo | $122,500 | $93 | 32 |
| 1026 Ann St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,040 (-14%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $139 | 30 |
| 609 Indiana St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,378 (+13%) | 14mo | $135,900 | $99 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 19.28×
- Total profit
- $38,385
- Equity at exit
- $1,118
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 41.22×
- Total profit
- $84,452
- Equity at exit
- $648
Cash invested: $2,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50707
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $852 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$39
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$9 /mo · $112/yr
- Insurance
- −$3
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$179
- Net cashflow
- $622
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $627 | -5% $624 | +0% $622 | +5% $619 | +10% $616 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $554 | -5% $588 | +0% $622 | +5% $655 | +10% $689 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $625 | -0.5pp $623 | base $622 | +0.5pp $620 | +1.0pp $618 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $1,875
- Closing costs
- $225
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 269 Madison St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $675 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 243 Polk St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $850 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 230 Polk St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $850 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 235 Madison St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 816 | $675 | $0.83 | 22d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2304 Lafayette St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $825 | $0.85 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 333 Lamont St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $975 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1911 Springview St Evansdale, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $875 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 2014 Springview St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $975 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 823 Glenwood St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $895 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2014 Clearview St Evansdale, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 708 | $795 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1720 Franklin St Waterloo, IA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1392 | $1,000 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 425 Glenwood St Waterloo, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 846 | $825 | $0.98 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 919 Oneida St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1144 | $930 | $0.81 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 216 Courtland St Apt 1 Waterloo, IA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $825 | $0.72 | 22d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1107 Mulberry St Waterloo, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $950 | $0.76 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $7,500 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $7,500 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $7,500 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $7,500 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $7,500 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $7,500 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $7,500 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $7,500 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $7,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $7,500 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $7,500 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $7,500 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $7,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $7,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $7,500 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $7,500 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $7,500 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-01-23$7,500 Active 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Tax season is here. Marked down 50% for quick sale. For questions, please contact me. For more pictures view https://drive. google.com/drive/folders/1FrmjWb3MJqUbB5ukOA1_aKnAnSlV2S4b?usp=sharing.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,229
- − Mortgage interest
- −$420
- − Property taxes
- −$112
- − Insurance
- −$38
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$818
- − Management
- −$818
- − Depreciation
- −$218
- Taxable income
- $7,804
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,873
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,586/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Waterloo Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930480
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,545
- Composite
- 43.72/100
- National rank
- #2950
- State rank
- #276 of 289 in IA
Livability — Waterloo
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #1589
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Waterloo, IA
- City population
- 69,066
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,407
Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 139,716 people
- By 2030
- 142,853 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 147,843 · +5.8%
- By 2050
- 153,247 · +9.7%
- By 2075
- 167,977 · +20.2%
- By 2100
- 177,320 · +26.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -121.77%
- Current HPI
- 178.5926
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-23 Listed $7,500 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…