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19382 Euclid Path
D- Composite 37.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.8/30.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$385,000

19382 Euclid Path · Farmington, MN 55024
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,103 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1991 0.34 ac lot $183/sqft · 12% below area Est $466k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 19382 Euclid Path. Originally owned and loved, this home is available for the first time in over 30 years. Tucked into a mature, tree lined neighborhood just steps from Fair Hills Park and close to Akin Road Elementary, this well loved split level home offers over 2,200 square feet of versatile living space, a 3 car garage, and a newer backyard deck that feels like your own private retreat. From the moment you pull up, the canopy of mature trees set a welcoming tone. Out back, the newer deck with a modern wood and steel railing overlooks a spacious, green yard surrounded by towering evergreens and ornamental trees, a genuinely peaceful place to start or end your day. The deck was

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • 3 garage spots
  • Built 1991

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 3 parking spaces (garage approx. 28'3" x 20'1")
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: Residential split-entry (bi-level) home; Above-grade finished and living area provided; Below-grade finished area and basement
  • Construction: Block foundation; Roof over 8 years old
  • Exterior features: Deck; Medium tree coverage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (bedrooms located on upper and lower levels)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (including an ensuite and a main-floor full bath; primary walk-thru configuration)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom suite; Finished basement with egress window(s) and storage space; Gas stone fireplace; Informal dining area
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level; Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $385k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-594 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (27.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $247k (35.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $247k (35.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#203 in MN, #4,269 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Farmington Public School District (suburban): math 43% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #104 of 301 in MN (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Meadowview Elementary (math 60% / reading 58%, grade B-, #247 of 857 statewide, top 29%, 627 students, 31% FRL); Robert Boeckman Middle School (math 41% / reading 51%, grade D+, #103 of 258 statewide, top 40%, 878 students, 25% FRL); Farmington High School (math 32% / reading 56%, grade F, #210 of 471 statewide, top 44%, 2,201 students, 22% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,134 units permitted in Dakota County in 2024 (898 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Dakota County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $92k; list at $385k implies a 318% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $247,416 (35.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
4.44%
Cash-on-cash
-6.62%
DSCR
0.71
GRM
13.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$465,555
List price
$385,000
Delta
-17.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.8%
Equity multiple
0.07×
Total profit
$-100,280
Equity at exit
$57,405
10-year hold
IRR
-26.3%
Equity multiple
-0.26×
Total profit
$-136,204
Equity at exit
$33,288

Cash invested: $107,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55024

Home prices YoY
-31.2%
Active inventory
325
Price-to-rent
13.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,474 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,019
Tax from tax record
$370 /mo · $4,436/yr
Insurance
$160
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$520
Net cashflow
$-594

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,227
Max offer price $279,983
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-377 -5% $-486 +0% $-594 +5% $-703 +10% $-812
Rent -10% $-790 -5% $-692 +0% $-594 +5% $-497 +10% $-399
Rate -1.0pp $-401 -0.5pp $-497 base $-594 +0.5pp $-694 +1.0pp $-796

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$96,250
Closing costs
$11,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19644 Escalade Way #906 Farmington, MN 2.0 2.0 1500 $1,999 $1.33 45d 1 0.31mi
19385 Elkridge Trl Farmington, MN 4.0 2.5 2500 $3,099 $1.24 25d 1 0.58mi
18388 English Ave Farmington, MN 2.0 2.0 1544 $1,999 $1.29 45d 1 1.04mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-15
    listed $374,999 Active 2819-char remark
  2. 2026-05-13
    historical $374,999 2819-char remark
  3. 1992-05-22
    soldstatus $92,050

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,436 · $370/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,436 · $370/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,690
− Mortgage interest
−$21,566
− Property taxes
−$4,436
− Insurance
−$1,925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,375
− Management
−$2,375
− Depreciation
−$11,200
Taxable loss
−$14,187
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,405
After-tax cash flow
$-3,729/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Farmington Public School District
NCES district ID
2711820
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
52% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$83,959
Composite
43.93/100
National rank
#2905
State rank
#104 of 301 in MN

Livability — Farmington

Score
75/100
State rank
#203
US rank
#4269

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Farmington, MN
County
Dakota County · 417,704 people
City population
37,287
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
37,287
Household income
$127,280
Rent vs Own
11.3% rent · 88.7% own
Severe rent burden
288.0

Population outlook (Dakota County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
450,671 people
By 2030
465,068 · +3.2%
By 2040
486,770 · +8.0%
By 2050
498,743 · +10.7%
By 2075
533,865 · +18.5%
By 2100
550,133 · +22.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 14% Scottish 3% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Dakota

2024 margin
D (+12.9) · D 55.4% · R 42.5% · Other 2.1%
2008→2024 swing
+7.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.5pp · 2024: 12.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.9 2020: D+13.9 2016: D+4.7 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+5.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.47%
Current HPI
225.6882
Rent YoY
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+318.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $385,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $374,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Coming Soon $374,999 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $92,050 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,436 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…