41294 W Pryor Ln · Maricopa, AZ 85138

$279,000

4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,528 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market

Built 2006 5,676 sqft lot $183/sqft · 11% below area Est $313k · 11% under $52/mo HOA · 3% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +12.4/15.0
• Cash flow +9.8/30.0
• Appreciation +4.6/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.9/5.0
• DSCR +2.8/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.3/10.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

NOT A BANK OWNED OR A SHORT SALE HOME***FRESH TWO TONE PAINT***NEW CARPET***GRANITE COUNTER TOPS***TILED KITCHEN***HUGE LANDSCAPED REAR YARD***BRAND NEW BLINDS THROUGH OUT***CEILING FANS THROUGH OUT***THIS HOME IS IN A LAKE COMMUNITY WITH GREAT CHILDRENS PLAY FACILITIES

Key facts

• 5,676 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 2006

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Conventional financing available (non-assumable)
• HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $52 covering grounds maintenance; Association rules prohibit visible trucks, trailers, RVs, and boats; Community playground; Biking and walking paths

Exterior

• Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces; 2-car garage
• Utilities: City water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single family residence; Fee simple ownership
• Construction: Stucco and painted wood frame construction
• Exterior features: Desert front and back landscaping; Block fencing; Tile roof

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal
• Bedrooms: Up to 4 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Tile
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: High-speed internet; Upstairs; Eat-in kitchen; 9+ foot flat ceilings; Master bedroom with full bath; Dual-pane windows
• Laundry & utility: Inside laundry

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $279k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-177 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $248k (11.2% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $205k (26.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $205k (26.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.7% in Maricopa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Maricopa Unified School District (4441) (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #128 of 249 in AZ (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Santa Rosa Elementary School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #471 of 1,109 statewide, top 44%, 486 students, 50% FRL); Desert Wind Middle School (math 14% / reading 26%, grade F, #127 of 218 statewide, top 60%, 817 students, 52% FRL); Maricopa High School (math 12% / reading 19%, grade F, #262 of 381 statewide, top 69%, 2,188 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 49% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 862 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $95k; list at $279k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $204,559 (26.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 27% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.73% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.53%
• Cash-on-cash: -2.72%
• DSCR: 0.88
• GRM: 11.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $312,888
• List price: $279,000
• Delta: -10.83%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
20765 N Herbert Ave	0.11mi	4/2.0	1,454 (-5%)	1mo	$300,000	$206	84
20176 N Jill Ave	0.27mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,544 (+1%)	2mo	$304,900	$197	78
40939 W Hayden Dr	0.43mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,527 (-0%)	3mo	$278,000	$182	70
20104 N Jill Ave	0.31mi	4/2.0	1,677 (+10%)	3mo	$297,000	$177	65
41199 W Ganley Way	0.27mi	4/2.0	1,693 (+11%)	3mo	$215,000	$127	65
40332 W Hayden Dr	0.72mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,527 (-0%)	3mo	$299,000	$196	57
40390 W Coltin Way	0.58mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,625 (+6%)	3mo	$295,000	$182	53
41965 W Fiesta Ln	0.43mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,333 (-13%)	1mo	$293,000	$220	51
41767 W Sagebrush Ct	0.48mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,333 (-13%)	1mo	$290,000	$218	49
40551 W Jenna Ln	0.69mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,627 (+6%)	2mo	$300,000	$184	48
40381 W Robbins Dr	0.61mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,677 (+10%)	1mo	$285,000	$170	48
41860 W Colby Dr	0.63mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,685 (+10%)	1mo	$374,000	$222	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.89% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -9.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.57×
• Total profit: $-33,407
• Equity at exit: $68,854

10-year hold

• IRR: -4.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.62×
• Total profit: $-29,570
• Equity at exit: $73,594

Cash invested: $78,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arizona: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 85138

• Home prices YoY: -0.3%
• Rents YoY: 1.8%
• Active inventory: 862
• Price-to-rent: 11.4×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,046 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,463
• Tax from tax record: −$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
• Insurance: −$116
• HOA: −$52
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$430
• Net cashflow: $-177

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,270

Max offer price $247,705

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-19	-5% $-98	+0% $-177	+5% $-256	+10% $-335
Rent	-10% $-339	-5% $-258	+0% $-177	+5% $-96	+10% $-16
Rate	-1.0pp $-37	-0.5pp $-106	base $-177	+0.5pp $-249	+1.0pp $-323

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $69,750
• Closing costs: $8,370
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
41057 W Ganley Way Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	1908	$1,925	$1.01	0d	1	0.29mi
40907 W Robbins Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1891	$1,749	$0.92	23d	1	0.30mi
41094 W Somers Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1612	$1,850	$1.15	3d	1	0.30mi
21110 N Blue Agave Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1569	$1,895	$1.21	45d	1	0.40mi
41334 W Hayden Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	2150	$1,689	$0.79	45d	1	0.40mi
41570 W Dusty Creek Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1568	$1,750	$1.12	45d	1	0.41mi
41363 W Williams Way Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1599	$1,739	$1.09	45d	1	0.42mi
20392 N Mac Neil St Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1552	$1,656	$1.07	0d	1	0.58mi
21552 N Liles Ln Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1470	$1,850	$1.26	45d	1	0.61mi
41192 W Rio Bravo Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	1774	$1,789	$1.01	21d	1	0.67mi
40174 W Brandt Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	2115	$1,849	$0.87	6d	1	0.67mi
40481 W Jenna Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1819	$1,785	$0.98	0d	1	0.70mi
21657 N Dietz Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2151	$1,899	$0.88	45d	1	0.72mi
41284 W Cahill Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1356	$1,750	$1.29	12d	1	0.73mi
21742 N Bradford Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1651	$1,775	$1.08	26d	1	0.73mi
21742 N Bradford Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1651	$1,850	$1.12	45d	1	0.73mi
19550 N Gunsmoke Rd Maricopa, AZ	2.0–3.0	2.0	1056	$1,604	$1.52	26d	10	0.73mi
19488 N Falcon Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	3.0	1836	$2,300	$1.25	13d	1	0.74mi
41298 W Parkhill Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	2037	$2,000	$0.98	45d	1	0.84mi
40010 W Thornberry Ln Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.5	2157	$1,795	$0.83	45d	1	0.85mi
21619 N Van Loo Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1938	$3,500	$1.81	5d	1	0.85mi
39964 W Sanders Way Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1466	$1,759	$1.20	0d	1	0.86mi
41201 W Bravo Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1554	$1,799	$1.16	3d	1	0.86mi
39974 W Thornberry Ln Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1466	$1,900	$1.30	16d	1	0.87mi
39941 W Williams Way Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1288	$1,600	$1.24	26d	1	0.87mi
40040 W Elm Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1598	$2,050	$1.28	45d	1	1.00mi
40515 W Chambers Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	3.0	1978	$1,795	$0.91	16d	1	1.04mi
21765 N Rummler Ln Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	1572	$2,095	$1.33	7d	1	1.11mi
19165 N Ventana Ln Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1440	$1,650	$1.15	26d	1	1.13mi
40915 W Agave Rd Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	2152	$2,100	$0.98	45d	1	1.17mi
40785 W Agave Rd Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1902	$1,999	$1.05	45d	1	1.19mi
43205 W Roth Rd Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2215	$2,200	$0.99	45d	1	1.22mi
43205 W Roth Rd Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.0	2216	$2,100	$0.95	12d	1	1.22mi
21061 N Bustos Way Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1907	$1,749	$0.92	45d	1	1.23mi
22303 Bishop Dr Unit 1545930P Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1496	$3,871	$2.59	14d	1	1.24mi
22306 N Van Loo Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1918	$2,100	$1.09	6d	1	1.25mi
22463 N Dietz Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1824	$2,000	$1.10	26d	1	1.26mi
42309 W Desert Fairways Dr Maricopa, AZ	5.0	3.0	1913	$1,899	$0.99	3d	1	1.26mi
43207 W Lindgren Dr Maricopa, AZ	3.0	2.0	1907	$1,699	$0.89	45d	1	1.26mi
22555 N Diamond Dr Maricopa, AZ	4.0	2.5	2180	$2,200	$1.01	12d	1	1.27mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $52 · $624/yr

Listing history 28 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $279,000 Active 52 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $279,000 Active 49 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $279,000 Active 48 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $279,000 Active 47 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $279,000 Active 46 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $279,000 Active 44 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $279,000 Active 43 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $279,000 Active 40 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $279,000 Active 39 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $279,000 Active 38 DOM
11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $279,000 Active 35 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $279,000 Active 34 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $279,000 Active 33 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $279,000 Active 32 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $279,000 Active 31 DOM
16. 2026-04-30
    listed $279,000 Active 433-char remark
17. 2012-06-29
    soldstatus $95,000 Closed 270-char remark

    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    NOT A BANK OWNED OR A SHORT SALE HOME***FRESH TWO TONE PAINT***NEW CARPET***GRANITE COUNTER TOPS***TILED KITCHEN***HUGE LANDSCAPED REAR YARD***BRAND NEW BLINDS THROUGH OUT***CEILING FANS THROUGH OUT***THIS HOME IS IN A LAKE COMMUNITY WITH GREAT CHILDRENS PLAY FACILITIES

18. 2012-06-29
    soldstatus $95,000

    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    NOT A BANK OWNED OR A SHORT SALE HOME***FRESH TWO TONE PAINT***NEW CARPET***GRANITE COUNTER TOPS***TILED KITCHEN***HUGE LANDSCAPED REAR YARD***BRAND NEW BLINDS THROUGH OUT***CEILING FANS THROUGH OUT***THIS HOME IS IN A LAKE COMMUNITY WITH GREAT CHILDRENS PLAY FACILITIES

19. 2012-06-12
    status Pending 270-char remark

    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    NOT A BANK OWNED OR A SHORT SALE HOME***FRESH TWO TONE PAINT***NEW CARPET***GRANITE COUNTER TOPS***TILED KITCHEN***HUGE LANDSCAPED REAR YARD***BRAND NEW BLINDS THROUGH OUT***CEILING FANS THROUGH OUT***THIS HOME IS IN A LAKE COMMUNITY WITH GREAT CHILDRENS PLAY FACILITIES

20. 2012-06-08
    price $89,900 270-char remark

    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    NOT A BANK OWNED OR A SHORT SALE HOME***FRESH TWO TONE PAINT***NEW CARPET***GRANITE COUNTER TOPS***TILED KITCHEN***HUGE LANDSCAPED REAR YARD***BRAND NEW BLINDS THROUGH OUT***CEILING FANS THROUGH OUT***THIS HOME IS IN A LAKE COMMUNITY WITH GREAT CHILDRENS PLAY FACILITIES

21. 2012-06-08
    status Active 270-char remark

    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    NOT A BANK OWNED OR A SHORT SALE HOME***FRESH TWO TONE PAINT***NEW CARPET***GRANITE COUNTER TOPS***TILED KITCHEN***HUGE LANDSCAPED REAR YARD***BRAND NEW BLINDS THROUGH OUT***CEILING FANS THROUGH OUT***THIS HOME IS IN A LAKE COMMUNITY WITH GREAT CHILDRENS PLAY FACILITIES

22. 2012-03-27
    status Pending 270-char remark

    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    NOT A BANK OWNED OR A SHORT SALE HOME***FRESH TWO TONE PAINT***NEW CARPET***GRANITE COUNTER TOPS***TILED KITCHEN***HUGE LANDSCAPED REAR YARD***BRAND NEW BLINDS THROUGH OUT***CEILING FANS THROUGH OUT***THIS HOME IS IN A LAKE COMMUNITY WITH GREAT CHILDRENS PLAY FACILITIES

23. 2012-03-26
    price $79,900 Active 270-char remark

    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    NOT A BANK OWNED OR A SHORT SALE HOME***FRESH TWO TONE PAINT***NEW CARPET***GRANITE COUNTER TOPS***TILED KITCHEN***HUGE LANDSCAPED REAR YARD***BRAND NEW BLINDS THROUGH OUT***CEILING FANS THROUGH OUT***THIS HOME IS IN A LAKE COMMUNITY WITH GREAT CHILDRENS PLAY FACILITIES

24. 2012-03-26
    status Active 270-char remark

    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    NOT A BANK OWNED OR A SHORT SALE HOME***FRESH TWO TONE PAINT***NEW CARPET***GRANITE COUNTER TOPS***TILED KITCHEN***HUGE LANDSCAPED REAR YARD***BRAND NEW BLINDS THROUGH OUT***CEILING FANS THROUGH OUT***THIS HOME IS IN A LAKE COMMUNITY WITH GREAT CHILDRENS PLAY FACILITIES

25. 2012-03-26
    price $85,000 Pending 270-char remark

    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    NOT A BANK OWNED OR A SHORT SALE HOME***FRESH TWO TONE PAINT***NEW CARPET***GRANITE COUNTER TOPS***TILED KITCHEN***HUGE LANDSCAPED REAR YARD***BRAND NEW BLINDS THROUGH OUT***CEILING FANS THROUGH OUT***THIS HOME IS IN A LAKE COMMUNITY WITH GREAT CHILDRENS PLAY FACILITIES

26. 2012-03-26
    status Pending 270-char remark

    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    NOT A BANK OWNED OR A SHORT SALE HOME***FRESH TWO TONE PAINT***NEW CARPET***GRANITE COUNTER TOPS***TILED KITCHEN***HUGE LANDSCAPED REAR YARD***BRAND NEW BLINDS THROUGH OUT***CEILING FANS THROUGH OUT***THIS HOME IS IN A LAKE COMMUNITY WITH GREAT CHILDRENS PLAY FACILITIES

27. 2012-03-24
    listed $79,900 Active 270-char remark

    Show marketing remark (270 chars)

    NOT A BANK OWNED OR A SHORT SALE HOME***FRESH TWO TONE PAINT***NEW CARPET***GRANITE COUNTER TOPS***TILED KITCHEN***HUGE LANDSCAPED REAR YARD***BRAND NEW BLINDS THROUGH OUT***CEILING FANS THROUGH OUT***THIS HOME IS IN A LAKE COMMUNITY WITH GREAT CHILDRENS PLAY FACILITIES

28. 2004-11-04
    soldstatus $33,080,895

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,942 · $162/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,942 · $162/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,547
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,628
• − Property taxes: −$1,942
• − Insurance: −$1,395
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,964
• − Management: −$1,964
• − HOA: −$624
• − Depreciation: −$8,116
• Taxable loss: −$7,086
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,701
• After-tax cash flow: $-425/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Maricopa Unified School District (4441)
• NCES district ID: 0404720
• Math proficiency: 20% ▼ -18.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▼ -9.00%
• Median HH income: $63,725
• Composite: 22.92/100
• National rank: #7993
• State rank: #128 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Maricopa

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #28
• US rank: #5943

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Maricopa, AZ
• County: Pinal County · 399,947 people
• City population: 76,044
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• Population (ZIP): 55,260
• Household income: $95,867
• Rent vs Own: 17.7% rent · 82.3% own
• Severe rent burden: 432.0

Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 437,574 people
• By 2030: 446,903 · +2.1%
• By 2040: 452,589 · +3.4%
• By 2050: 444,126 · +1.5%
• By 2075: 430,300 · -1.7%
• By 2100: 393,536 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: White 45% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 17% Black 13% Native American 3% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinal

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.89%
• Current HPI: 258.1461
• Rent YoY: ▲ 1.78%
• Metro: Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.54%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Technology	2	$13B
▸Mining / Metals	1	$23B
▸Environmental Services	1	$16B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$14B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$9B
▸Homebuilding	1	$8B

Price history

-99.2% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-30 Listed $279,000 ARMLS
• 2012-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
• 2012-06-29 Sold (MLS) $95,000 ARMLS
• 2012-06-12 Pending — ARMLS
• 2012-06-08 Price Changed $89,900 ARMLS
• 2012-06-08 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2012-03-27 Pending — ARMLS
• 2012-03-26 Relisted — ARMLS
• 2012-03-26 Price Changed $79,900 ARMLS
• 2012-03-26 Pending — ARMLS
• 2012-03-26 Price Changed $85,000 ARMLS
• 2012-03-24 Listed $79,900 ARMLS
• 2004-11-04 Sold (Public Records) $33,080,895 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,942 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.