Duplex
3124 N Robertson St · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Bywater duplex with 12-ft ceilings, original fireplaces, and large lot. Needs updating--great value-add or customization opportunity. Adjacent deep lot available. Flood Zone X, NEVER FLOODED. Preapproval/POF needed with offer. Measurements approx; buyer to verify.
Key facts
- Deep lot
- Large lot
- 12-ft ceilings
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $572/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $230k).
- Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 581 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,515/mo this rent would consume 92% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1988% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.5% rent growth), your $64k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $230k implies a 820% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.55%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $356,358
- List price
- $230,000
- Delta
- -35.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 813 15 Spain St | 0.71mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 3,031 (+2%) | 4mo | $843,500 | $278 | 53 |
| 3423 21 Burgundy St | 0.48mi | 6/5.5 (+1) | 3,021 (+1%) | 10mo | $640,000 | $212 | 52 |
| 2535-37 N Rampart St | 0.57mi | 5/2.0 | 2,700 (-9%) | 7mo | $350,000 | $130 | 48 |
| 623-25 Louisa St | 0.60mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 3,252 (+9%) | 4mo | $799,000 | $246 | 44 |
| 827 29 Mazant St | 0.73mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,909 (-2%) | 10mo | $339,900 | $117 | 44 |
| 1612 14 Saint Roch Ave | 0.66mi | 6/4.0 (+1) | 2,660 (-11%) | 6mo | $500,000 | $188 | 37 |
| 1837 39 France St | 0.70mi | 6/5.0 (+1) | 2,814 (-6%) | 10mo | $351,000 | $125 | 37 |
| 3623 25 Dauphine St | 0.58mi | 5/3.5 | 3,252 (+9%) | 23mo | $747,500 | $230 | 37 |
| 2519 21 Burgundy St | 0.61mi | 4/3.5 (-1) | 2,712 (-9%) | 16mo | $413,000 | $152 | 36 |
| 3900 Royal St | 0.73mi | 4/4.0 (-1) | 2,600 (-13%) | 12mo | $170,000 | $65 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.49% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $33,864
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $116,328
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70117
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 581
- Price-to-rent
- 10.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,515 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$265 /mo · $3,175/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$738
- Net cashflow
- $1,144
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1.5 | $3,516 |
| #1 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,758 |
| #2 | 2 | 1.5 | $1,758 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,515 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3400 Royal St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3300 | $6,900 | $2.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2317 N Rampart St Unit 1272378P New Orleans, LA | 3.0–6.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1581 | $6,144 | $3.88 | 3d | 2 | 0.80mi |
| 1860 Burgundy St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 4.0 | 3000 | $3,500 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-05days on market $230,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $230,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $230,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $230,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $230,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-03-04price $230,000 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Bywater duplex with 12-ft ceilings, original fireplaces, and large lot. Needs updating—great value-add or customization opportunity. Adjacent deep lot available. Flood Zone X, NEVER FLOODED. Preapproval/POF needed with offer. Measurements approx; buyer to verify.
-
2026-03-04price $230,000 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Bywater duplex with 12-ft ceilings, original fireplaces, and large lot. Needs updating—great value-add or customization opportunity. Adjacent deep lot available. Flood Zone X, NEVER FLOODED. Preapproval/POF needed with offer. Measurements approx; buyer to verify.
-
2025-12-30$250,000 Active 264-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Bywater duplex with 12-ft ceilings, original fireplaces, and large lot. Needs updating—great value-add or customization opportunity. Adjacent deep lot available. Flood Zone X, NEVER FLOODED. Preapproval/POF needed with offer. Measurements approx; buyer to verify.
-
2025-12-30$250,000 Active 269-char remark
Show marketing remark (269 chars)
Bywater duplex with 12-ft ceilings, original fireplaces, and large lot. Needs updating—great value-add or customization opportunity. Adjacent deep lot available. Flood Zone X, NEVER FLOODED. Preapproval/POF needed with offer. Measurements approx; buyer to verify.
-
2025-09-12price $316,000
-
2025-09-12price $316,000
-
2025-08-13$325,000 Active
-
2025-06-07$254,900 Active
-
1988-08-18soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,175 · $265/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,175 · $265/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,180
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,175
- − Insurance
- −$1,948
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,374
- − Management
- −$3,374
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable income
- $10,734
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,576
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,652
- Household income
- $45,764
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1988.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 60% White 30% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -177.22%
- Current HPI
- 184.6061
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.49%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+820.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $230,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-04 Price Changed $230,000 GSREIN
- 2025-12-30 Listed $250,000 GSREIN
- 2025-12-30 Listed $250,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $316,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-09-12 Price Changed $316,000 GSREIN
- 2025-08-13 Listed $325,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-06-07 Listed $254,900 AcadianaMLS
- 1988-08-18 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.9%/yrLatest (2026): $3,175 · +325.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…