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6031 E Newton St
C+ Composite 63.07
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$134,900

6031 E Newton St · Waveland, MS 39520
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,320 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 2008 0.48 ac lot $102/sqft · 6% above area Est $135k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Enjoy the best of Gulf Coast living in this completely renovated single family homes. It features an open floor plan with vaulted ceilings and many quality upgrades such as granite counters and tile / laminate floors. The home features a new 6' privacy fence around the backyard and a covered front porch. The home is conveniently located less than 10 minutes from I-10 / Stennis Space Center, the Beaches and Casinos, Old Town Bay St Louis and the Bay St Louis Depot District.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Tile floors
  • Laminate floors

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANVAULTED CEILINGSGRANITE COUNTERSTILE FLOORSLAMINATE FLOORSPRIVACY FENCE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Playground in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway on concrete
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Fiber to the house
  • Home design: Single family residence (house); One story; Move-in ready; 50x100 lot dimensions; Facing direction not specified
  • Construction: Stucco exterior; Architectural shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built year source: assessor
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Private backyard; Privacy fencing in the back yard; City lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator; Granite counters
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Electric cooling
  • Interior features: Cathedral ceilings; Tray ceilings; Open floorplan; Granite counters; Double vanity; Blinds on windows
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-35 ($-423/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (4.6% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (4.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.5% in Waveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#199 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Hancock County School District (rural): math 47% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #23 of 130 in MS (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: South Hancock Elementary School (math 34% / reading 32%, grade F, #168 of 375 statewide, top 45%, 535 students, 100% FRL); Hancock Middle School (math 48% / reading 44%, grade D+, #39 of 179 statewide, top 22%, 958 students, 100% FRL); Hancock High School (math 42% / reading 43%, grade F, #42 of 197 statewide, top 21%, 1,187 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 58% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 622 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 248 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hancock County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,668 (4.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.18%
Cap rate
9.77%
Cash-on-cash
12.43%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$134,950
List price
$134,900
Delta
-0.04%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6031 E Newton St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,396 (+6%) 1mo $134,900 $97 90
6125 E Madison St 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,320 (0%) 4mo $84,500 $64 88
6101 E Quitman St 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,344 (+2%) 6mo $139,000 $103 83
6263 E Newton St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-2%) 1mo $129,900 $100 75
6122 E Jackson St 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,185 (-10%) 2mo $135,000 $114 68
6098 W Ridley St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,320 (0%) 1mo $119,995 $91 64
6195 E Jackson St 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,195 (-10%) 4mo $123,900 $104 64
6077 E Kemper St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,134 (-14%) 2mo $119,500 $105 63
6090 Copiah St 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,386 (+5%) 6mo $145,000 $105 60
6045 W Clay St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,392 (+6%) 2mo $134,900 $97 57
6123 W Lamar St 0.70mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,398 (+6%) 4mo $124,900 $89 49
6062 E Benton St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,136 (-14%) 2mo $138,000 $121 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.9%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-23,864
Equity at exit
$20,114
10-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-22,686
Equity at exit
$11,664

Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39520

Active inventory
622
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,587 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$707
Tax from tax record
$99 /mo · $1,184/yr
Insurance
$56
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$333
Net cashflow
$-35

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,631
Max offer price $128,668
Occupancy floor 97%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $41 -5% $3 +0% $-35 +5% $-73 +10% $-112
Rent -10% $-161 -5% $-98 +0% $-35 +5% $27 +10% $90
Rate -1.0pp $33 -0.5pp $-1 base $-35 +0.5pp $-70 +1.0pp $-106

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,725
Closing costs
$4,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6095 E Lamar St Bay Saint Louis, MS 3.0 2.0 1392 $1,645 $1.18 45d 1 0.13mi
6004 E Jackson St Bay Saint Louis, MS 3.0 2.0 1329 $1,700 $1.28 45d 1 0.21mi
6225 E Newton St Bay Saint Louis, MS 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,450 $1.36 13d 1 0.37mi
6227 E Newton St Bay St Louis, MS 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,450 $1.36 45d 1 0.38mi
8016 Lowndes St Bay St Louis, MS 3.0 2.0 1083 $1,250 $1.15 15d 1 1.05mi
7132 Sunflower St Bay Saint Louis, MS 3.0 2.0 933 $1,400 $1.50 13d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending 482-char remark
  2. 2026-04-27
    listed $134,900 Active 482-char remark
  3. 1999-07-16
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,184 · $99/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,184 · $99/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 23% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,042
− Mortgage interest
−$7,556
− Property taxes
−$1,184
− Insurance
−$5,793
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,523
− Management
−$1,523
− Depreciation
−$3,924
Taxable loss
−$2,463
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$591
After-tax cash flow
$168/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hancock County School District
NCES district ID
2801740
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$47,971
Composite
38.88/100
National rank
#4099
State rank
#23 of 130 in MS

Livability — Waveland

Score
61/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#18110

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
6,249
Population (ZIP)
15,471

Population outlook (Hancock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
52,161 people
By 2030
54,753 · +5.0%
By 2040
59,242 · +13.6%
By 2050
62,417 · +19.7%
By 2075
68,168 · +30.7%
By 2100
69,212 · +32.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 15% Romanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hancock

2024 margin
Solid R (+58.7) · D 20.1% · R 78.8% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -54.2pp · 2024: -58.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+58.7 2020: R+55.5 2016: R+59.4 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+54.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -169.80%
Current HPI
227.2103
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2026-05-05 Pending MLSU
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $134,900 MLSU
  • 1999-07-16 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,184 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…