1426 S Heather Ln · Syracuse, UT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $453 – $841
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$131,250
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
There are no remarks available.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2005
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: CROFTERS COVE
- HOA & community: Part of the Red Rock homeowners association; HOA fee of $69 (includes trash and water); Community amenities and rules include pet policies, picnic area, snow removal, trash service, and water
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car attached garage; Total parking for 6 vehicles; 4 open/uncovered parking spaces; 2 covered parking spaces; Uncovered parking available
- Security: Fire alarm
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Electricity connected; Public sewer; Water connected (culinary)
- Home design: 2-story single-family home; Faces south
- Construction: Built in 2005; Asphalt, stone, and stucco exterior materials; Asphalt pitched roof; Property is built and standing
- Exterior features: Balcony; Open porch; Sliding glass doors; Walkout; Double pane windows; Exterior lighting; Mountain view; Full landscaping; Auto-full sprinkler system; Sidewalks; Paved roads; Curb and gutter; Located on a cul-de-sac
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range/oven; Disposal
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on 2nd floor
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Linoleum flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 partial/half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Fire alarm; Primary bath with separate tub and shower; Disposal; Free-standing range/oven; Instantaneous hot water; Blinds on windows
- Laundry & utility: Instantaneous hot water
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $131k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $997 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $131k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#8 in UT, #353 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Davis District (suburban): math 43% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #28 of 80 in UT (top 35%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 202 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,461 units permitted in Davis County in 2024 (508 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $908 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Davis County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.92% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.56%
- DSCR
- 2.45
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $42,330
- Equity at exit
- $19,570
- IRR
- 35.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.24×
- Total profit
- $119,015
- Equity at exit
- $11,348
Cash invested: $36,750 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Utah
- 86 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 84075
- Home prices YoY
- -24.8%
- Active inventory
- 202
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,526 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$688
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,235/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$69
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$530
- Net cashflow
- $997
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,071 | -5% $1,034 | +0% $997 | +5% $960 | +10% $923 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $798 | -5% $897 | +0% $997 | +5% $1,097 | +10% $1,197 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,063 | -0.5pp $1,030 | base $997 | +0.5pp $963 | +1.0pp $928 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,812
- Closing costs
- $3,938
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $69 · $828/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-04-17$131,250 Active
-
2022-11-08soldstatus Closed 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
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2022-11-08soldstatus
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2022-10-18status Under Contract 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2022-10-04price $419,900 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
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2022-09-23price $439,900 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
-
2022-09-02price $455,000 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
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2022-08-26price $479,000 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
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2022-08-08$490,000 Active 31-char remark
Show marketing remark (31 chars)
There are no remarks available.
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2022-08-06historical
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2022-04-25$490,000 Active
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2018-11-07soldstatus Sold
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2018-11-07soldstatus
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2018-09-26status Under Contract
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2018-09-20$259,900 Active
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2016-01-12soldstatus Sold
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2016-01-08soldstatus
-
2015-12-05historical
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2015-11-17price $184,900
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2015-10-13$189,000 Active
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2006-08-11soldstatus
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2006-08-10soldstatus
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2006-05-22$184,900
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2006-02-17historical
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2002-04-01$225,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast UT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,235 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,235 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,308
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,352
- − Property taxes
- −$2,235
- − Insurance
- −$656
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,425
- − Management
- −$2,425
- − HOA
- −$828
- − Depreciation
- −$3,818
- Taxable income
- $10,570
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,537
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,428/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Davis District
- NCES district ID
- 4900210
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,511
- Composite
- 40.59/100
- National rank
- #3698
- State rank
- #28 of 80 in UT
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #353
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, UT
- County
- Davis County · 341,755 people
- City population
- 35,545
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,545
- Household income
- $133,286
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 113.0
Population outlook (Davis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 399,271 people
- By 2030
- 430,528 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 493,485 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 555,187 · +39.1%
- By 2075
- 688,589 · +72.5%
- By 2100
- 769,646 · +92.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Italian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Davis
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.0% · R 60.8% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.4pp toward D · 2008: -42.3pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+27.5 2016: R+23.3 2012: R+61.8 2008: R+42.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -102.18%
- Current HPI
- 310.6904
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Ogden-Clearfield, UT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.54%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in UT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $3B |
|
||
Price history
-41.7% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $131,250 WFRMLS
- 2022-11-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2022-11-08 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2022-10-18 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2022-10-04 Price Changed $419,900 WFRMLS
- 2022-09-23 Price Changed $439,900 WFRMLS
- 2022-09-02 Price Changed $455,000 WFRMLS
- 2022-08-26 Price Changed $479,000 WFRMLS
- 2022-08-08 Listed $490,000 WFRMLS
- 2022-08-06 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2022-04-25 Listed $490,000 WFRMLS
- 2018-11-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2018-11-07 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2018-09-26 Pending — WFRMLS
- 2018-09-20 Listed $259,900 WFRMLS
- 2016-01-12 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2016-01-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-12-05 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2015-11-17 Price Changed $184,900 WFRMLS
- 2015-10-13 Listed $189,000 WFRMLS
- 2006-08-11 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2006-08-10 Sold (MLS) — WFRMLS
- 2006-05-22 Listed $184,900 WFRMLS
- 2006-02-17 Listing Removed — WFRMLS
- 2002-04-01 Listed $225,000 WFRMLS
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $2,235 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…