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1636 Hamilton Dr
C- Composite 51.74
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.6/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

1636 Hamilton Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31211
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 88 Days on market
Built 1977 0.30 ac lot $96/sqft · 16% below area Est $142k · 16% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great property for investor/first time/downsizer. All brick 3 Bedroom/2 bath with . 3 acre lot. Wrap around drive with rear entrance 2 Car connected carport that enters to the dining area. Large laundry off of kitchen, low Maintenance flooring living areas and bedrooms. Back deck and basketball goal in the back yard. All appliances stay.

Key facts

  • Rear entrance
  • Large laundry
  • Basketball goal

Tags

WRAP AROUND DRIVEREAR ENTRANCECONNECTED CARPORTLARGE LAUNDRYBACK DECKBASKETBALL GOAL

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $113 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (7.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 156 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($113k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $64k; list at $120k implies a 88% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,644 (7.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.02%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$142,410
List price
$120,000
Delta
-15.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1279 Briarcliff Rd 0.41mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,251 (+0%) 9mo $135,800 $109 68
1854 Crestview Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,233 (-1%) 12mo $130,000 $105 67
1697 Upper River Rd 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,188 (-5%) 23mo $25,000 $21 63
1372 Walls Rd 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (+4%) 18mo $150,000 $115 50
1049 Boulevard 0.75mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,170 (-6%) 1mo $135,000 $115 48
1627 Upper Riv 0.40mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,358 (+9%) 23mo $56,321 $41 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-12,293
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
-0.7%
Equity multiple
0.95×
Total profit
$-1,564
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31211

Active inventory
156
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,106 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$82 /mo · $985/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$232
Net cashflow
$113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $964
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1636 Huntley Ridge Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1100 $950 $0.86 13d 1 0.53mi
1634 Huntley Ridge Dr Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1100 $950 $0.86 13d 1 0.53mi
1984 Clinton Rd Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1084 $885 $0.82 21d 1 0.68mi
1126 Boulevard Macon, GA 4.0 1.5 1228 $1,260 $1.03 21d 1 0.71mi
1069 Boulevard Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 832 $900 $1.08 13d 1 0.73mi
1161 Boulevard Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1050 $1,300 $1.24 13d 1 0.76mi
853 North Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 950 $865 $0.91 43d 1 0.98mi
378 Cowan St Unit 382 Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1166 $900 $0.77 21d 1 1.22mi
382 Cowan St Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1166 $900 $0.77 43d 1 1.22mi
390 Cowan St Unit 394 Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1166 $900 $0.77 21d 1 1.23mi
2050 Meriwood Dr Macon, GA 2.0–3.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 13d 1 1.26mi
1224 Appling Ct Apt B Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1000 $925 $0.93 21d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $120,000 Active 88 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $120,000 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $120,000 Active 85 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $120,000 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $120,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $120,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $120,000 Active 79 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 78 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $120,000 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $120,000 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $120,000 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $120,000 Active 71 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $120,000 Active 70 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $120,000 Active 69 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $120,000 Active 68 DOM
  17. 2026-03-23
    listed $139,900 Active 340-char remark
    Show marketing remark (340 chars)

    Great property for investor/first time/downsizer. All brick 3 Bedroom/2 bath with . 3 acre lot. Wrap around drive with rear entrance 2 Car connected carport that enters to the dining area. Large laundry off of kitchen, low Maintenance flooring living areas and bedrooms. Back deck and basketball goal in the back yard. All appliances stay.

  18. 2022-03-12
    status Under Contract
  19. 2022-03-11
    historical
  20. 2022-03-07
    price $97,500
  21. 2022-02-17
    listed $112,500 New
  22. 1997-10-01
    soldstatus $64,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$985 · $82/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,104 · $92/mo
Expected delta
+$119/yr (+$10/mo · 12.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,277
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$985
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,062
− Management
−$1,062
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable loss
−$645
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$155
After-tax cash flow
$1,507/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
15,868
Household income
$49,202
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1075.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (59%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 34% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -105.58%
Current HPI
174.0861
Rent YoY
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+118.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $139,900 MGMLS
  • 2022-03-12 Pending GAMLS
  • 2022-03-11 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2022-03-07 Price Changed $97,500 GAMLS
  • 2022-02-17 Listed $112,500 GAMLS
  • 1997-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $985 · -1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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